Valencia vs Villarreal Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds

Valencia vs Villarreal Game Preview

Valencia vs Villarreal betting odds lean firmly toward the visitors for this LaLiga matchup at Mestalla, with Villarreal priced at +120 (Polymarket) against hosts still searching for their footing.

Valencia hired Javier Aguirre on September 23, 2026, replacing Carlos Corberán after a start that left them in the relegation zone. They sit 19th and are still waiting on a league win under him.

Villarreal arrive under Iñigo Pérez in mid-table but hardly cruising. They are a side that creates far more than it finishes, which makes them dangerous and frustrating in equal measure.

Villarreal have had Valencia's number lately. They are undefeated in their last 5 games against Valencia in all competitions, and the hosts need something different to stop that run.

Valencia vs Villarreal Recent Results

Valencia have managed a single LaLiga win all season, and a scoreless home tie with Athletic Club last time out summed up the problem. They protect a lead well but rarely build one, with finishing and keeping the ball both weak spots. Javi Guerra has been the spark up the middle, firing 3-plus shots in each of his last three LaLiga outings.

Villarreal were held to a scoreless home tie by Elche last weekend, a week after losing 1-0 at Real Madrid. In the Champions League, Georges Mikautadze and Sergi Cardona put them two goals up at Liverpool, only for the hosts to storm back and win. Alberto Moleiro remains their most willing shooter from the left.

Valencia vs Villarreal Lineups & Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Valencia: Umar Sadiq (Injured/out), Sergi Canós (Injured/out), Diego López (Injured/out), Dimitri Foulquier (Injured/doubtful), Jose Manuel Copete (Injured/doubtful)

Villarreal: Nicolas Pepe (Injured/out), Carlos Romero (Injured/doubtful), Nathan Saliba (Doubtful)

Valencia

Valencia remain without Sergi Canós and Diego López, both recovering from ACL injuries and not expected back until December. Umar Sadiq is out with a hamstring injury until mid-November, while Dimitri Foulquier (adductor) and Jose Manuel Copete (meniscus) are doubts. The good news is Luis Rioja, who is back in contention and expected to start on the left.

Villarreal

The Valencia vs Villarreal lineups news is lighter on the visiting side. Nicolas Pepe is out after eye surgery and is not expected back until the end of October, while Carlos Romero (adductor) and Nathan Saliba are doubts. Tajon Buchanan is available again after a hamstring strain.

Valencia vs Villarreal Predicted Lineup

Valencia

Formation: 4-1-4-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: S. Dimitrievski, J. Gayà, J. d. Haas, C. Tárrega, P. Maffeo, G. Rodríguez, L. Rioja, J. Guerra, Pepelu, D. Raba, A. Danjuma (probable)

Villarreal

Formation: 4-4-2 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: P. Gulácsi, S. Cardona, R. Veiga, J. Foyth, A. Freeman, A. Moleiro, P. Gueye, S. Comesaña, I. Akhomach, G. Moreno, A. Pérez (probable)

Valencia vs Villarreal Key Stats & Game Facts

• There have been 5+ cards in 10 of the last 10 meetings between Valencia and Villarreal in LaLiga.
• Villarreal have had 14+ shots in 7 of their last 7 LaLiga games.
• Guido Rodríguez has made 3+ tackles in 5 of his last 5 LaLiga appearances.
• Alberto Moleiro has recorded 2+ shots on target in 3 of his last 4 LaLiga appearances.
• Gerard Moreno has scored or assisted in 5 of his last 7 LaLiga appearances against Valencia.

Valencia vs Villarreal Prediction & Best Picks

Our Prediction

Our Valencia vs Villarreal prediction is a 2-1 win for Villarreal. The visitors control games in the opposition's half and carve teams open with through balls, and a Valencia side that struggles against counterattacks hands them a direct route to goal. Valencia can still nick one, because Villarreal are poor at stopping opponents from creating opportunities, but the better team is wearing yellow and the favorite's price of +120 (Polymarket) reflects it.

Best Picks

Over 2.5 goals in the Total Goals Over/Under market. The Total Goals Over/Under market is the cleanest way to back a high-scoring game, with our projections putting the total at 3.44 goals. Valencia's soft spot against counters and Villarreal's steady volume of opportunities point to a messy, open game rather than a stubborn one.

Both teams to score: Yes, in the Both Teams To Score market. In the Both Teams To Score market, Yes lines up neatly with our projected scoreline, and both teams have scored in 6 of the last 8 meetings between Valencia and Villarreal in LaLiga. Villarreal create plenty but finish poorly, while Valencia's set-piece defending gives the visitors a second way in.

Valencia vs Villarreal Same Game Parlay

Our Valencia vs Villarreal same game parlay picks lean on the visiting attack and a feisty edge: a Santiago Mouriño card, Alberto Moleiro shots, a Nicolas Pepe shot on target and Villarreal corners.

Santiago Mouriño To Be Shown A Card. He has picked up a card against Valencia in each of his past three meetings, and this matchup rarely stays calm.

Alberto Moleiro Over 1.5 Player Shots. He has gotten off 2-plus shots in six straight LaLiga appearances, and Villarreal's possession style keeps feeding him on the left.

Nicolas Pepe Over 0.5 Player Shots On Target. Five of his past six LaLiga outings have brought at least one shot on target, but he is listed out after eye surgery, so confirm he plays before kickoff.

Villarreal Over 6.5 Total Away Corners. This leg has hit in 6 of the last 7, and a side that camps in the opposition's half tends to pile up corners.

Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.

Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.

Valencia vs Villarreal Talking Points

Off the field, Valencia announced on October 23, 2026 that investment group Pitchwise Holdings agreed a deal with Peter Lim's Meriton Holdings. The group is taking a 42% stake, with Meriton keeping majority control. On the field, Aguirre still needs a first league win in charge, and his side's best trait, protecting a lead, runs straight into a Villarreal team that is good at coming back from losing positions. The flip side matters too. Villarreal's collapse at Anfield showed they cannot sit on a lead, so even a fast start from the visitors leaves the door open for a home goal.

Valencia vs Villarreal Predictions FAQs

When is the Valencia vs Villarreal LaLiga game?

The game kicks off at 12:30 PM ET / 9:30 AM PT on Saturday, during the 2026/2027 LaLiga season.

Where is Valencia vs Villarreal being played?

The game is being played at Mestalla.

Who is in the probable lineups for Valencia vs Villarreal?

Valencia's probable lineup includes S. Dimitrievski, J. Gayà, Pepelu and A. Danjuma, while Villarreal's includes P. Gulácsi, R. Veiga, S. Comesaña and G. Moreno. These are probable selections, not confirmed teams.

Which players are missing for Valencia vs Villarreal?

Valencia are without U. Sadiq, S. Canós and D. López through injury, with D. Foulquier and Copete doubtful. Villarreal are without N. Pepe through injury, with N. Saliba and C. Romero doubtful.

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