Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest La Liga Odds for Saturday, October 4th
Real Madrid will host Villareal on Saturday afternoon, looking to extend their lead in the second position and chase down Barcelona. Villareal is right on their heels in third, and this should be an exciting battle of top flight teams. Let's take a look at our Real Madrid vs. Villareal prediction for Saturday, October 4th.
OC Staff - October 3, 2025, 7:20 PM EDT
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Real Madrid, currently second in La Liga, will host Villarreal, who sit just one place behind them, in what promises to be a thrilling encounter at the Santiago Bernabéu on Saturday, October 4, 2025, at 19:00 UTC.
Real Madrid vs Villarreal Form
Real Madrid enjoyed a phenomenal start to the season, winning their opening six La Liga games. However, their last match saw them suffer a disappointing defeat away to local rivals Atletico.
Villarreal are also in impressive form, sitting third in the league standings. They have won their last three league games and are only two points behind Real Madrid. The Yellow Submarine have also won 11 of their last 13 La Liga matches, demonstrating their strong form.
Real Madrid vs Villarreal Head to Head
The last time these two sides met in La Liga, Villarreal emerged victorious with a 2-1 win at home in March 2025.
Historically, Real Madrid have dominated this fixture, especially at home, remaining undefeated in 22 of their last 24 home matches against Villarreal in all competitions. However, Villarreal have proven to be a tough opponent, as evidenced by their recent win and the fact that they have won four of the last six matches between the sides.
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Real Madrid vs. Villareal Odds
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Real Madrid vs Villarreal Probable Lineups
Real Madrid (3-4-1-2): Courtois; Tchouaméni, Huijsen, Militão; Carreras, Camavinga, Güler, Valverde; Bellingham; Mbappé, Júnior
Villarreal (4-4-2): Júnior; Cardona, Marín, Veiga, Mouriño; Moleiro, Gueye, Partey, Akhomach; Mikautadze, Pépé
Real Madrid vs Villarreal Team News
Real Madrid are dealing with several key injuries. Alexander-Arnold, Rüdiger, and Carvajal are all sidelined, while Mendy is doubtful.
Villarreal also have a lengthy injury list, with Costa, Kambwala, Foyth, and Cabanes all unavailable. Pérez and Moreno are also doubts for the visitors.
Real Madrid vs Villarreal Match Facts
- Real Madrid are undefeated in 22 of their last 24 home matches against Villarreal in all competitions.
- Real Madrid have scored at least 2 goals in their last 6 matches in LaLiga.
- Real Madrid have scored at least 2 goals in their last 6 matches against Villarreal in all competitions.
Prediction: Real Madrid 3-1 Villarreal
Despite Villarreal's strong form and recent victory over Real Madrid, the home side's historical dominance in this fixture, coupled with their need to bounce back from their recent defeat, suggests they will be too strong. Real Madrid's attacking prowess, as highlighted by their tendency to score at least two goals per game, should see them secure a victory. The match forecast also suggests that Villarreal will create many scoring chances.
Best Bet: Over 3.5 Goals (+100) Click here to get the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Given that Real Madrid have scored at least two goals in their last six matches against Villarreal and that there have been over 2.5 goals scored in five of Real Madrid's last six games in La Liga, backing over 3.5 goals in this match seems a solid bet.
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