Casper Ruud vs. Tommy Paul Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest French Open Odds - Friday, May 28th
Casper Ruud narrowly survived a five-set heat stroke match earlier this week, and now faces a strong test with Tommy Paul against him at Roland Garros. Can Ruud roll in this third round battle? Let's take a look at this Ruud vs. Paul prediction and best bet for Friday, May 29th.
Peter Alexis - May 29, 2026, 7:30 AM EDT
4 Minute ReadCasper Ruud vs. Tommy Paul Prediction: Does American Tommy Paul Stand a Chance Against Clay Star Ruud?
Casper Ruud faces Tommy Paul on Friday, May 29, at 11 a.m. ET in the third round of the French Open. Ruud is a -265 favorite, while Paul comes back at +245 in a matchup that gives the Norwegian another chance to reinforce his status as one of the best clay players left in the draw.
Ruud’s tournament nearly collapsed in the opening round when he battled extreme heat, cramps, and exhaustion against Roman Safiullin, but he survived in five sets and responded exactly how a title contender should. His second-round win over Hamad Medjedovic was far cleaner, as Ruud rolled 6-3, 6-2, 6-4 and looked physically recovered from the scare.
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Casper Ruud vs. Tommy Paul Odds
- Moneyline: Ruud (-265), Paul (+245)
Casper Ruud vs. Tommy Paul Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Friday, May 29th, 2026
- Time: 11:00 AM ET
- Where to Watch: TNT, TruTV, HBOMax
Click here for complete Ruud vs. Paul Odds
Casper Ruud vs. Tommy Paul Prediction
That second-round performance matters because Ruud has become a much bigger threat with Sinner gone. He has reached multiple Roland Garros finals, knows how to build points on this surface, and has the patience to wear down opponents who are not natural clay specialists. His forehand patterns, court positioning, and ability to turn defense into control make him a difficult draw for Paul.
Paul has done his job well to start the tournament. He has advanced into the third round with solid form and enough confidence to believe he can make Ruud work. The American has improved on clay over the last few seasons, and his athleticism gives him a chance to steal momentum if Ruud starts slowly or lets the match drift into neutral rallies.
The issue for Paul is sustaining that level over best-of-five against a player who lives on this surface. He can win a set with aggressive returning, clean backhand exchanges, or a temporary dip from Ruud. Winning the match is a much tougher ask. Ruud’s clay résumé and second-round reset point toward him taking control eventually.
Casper Ruud vs. Tommy Paul Best Bet
- Best Bet: Casper Ruud To Win Match + Tommy Paul To Win At Least One Set (+123) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Ruud to win the match while Paul wins at least one set at +123 is the sharper angle than guessing an exact 3-1 scoreline. Paul has enough form and athleticism to fight his way onto the scoreboard, but Ruud is the better clay player and should have the stronger closing level if he avoids another heat-related collapse.
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