Brighton vs Liverpool Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Premier League Odds for Saturday, March 21st
Brighton host Liverpool in a crucial Premier League clash at their home ground on Friday 21st March at 12:30 GMT. The hosts, currently sitting in 12th position, will be looking to climb the table, while the visitors, in 5th place, aim to solidify their standing.
OC Staff - March 21, 2026, 6:30 AM EDT
3 Minute ReadBrighton vs Liverpool: Lineups, Team News and Prediction
Brighton host Liverpool in a crucial Premier League clash at their home ground on Friday 21st March at 12:30 GMT. The hosts, currently sitting in 12th position, will be looking to climb the table, while the visitors, in 5th place, aim to solidify their standing.
Brighton vs Liverpool Form
Brighton lost their last outing away to Sunderland 0-1. Over their last six Premier League fixtures, Brighton have recorded 2 win(s), 2 draw(s), and 2 loss(es). Despite their mixed recent form, it's notable that there have been under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of Brighton's last 7 games in the Premier League, suggesting a tighter defensive approach or struggles in attack.
Liverpool drew their last Premier League match away to Tottenham 1-1. In their last six competitive games, the visitors have recorded 3 win(s), 1 draw(s), and 2 loss(es). The visitors, on the other hand, have shown consistent attacking threat, having scored at least 2 goals in their last 7 matches against Brighton in all competitions, a testament to their offensive capabilities.
Brighton vs Liverpool Head to Head
The most recent encounter between these two sides took place in the FA Cup, where Liverpool triumphed 3-0 over Brighton.
Over their last six encounters, Brighton have recorded 1 win(s), there have been 0 draw(s), and Liverpool have secured 5 win(s). The head-to-head record also reveals a tendency for high-scoring affairs when these two meet, with over 2.5 goals seen in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions. Interestingly, Brighton have managed to score at least 2 goals in their last 5 home matches against Liverpool, indicating they can trouble the visitors' defence at their own ground. However, Liverpool have largely dominated recent meetings, winning 5 of their last 6 encounters.
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Brighton vs Liverpool Odds
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Brighton vs Liverpool Probable Lineups
Brighton (4-3-3): Verbruggen (GK), Kadioglu (DL), Dunk (DC), Hecke (DC), Wieffer (DR), Groß (MC), Baleba (DM), Hinshelwood (MC), Minteh (FL), Welbeck (FC), Gómez (FR)
Liverpool (4-2-3-1): Becker (GK), Kerkez (DL), Dijk (DC), Konaté (DC), Frimpong (DR), Gravenberch (DM), Allister (DM), Gakpo (AML), Szoboszlai (AMC), Wirtz (AMR), Ekitiké (FC)
Brighton vs Liverpool Team News
Brighton will be without Tzimas (Injured), Webster (Injured). Mitoma (Doubtful) is hoping to return from an ankle injury. Adam Webster and Stefanos Tzimas have been ruled out for the rest of the season.
Liverpool will be missing Bradley (Injured), Isak (Injured), Leoni (Injured), Endo (Injured). Salah (Doubtful) could be swapped out after coming off with an injury. Alexander Isak is back in training but won't feature until after the international break. Wataru Endo, Giovanni Leoni and Conor Bradley are out for the season.
Brighton vs Liverpool Match Facts
- Brighton have seen over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches against Liverpool in all competitions.
- Brighton have scored at least 2 goals in their last 5 home matches against Liverpool in all competitions.
- There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of Brighton's last 7 games in Premier League.
- Liverpool have scored at least 2 goals in their last 7 matches against Brighton in all competitions.
- Liverpool have won 5 of their last 6 matches against Brighton in all competitions.
Prediction: Brighton 1-2 Liverpool
Brighton have turned a corner in recent weeks and another victory here could give them an outside chance of qualifying for Europe. The home side have won just twice at home since December and have lost five of their last six games against Liverpool in all competitions. Liverpool might have swatted Galatasaray aside to reach the Champions League quarter-finals on Wednesday but are making hard work of trying to qualify for the competition next season. Arne Slot's side have slipped up against struggling Wolves and Tottenham in recent weeks and cannot afford to drop many more points from here on in.
Looking at the teams' characteristics, Brighton are strong in creating long shot opportunities and creating chances through individual skill but tend to struggle with avoiding offside and avoiding individual errors. Conversely, Liverpool excel in shooting from direct free kicks and creating long shot opportunities but show vulnerabilities in protecting the lead and avoiding offside. Our analysis suggests that Liverpool will score from a direct freekick and there's a chance that Brighton will make a comeback if they go behind if the game state allows. Given Liverpool's attacking prowess (average 15.83 shots per game and 60.38% possession) and Brighton's defensive frailties, a 2-1 victory for the visitors seems plausible.
Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals (-135) Click here to get the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Given the prediction of 1-2, an 'Over 2.5 Goals' bet seems like a strong option. This is further supported by the fact that Brighton have seen over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches against Liverpool in all competitions. Additionally, Brighton have shown a knack for scoring at home, having scored at least 2 goals in their last 5 home matches against Liverpool in all competitions, while Liverpool are consistently finding the net, as highlighted by them scoring at least 2 goals in their last 7 matches against Brighton in all competitions. These statistics point towards a high-scoring affair.
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