Soonwoo Kwon v Tommy Paul Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Wimbledon First Round Odds - Wednesday, July 1st
Tommy Paul takes on rising qualifier Soonwoo Kwon in a compelling Wimbledon second-round matchup on Wednesday, July 1. The in-form American favorite looks to carry his grass-court momentum into the tournament's third round, while Kwon hopes to ride the confidence of his impressive opening-round upset to land a massive Grand Slam shock at the All England Club.
Oliver Leonard - July 1, 2026, 10:30 AM EDT
4 Minute ReadSoonwoo Kwon v Tommy Paul Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Wimbledon First Round Odds - Wednesday, July 1st
Soonwoo Kwon faces Tommy Paul on Wednesday, July 1st, in a Wimbledon men’s second-round match expected to get underway around 6am ET, depending on the duration of the matches scheduled ahead of it. Paul enters as a heavy -800 favorite to secure his spot in the third round with a clinical performance, while Kwon steps onto the grass as a sizeable +570 underdog aiming to execute a massive Grand Slam upset.
Paul is listed as a strong favorite following a comfortable opening-week transition to the grass of the All England Club. The American No. 21 seed has established himself as one of the tour's most natural movers on this surface, using his exceptional footwork and transition game to neutralize big hitters. Looking to secure a deep run at SW19, Paul enters the second round with his rhythm firmly intact and plenty of confidence on fast courts.
Kwon, who advanced through the qualifying draw to make his presence felt in London, is a flat-hitting competitor with zero pressure on his shoulders. The South Korean star possesses highly compact strokes that excel in low-bouncing conditions, meaning he has the technical profile to make life difficult if the favorite experiences any mid-match lulls.
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Soonwoo Kwon v Tommy Paul Odds
- Moneyline: Kwon (+570), Paul (-800)
- Total Games: Over/Under 34.5 (+102 / -115)
Soonwoo Kwon v Tommy Paul Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Wednesday, July 1st, 2026
- Time: 6:00 AM ET (approximate)
- Where to Watch: ESPN, ESPN+
Click here for complete Kwon v Paul Odds
Soonwoo Kwon v Tommy Paul Prediction
Paul’s world-class court coverage, sharp backhand slice, and high tennis IQ make him a brutal matchup on grass. He handles low-skidding balls with ease and has the tactical variety to drag baseline-bound opponents into uncomfortable areas of the court. His primary directive on Wednesday will be to serve efficiently, dictate with his forehand, and avoid giving the underdog free rhythm from the back of the court.
Kwon enters the matchup with the distinct advantage of having multiple grass court reps under his belt this season. Because he plays a flat, low-to-the-net game, he won't be easily overwhelmed by the speed of the surface. His path to a competitive match relies on playing hyper-aggressive first-strike tennis and targeting Paul's second serve before the American can settle into extended rallies.
The oddsmakers are rightfully favoring Paul's elite pedigree and recent form over Kwon's qualifier status. While Kwon has the raw tools to redline his game and capture a highly competitive set, Paul's defensive resilience and ability to extend points will wear the South Korean down over a best-of-five setting. Expect Kwon to push hard early, but Paul’s baseline depth should eventually break the match wide open.
Soonwoo Kwon v Tommy Paul Best Bet
Best Bet: Match Total Over 34.5 Games (+102) — Check out the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Back the Over 34.5 total games at plus-money value. While Paul is highly likely to advance, laying -800 on the moneyline offers absolutely no return for bettors. Instead, backing a longer match is a smarter play. Kwon has already found his rhythm on these courts and possesses the flat baseline depth to catch Paul off guard in an early set. If the qualifier can squeeze out a 7-5 or 7-6 set, or simply hold serve consistently across four tight sets, this match will comfortably fly past the 34.5-game threshold.
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