PSG vs Troyes Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds
PSG vs Troyes prediction, predicted lineups, best picks and odds to back. Plus Same Game Parlay ideas, team news and standout odds for this Ligue 1 game.
Cody Moore - November 7, 2026, 11:17 AM EST
6 minutesPSG vs Troyes Game Preview
Competition | French Ligue 1 |
|---|---|
Game Date | Saturday, November 7, 2026 |
Game Time | 3:05 PM ET / 12:05 PM PT |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Paris, Parc des Princes |
Ligue 1 leaders PSG host struggling Troyes at Parc des Princes on Saturday, and the PSG vs Troyes betting odds say it all: Paris are -500 (Polymarket) on the moneyline.
Paris sit top of the standings, two points clear of Lille. They arrive off a 5-1 rout at Le Havre, where right back Achraf Hakimi helped himself to a hat-trick.
Troyes sit 16th, back in the top flight after winning the Ligue 2 title under Stéphane Dumont. Last weekend's 2-0 home win over Le Mans gave them something to build on.
The head-to-head offers Troyes little comfort, with Paris taking 11 wins from the last 12 meetings in all competitions. Our PSG vs Troyes prediction leans the same way.
PSG vs Troyes Recent Results
PSG have won every one of their most recent 10 outings against all opponents, and they are not winning quietly. Hakimi's hat-trick headlined the rout at Le Havre in Ligue 1, with Mika Godts and Senny Mayulu also scoring, and Paris hammered Villarreal 6-0 away in the Champions League.
Troyes have managed only 2 wins across the past 10 outings against all opponents, but the mood has lifted. Beating Le Mans at home made it back-to-back league games without defeat after a three-game losing skid, with Mouhamed Diop and Ismaël Boura on the scoresheet.
PSG vs Troyes Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
PSG: Marquinhos (Injured/out), Ousmane Dembélé (Injured/out), Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (Injured/out), Nuno Mendes (Injured/out)
Troyes: Yacouba Koné (Injured/out), Anis Ouzenadji (Injured/doubtful)
PSG
The PSG vs Troyes lineups are shaped by a long Paris injury list. Marquinhos (thigh) and Nuno Mendes (muscle) are out and expected to miss the next few weeks, Ousmane Dembélé is sidelined with a thigh injury, and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia is done for the season with a cruciate ligament injury. Achraf Hakimi is expected to return at right back, with Senny Mayulu leading the line.
Troyes
Yacouba Koné is out with a cruciate ligament injury, and Anis Ouzenadji is a doubt as he recovers from a sprained ankle. The better news is that Ismaël Boura is back in contention after a hip problem and scored against Le Mans last time out, while Yvann Titi returns to the squad after a muscle injury.
PSG vs Troyes Predicted Lineup
PSG
Formation: 4-3-3 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: Matvey Safonov; Achraf Hakimi, Illia Zabarnyi, Lucas Hernández, Lucas Digne; Warren Zaïre-Emery, Maghnes Akliouche, Dro Fernández; Ferran Torres, Senny Mayulu, Mika Godts
Troyes
Formation: 4-3-3 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: Hillel Konaté; Lucas Maronnier, Adrien Monfray, Junior Diaz, Paolo Gozzi; Dermane Karim, Antoine Mille, Mouhamed Diop; Merwan Ifnaoui, Renaud Ripart, Timothé Nkada
PSG vs Troyes Key Stats & Game Facts
- PSG have scored 2+ goals in 8 out of 8 games against Troyes in Ligue 1.
- PSG have had 7+ shots on target in 7 of their last 7 games in Ligue 1.
- Junior Diaz has been carded in 3 of his last 3 appearances in Ligue 1.
- PSG have had 15+ shots in 9 of their last 9 games in Ligue 1.
- PSG have had 6+ corners in 3 of their last 3 games against Troyes in Ligue 1.
PSG vs Troyes Prediction & Best Picks
Our Prediction
Our prediction is PSG 3-1 Troyes. The gap in quality is glaring: Paris create relentlessly down the wings and with through balls, and Troyes are weak at defending wide attacks and counters, which is why the visitors sit at +1800 (Polymarket) on the moneyline. Troyes can still find the net once, because PSG are not good at stopping opponents from creating opportunities.
Best Picks
Both Teams To Score: Yes. Troyes carry enough threat on the break to score at the Parc des Princes, and PSG are expected to score freely. This one sits in the Both Teams To Score market. PSG's soft spot is what happens when they lose the ball, and a Troyes side built on long balls and crosses can punish it. Our projections rate this at 57.18%, comfortably above the implied probability of the price.
Total Goals Over/Under: Over 3.5 goals. PSG's attack should drive a high-scoring game against a Troyes side that lets in goals. This one sits in the Total Goals Over/Under market. Our projections land on 3.96 total goals, with Paris doing most of the heavy lifting. The lower line is priced far too short to bother with, so this is the spot to attack.
PSG vs Troyes Same Game Parlay
Our PSG vs Troyes same game parlay picks combine a Junior Diaz card, PSG home goals and two Désiré Doué shooting props.
Junior Diaz To Be Shown A Card: the center back has picked up a card in each of his three most recent Ligue 1 appearances, and he will be chasing PSG's wide runners.
PSG Over 1.5 in Total Home Goals. Paris have scored at least 2 goals in their last 5 games in Ligue 1, and Troyes are vulnerable to attacks down the wings.
Désiré Doué Over 0.5 in Player Shots On Target. The prop has cashed in four straight outings for him, and with Dembélé and Kvaratskhelia sidelined, more of the shooting falls to him.
Désiré Doué Over 3.5 in Player Shots. It has cleared in three of the past four games he played, and a Troyes side that struggles to keep the ball will give him plenty of looks.
Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.
Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.
PSG vs Troyes Talking Points
Luis Enrique is not taking Troyes lightly. In his pre-game press conference, the PSG boss warned that games against lower-ranked teams often bring the toughest mental tests, and that past results do not win the next game. He pointed to rugby's All Blacks as an inspiration, demanding his players perform like "machines" from the first minute to the last, whatever the score. The tactical matchup mostly backs Paris. They love attacking down the wings, and Troyes are poor at defending wide attacks and counters. But Troyes go long, cross often and hold their own in aerial duels, which happens to be a PSG weak spot. That is exactly how they could grab the goal behind one of our PSG vs Troyes best picks.
PSG vs Troyes Predictions FAQs
When is the PSG vs Troyes Ligue 1 game?
The game is on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at 3:05 PM ET / 12:05 PM PT.
Where is PSG vs Troyes being played?
The game is being played at Parc des Princes in Paris.
Which PSG players are injured for the PSG vs Troyes game?
Marquinhos, Ousmane Dembélé, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Nuno Mendes are listed as injured for PSG.
What are the predicted win probabilities for PSG vs Troyes?
Our projections give PSG a 79.38% win probability, Troyes an 8.25% win probability, and a 12.36% probability of a tie.
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