Martin Landaluce v Daniil Medvedev Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Italian Open Quarterfinal Odds - Thursday, May 14th
Daniil Medvedev enters the Italian Open Quarterfinal well rested, and will look to dominate against Martin Landaluce on Thursday afternoon. Can he cruise as a favorite in straight sets and advance to the semifinal against Sinner? Let's take a look at this Martin Landaluce vs. Daniil Medvedev prediction and best betting pick for Thursday, May 14th.
Peter Alexis - May 14, 2026, 7:00 AM EDT
4 Minute ReadMartin Landaluce v Daniil Medvedev Prediction: Can Medvedev Continue Italian Open Heater in Thursday's Quarterfinal?
Martin Landaluce meets Daniil Medvedev on Thursday, May 14, at 1 p.m. ET in the quarterfinals of the ATP Rome Italian Open. Medvedev is favored at -300, while Landaluce continues his breakout run as a dangerous underdog trying to reach a Masters 1000 semifinal.
The best bet is Medvedev to win 2-0 at -115. The moneyline is too expensive, but the set market creates a better way to back the more proven player after Medvedev turned the corner in his last match and now enters this quarterfinal with a cleaner rhythm.
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Martin Landaluce v Daniil Medvedev Odds
- Moneyline: Landaluce (+240), Medvedev (-300)
Martin Landaluce v Daniil Medvedev Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Thursday, May 14th, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Where to Watch: Tennis Channel
Click here for complete Landaluce vs. Medvedev Odds
Martin Landaluce v Daniil Medvedev Prediction
Medvedev’s tournament started with some turbulence after he dropped the opening set to Pablo Llamas Ruiz before rallying for a 3-6, 6-4, 6-2 win. The response mattered. He followed it with a much sharper 6-3, 6-2 win over Thiago Agustin Tirante in just one hour and 22 minutes, showing the level jump that makes him so dangerous when he settles into a clay-court match tactically.
Landaluce deserves respect for the run. The lucky loser has beaten Mattia Bellucci 6-4, 6-3 and Hamad Medjedovic 7-5, 6-4, turning this into the biggest week of his young career. He has been composed in tight sets and has handled the moment well, but this is a major step up against a player who has already won Rome before and knows how to stretch opponents into uncomfortable patterns on this surface.
The matchup favors Medvedev if he starts cleanly. Landaluce has enough confidence to make this interesting, but Medvedev’s return depth, movement, and ability to redirect rallies should gradually take away the underdog’s attacking rhythm. The key is avoiding the slow start that made the Llamas Ruiz match more complicated. If Medvedev gets ahead early, he can force Landaluce into low-percentage aggression and keep the match from turning into a crowd-friendly upset bid.
Martin Landaluce v Daniil Medvedev Best Bet
- Best Bet: Medvedev 2-0 (-115) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Landaluce has been a great story, but Medvedev is rested, sharper after the Tirante win, and positioned to control the match from the baseline. Rather than laying -300 on the moneyline, the straight-sets market is the better value on a favorite who should cruise into the semifinals if he brings the level from his last round.
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