Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Wimbledon Odds for Wednesday's Second Round
Rafael Jodar faces Pablo Carreno Busta in an all-Spanish Wimbledon Round 2 matchup on Wednesday, July 1. The match brings together one of Spain’s fastest-rising young players and one of its grittiest veterans, just weeks after their five-set thriller at Roland Garros.
Peter Alexis - July 1, 2026, 9:45 AM EDT
4 Minute ReadRafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta Prediction: Can Busta Give the Youngster Another Battle After French Open Thriller Last Month?
Rafael Jodar meets Pablo Carreno Busta on Wednesday, July 1, at 11:30 a.m. ET in the second round at Wimbledon. The matchup carries a fascinating generational split, with the 19-year-old Jodar facing a fellow Spaniard 15 years older and far more experienced in best-of-five Grand Slam tennis.
Jodar is the -420 favorite after a strong Wimbledon debut, while Carreno Busta enters with the kind of veteran profile that can turn straightforward matches into long, uncomfortable battles. Their Roland Garros meeting in May adds another layer, as Carreno Busta took the first two sets before Jodar found his game and stormed back in five.
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Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta Odds
- Moneyline: Jodar (-420), Busta (+320)
Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Wednesday, July 1st, 2026
- Time: 11:30 AM ET
- Where to Watch: ESPN
Click here for complete Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta Odds
Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta Prediction
Jodar’s rise has been one of the Spanish stories of the season. He announced himself in Paris with a quarterfinal run and then handled his first professional grass-court match at Wimbledon with impressive maturity, beating British wildcard Felix Gill in straight sets. His serve, baseline power and athleticism give him the higher ceiling, especially if he can dictate rallies early and keep the match from becoming a physical grind.
Carreno Busta’s case is built on competitiveness and match management. He may not have Jodar’s current upside, but he has been one of the tougher players on tour for years because he rarely gives opponents clean matches. He can defend, extend rallies, absorb pace and force younger players to prove they can stay disciplined across multiple sets.
The Roland Garros head-to-head is the key betting note. Carreno Busta was up 6-4, 6-4 before Jodar flipped the match and won the final three sets 6-1, 6-2, 6-2. That result showed both sides of this matchup: Carreno Busta can absolutely start hot and take control, but Jodar has the shot-making and physical upside to adjust and come back once he settles.
The grass surface adds some uncertainty. Jodar looked comfortable in Round 1, but Carreno Busta’s first-round win came in unusual circumstances after Shapovalov retired, so it is hard to know exactly how much grass-court form to take from that match. Still, Carreno Busta was already up two sets when the retirement happened, and that supports the idea that he can be competitive early again.
Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta Best Bet
- Best Bet: Carreno Busta To Win At Least One Set x Jodar ML (+121) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
The best bet is Carreno Busta to win at least one set and Jodar moneyline at +121. Jodar is the better overall pick to advance, but Carreno Busta’s veteran edge, gritty style and Roland Garros start make it hard to trust a clean straight-sets result. Over 3.5 sets at -140 is the safer version, but the combo provides better value by pairing Carreno Busta’s set-winning path with Jodar’s superior upside to finish the job.
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