Newcastle vs Man City Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest FA Cup Odds
A high-stakes FA Cup clash awaits as Newcastle prepare to host Manchester City at St. James' Park on Friday, 7th March 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 8:00 PM GMT. This fifth-round encounter promises fireworks as both teams vie for a coveted spot in the quarter-finals of England's most historic cup competition.
OC Staff - March 7, 2026, 12:45 PM EST
3 Minute ReadNewcastle vs Man City: Lineups, Team News and Prediction
A high-stakes FA Cup clash awaits as Newcastle prepare to host Manchester City at St. James' Park on Saturday, 7th March 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 8:00 PM GMT. This fifth-round encounter promises fireworks as both teams vie for a coveted spot in the quarter-finals of England's most historic cup competition.
Newcastle vs Man City Form
The Magpies come into this fixture on the back of a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Manchester United in their last Premier League outing, a result that will have boosted morale. However, their recent form has been inconsistent, with three wins and three losses across their last six matches in all competitions. This run includes a narrow 2-3 Premier League defeat to Everton and a significant 1-6 thrashing by Qarabag in the Champions League, though they did manage a 3-2 home win against the same opposition. Their FA Cup journey saw them overcome Aston Villa with a convincing 3-1 away win.
Meanwhile, the reigning Premier League champions, Manchester City, recorded a 2-2 draw against Nottingham Forest in their most recent league game. Their form has been somewhat more stable with four wins, one draw, and one loss in their last six matches. This includes a crucial 1-0 away victory over Leeds and a dominant 3-0 home win against Fulham in the Premier League. In the FA Cup, the Citizens secured a comfortable 2-0 home win against Salford City. Notably, the visitors have scored at least two goals in their last three matches against the home side in all competitions, showcasing their attacking prowess in this particular fixture.
Newcastle vs Man City Head to Head
The most recent encounter between these two English giants saw Manchester City emerge victorious with a 2-1 win at home in the Premier League in February 2026. Looking back at their last six meetings, the Citizens have largely dominated this rivalry. They have secured four wins, with one match ending in a draw, and Newcastle claiming just one victory during this period. This historical dominance suggests a challenging task ahead for the hosts.
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Newcastle vs. Man City Odds
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Newcastle vs Man City Probable Lineups
Newcastle (4-3-3):
- Goalkeeper: Pope
- Defenders: Burn (DL), Botman (DC), Thiaw (DC), Trippier (DR)
- Midfielders: Willock (MC), Tonali (DM), Joelinton (MC)
- Forwards: Barnes (FL), Gordon (FC), Elanga (FR)
Man City (4-2-3-1):
- Goalkeeper: Trafford
- Defenders: Aït-Nouri (DL), Guéhi (DC), Khusanov (DC), Nunes (DR)
- Midfielders: Lewis (DM), González (DM)
- Attacking Midfielders: Savinho (AML), Silva (AMC), Foden (AMR)
- Forward: Marmoush (FC)
Newcastle vs Man City Team News
Newcastle United face a number of significant absences for this FA Cup tie. Jacob Ramsey is suspended after receiving a red card in their recent match against Manchester United. Key players Bruno Guimarães (hamstring), Fabian Schär (ankle), Emil Krafth (knee), and Lewis Miley (thigh) are all confirmed to be sidelined. Tino Livramento is also a doubt as he continues his recovery from a hamstring problem. Sandro Tonali’s fitness will be closely monitored after a heavy schedule, though Nick Woltemade could make a return to the matchday squad following illness. In attack, Harvey Barnes will be pushing for a starting spot, having contributed five goal involvements across his last seven home FA Cup appearances.
Manchester City travel to St. James' Park with a couple of injury concerns and the expectation of rotation ahead of a crucial Champions League fixture. Josko Gvardiol (tibial fracture) and Mateo Kovačić (ankle/heel) are ruled out. Nico O’Reilly is also a minor doubt after picking up a knock. Manager Pep Guardiola is anticipated to rotate his squad, with James Trafford in contention to start in goal. Other players such as John Stones, Rico Lewis, Nico González, Tijjani Reijnders, Jérémy Doku, and Savinho are all pushing for recalls to the starting XI. Despite recent fitness issues, Erling Haaland is available after completing 90 minutes in midweek.
Newcastle vs Man City Match Facts
- Man City have scored at least 2 goals in their last 3 matches against Newcastle in all competitions.
Prediction: Newcastle 1-2 Man City
This FA Cup tie pits two teams with contrasting fortunes and styles against each other. While Newcastle possess strengths in counter-attacking and attacking set pieces, their defensive vulnerabilities, particularly against long shots and in aerial duels, could be exploited by a potent Manchester City side. The visitors, despite potential rotation, boast significant attacking strengths, including creating chances and effective counter-attacks. Although they have shown some weakness in defending set pieces and protecting leads, their overall quality and depth are likely to shine through. The Citizens' recent head-to-head record and their consistent ability to score multiple goals against the Magpies suggest they will have the edge, even away from home.
Best Bet: Man City to Score Over 1.5 Goals Click here to get the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Given the match fact that Manchester City have scored at least two goals in their last three meetings with Newcastle, and their general offensive power, betting on them to score over 1.5 goals appears to be a strong option. Despite expected rotation, City's squad depth ensures they can still field a formidable attacking lineup, capable of breaching Newcastle's defence, especially considering the home side's defensive weaknesses.
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