
Everton vs Burnley Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Premier League Odds for Tuesday, March 3rd
In a crucial Premier League clash, eighth-placed Everton welcome relegation-threatened Burnley to Goodison Park on Tuesday, March 3, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 19:30 UTC. The Toffees will be looking to solidify their mid-table position, while the visitors are desperate for points to climb out of the bottom three.
OC Staff - March 3, 2026, 10:15 AM EST
3 Minute ReadEverton vs Burnley: Lineups, Team News and Prediction
In a crucial Premier League clash, eighth-placed Everton welcome relegation-threatened Burnley to Goodison Park on Tuesday, March 3, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 19:30 UTC. The Toffees will be looking to solidify their mid-table position, while the visitors are desperate for points to climb out of the bottom three.
Everton vs Burnley Form
The hosts come into this fixture on the back of a 3-2 away defeat to Newcastle in their last Premier League outing. This result continues a challenging run for the Toffees, who have secured only two wins, two draws, and two losses in their last six league matches. Their home form, in particular, has been a concern, with Everton failing to win any of their last six matches at Goodison Park, picking up just two points from a possible 18. Despite this, Everton have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches against Burnley across all competitions, a statistic that will surely boost confidence.
Burnley, currently languishing in 19th position, also suffered a defeat in their most recent league game, losing a seven-goal thriller 4-3 at home against Brentford. Their form has been equally bleak, with the Clarets managing just one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six Premier League encounters. A concerning trend for the visitors is that they have failed to win 18 of their last 19 Premier League matches, and have conceded at least two goals in five of their last six league fixtures.
Everton vs Burnley Head to Head
The last encounter between these two sides, played at Turf Moor in December 2025, ended in a goalless draw. Historically, Everton have enjoyed significant dominance over Burnley at home, winning five of their last six matches against the Clarets at Goodison Park in all competitions. Over the last six meetings overall, the Toffees hold a clear advantage with four wins, one draw, and one loss against Burnley. Interestingly, three of these last six meetings have seen fewer than 2.5 goals scored.
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Everton vs. Burnley Odds
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Everton vs Burnley Probable Lineups
Everton (4-2-3-1):
- Goalkeeper: J. Pickford
- Defenders: V. Mykolenko (DL), J. Branthwaite (DC), J. Tarkowski (DC), J. O'Brien (DR)
- Midfielders: I. Gueye (DM), J. Garner (DM), I. Ndiaye (AML), K. Dewsbury-Hall (AMC), D. McNeil (AMR)
- Forward: T. Barry (FC)
Burnley (3-4-2-1):
- Goalkeeper: M. Dúbravka
- Defenders: J. Worrall (DC), M. Estève (DC), B. Humphreys (DC)
- Midfielders: L. Pires (ML), J. Ward-Prowse (MC), H. Mejbri (MC), J. Laurent (MR)
- Attacking Midfielders: J. Anthony (AM), J. B. Larsen (AM)
- Forward: Z. Flemming (FC)
Everton vs Burnley Team News
Everton are contending with a couple of significant absences. Jack Grealish remains sidelined with an injury, and Charly Alcaraz has joined him on the treatment table, also suffering from an injury that will keep him out for several weeks. Thierno Barry, who recently scored off the bench against Newcastle, could be pushing for a starting spot.
For Burnley, manager Scott Parker might stick with a similar lineup to the one that performed well against Brentford despite the defeat. The Clarets have a number of players unavailable due to injury, including Zeki Amdouni, Jorrit Beyer, Josh Cullen, Connor Roberts, and Mike Trésor. Axel Tuanzebe and Armando Broja are also listed as doubtful for the encounter. Marcus Edwards, however, is expected to return after recovering from a knock.
Everton vs Burnley Match Facts
- Everton have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 matches against Burnley in all competitions.
- Everton have won 5 of their last 6 home matches against Burnley in all competitions.
- Everton have seen under 2.5 goals in their last 3 matches against Burnley in all competitions.
- Burnley have failed to win 18 of their last 19 matches in Premier League.
- Burnley have conceded at least 2 goals in 5 of their last 6 matches in Premier League.
Prediction: Everton 2-0 Burnley
Everton will be keen to end their poor home run against a Burnley side that has struggled immensely this season. While the Toffees have faltered at Goodison Park recently, this fixture presents a prime opportunity to turn that form around. Everton's character analysis highlights their strength in aerial duels and defending set pieces, areas where Burnley are noted as weak. The hosts also excel at stealing the ball from the opposition and protecting a lead, which could prove crucial against a Burnley side that struggles with possession. The Clarets' numerous defensive weaknesses, including defending against wing attacks, counter attacks, and individual errors, are likely to be exploited by Everton's offensive styles, which include attacking down the left, attempting crosses often, and playing with width. Given Burnley's dreadful record of failing to win 18 of their last 19 Premier League matches and conceding at least two goals in five of their last six, a home victory with a clean sheet seems a strong possibility.
Best Bet: Everton to Win to Nil (+150) Click here to get the best odds at Bet365 Sportsbook
Considering Everton's impressive defensive record against Burnley, having kept clean sheets in their last four meetings, and their dominant home record against the Clarets (winning five of the last six), backing the Toffees to win without conceding looks like a valuable bet. Burnley's offensive struggles and defensive frailties, particularly against aerial threats and set pieces where Everton are strong, further support this selection. The predicted scoreline of 2-0 aligns perfectly with Everton securing a victory while keeping a clean sheet.
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