Women's Australian Open Final Odds, Prediction, Best Bet for Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina
The Women's Australian Open Final is set for Saturday at 3:30 AM, with Aryna Sabalenka meeting Elena Rybakina for the 15th time. Can Sabalenka maintain her slight advantage in this rematch of the 2023 title? Peter Alexis breaks down the Women's Australian Open Final odds for Saturday, January 31st.
Peter Alexis - January 29, 2026, 3:00 PM EST
4 Minute ReadWomen's Australian Open Final Odds: Can Aryna Sabalenka Add Another Aussie Open Title on Saturday?
The Australian Open women’s final is set, and it brings together the two most imposing forces of the tournament. World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka will take on fifth seeded Elena Rybakina in a matchup that feels fitting for the way this event has unfolded. Both players cruised through their semifinals in straight sets, never truly looking threatened, and now the title comes down to power, precision, and nerve on the biggest stage in Melbourne.
This is not unfamiliar territory for either player. Sabalenka enters as a -163 favorite, while Rybakina sits at +140, and the odds reflect both recent history and long term dominance. These two have faced each other 14 times, with Sabalenka holding a narrow 8-6 edge. Most notably, this is a direct rematch of the 2023 Australian Open final, where Sabalenka outlasted Rybakina in three sets to claim her first title in Melbourne.
For Sabalenka, Saturday is about legacy. She won back to back Australian Open titles in 2023 and 2024 before falling short last year in a surprise loss to Madison Keys. Now she has a chance to reclaim the crown and secure her third title in four years at a venue where she has been at her best.
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Women's Australian Open Winner Odds
Women's Australian Open Final Prediction
Sabalenka’s path to the final has been dominant. As the top seed, she has combined overwhelming power with improved shot selection, cutting down on the errors that once plagued her game. Her serve has been a major weapon all fortnight, allowing her to control points early and dictate rallies on her terms. When Sabalenka is landing first serves, she is extremely difficult to break, especially on these fast Melbourne courts.
Rybakina presents a unique challenge, though. Her flat groundstrokes and elite serving make her one of the few players capable of matching Sabalenka shot for shot. She has looked sharp throughout the tournament, dispatching better opponents like No. 6 Jess Pegula and No.2 Iga Swiatek efficiently. At +140, she is not being dismissed by the market, and her calm demeanor under pressure is a real asset in a final like this.
The head to head history favors Sabalenka slightly, but it also shows how tight these matchups tend to be. Their 2023 final went the distance, and several of their recent meetings have hinged on a handful of key points. Rybakina’s ability to redirect pace and take the ball early can trouble Sabalenka if rallies extend and the Belarusian becomes impatient.
Still, the edge lies with Sabalenka in this setting. She has proven she can win finals in Melbourne, she understands how to handle the occasion, and she has already beaten Rybakina here with everything on the line. Her motivation after last year’s disappointment adds another layer, and her overall level this tournament has been consistently higher.
Women's Australian Open Final Pick
Pick: Aryna Sabalenka Moneyline -163 Check out these Best Women's Australian Open Odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
The price is not cheap, but it is justified. Sabalenka’s track record in Melbourne, her slight edge in the head to head, and her form throughout the tournament all point in the same direction. Rybakina is more than capable of pushing this match deep, but if Sabalenka plays to her standard, she should have enough to lift the Australian Open trophy once again.
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