Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs. Tommy Paul Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Miami Odds for Tuesday's Round of 16
Tommy Paul is looking to avoid trouble in the Round of 16 as a sizable favorite over Tomas Martin Etcheverry. Can he advance to the quarterfinals after a few three-set opening matches? Peter Alexis analyzes this Etchevery vs. Paul Round of 16 match at the Miami Open on Tuesday afternoon.
Peter Alexis - March 24, 2026, 11:15 AM EDT
4 Minute ReadTomas Martin Etcheverry vs. Tommy Paul Prediction: Can Paul Advance in Round of 16 on Tuesday in Miami?
The Miami Open Round of 16 continues Tuesday afternoon with Tommy Paul taking on Tomas Martin Etcheverry for a spot in the quarterfinals. Paul enters as a -280 favorite, while Etcheverry comes back at +225, with the American looking to defend home soil against the No. 29-ranked Argentine. According to ESPN’s Miami scoreboard, the match is scheduled for 2:00 p.m. ET.
This is their first career meeting, which adds some uncertainty despite the market leaning clearly toward Paul. The American is ranked No. 22 and has already been tested in Miami, while Etcheverry, ranked No. 29, has quietly put together a strong run of his own. That makes this a more interesting matchup than the price might suggest.
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Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs. Tommy Paul Odds
- Moneyline: Etcheverry (+225), Paul (-280)
Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs. Tommy Paul Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Tuesday, March 24th, 2026
- Time: 2:00 PM ET
- Where to Watch: Tennis Channel
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Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs. Tommy Paul Prediction
Paul has had to work for his wins in Miami. He beat Adrian Mannarino 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 in his opener, then followed it up with a 6-2, 3-6, 7-6(5) win over Raphael Collignon to reach the Round of 16. Those results suggest he is finding ways through pressure moments, even if he has not looked completely dominant yet.
Etcheverry has been steadier through two matches. He beat Zizou Bergs 7-6(5), 7-6(3) and then Rafael Jodar 7-5, 6-4, advancing without dropping a set. More broadly, his form this season deserves respect too. ATP noted last month that Etcheverry won his first ATP Tour title in Rio after previously losing his first three tour-level finals, a sign that he is playing with growing confidence in 2026.
The matchup points toward a competitive contest rather than a straightforward Paul win. Paul is the better athlete and should have the crowd behind him, but his first two matches in Miami both went three sets, while Etcheverry has been serving well enough and striking the ball cleanly enough to extend rallies and pressure Paul from the baseline. With no head-to-head history to lean on and both players arriving in solid form, this feels like a spot where the favorite likely advances but has to earn it.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs. Tommy Paul Best Bet
- Pick: Over 22.5 Games (-115) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
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