Lorenzo Sonego vs. Tommy Paul Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest French Open Odds - Wednesday, May 27th
Tommy Paul is a big favorite in his second round matchup at the French Open against Lorenzo Sonego. Can he make quick work in a clear talent gap? Let's take a look at this Sonego vs. Paul prediction and best bet for Wednesday, May 27th.
Peter Alexis - May 27, 2026, 8:00 AM EDT
4 Minute ReadLorenzo Sonego vs. Tommy Paul Prediction: Will Tommy Paul Dominate in Second Round of French Open?
Tommy Paul faces Lorenzo Sonego on Wednesday, May 27, at 11 a.m. ET in the French Open second round. Paul is a heavy -630 favorite, while Sonego comes back at +450 after surviving a five-set opener.
Paul leads the head-to-head 3-1 and enters with the stronger 2026 profile. He has already posted 24 wins this season, compared to just four for Sonego, and the market is treating him like the much more reliable player entering this matchup.
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Lorenzo Sonego vs. Tommy Paul Odds
- Moneyline: Sonego (+480), Paul (-690)
Lorenzo Sonego vs. Tommy Paul Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Wednesday, May 27th, 2026
- Time: 11:00 AM ET
- Where to Watch: TNT, TruTV, HBOMax
Click here for complete Sonego vs. Paul Odds
Lorenzo Sonego vs. Tommy Paul Prediction
Sonego’s first round was a grind. He beat Pierre-Hugues Herbert in five sets, 7-6, 5-7, 6-2, 1-6, 6-4, which showed his toughness but also forced him to spend significant energy before facing a much more physical opponent. Paul, meanwhile, got past Rinky Hijikata in four sets and should enter with the cleaner legs.
Paul’s path is straightforward. He has to use his movement, return game, and baseline consistency to keep Sonego from dictating with the forehand. If Paul gets ahead, Sonego will have to press, and that should create enough errors for the American to close sets without needing tiebreaks.
Sonego has reached the third round at Roland Garros twice, so he is not out of place on this surface. The problem is that his 2026 form has not been close to Paul’s, and the physical toll from the Herbert match makes this a difficult turnaround.
Lorenzo Sonego vs. Tommy Paul Best Bet
- Best Bet: Tommy Paul to Win 3-0 Sets (+105) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Paul 3-0 at +105 is the play. The moneyline is too expensive, but the straight-sets market gives a better payout on the same matchup edge. Paul’s form, head-to-head advantage, and fresher legs make him a strong candidate to handle this cleanly.
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