Horse Racing Tips & Predictions: Liam Firkin Thursday Selections
Ayr 16:05 Betting Odds- Winner
San Miguel Handicap
- Starters:10
- Distance:7f 50y
- Class: 5
- Age:3YO plus
- Prize:£4187
- Going:Heavy (Soft in places)
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| 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 |
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| 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 |
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| 5 |  Jason Hart500121 | 2 | 2 | 17/8 | 15/8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7/4 | 85/40 | 2 | 15/8 | 2 | 7/4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15/8 | 23/10 | 9/4 | |
| 4 |  Billy Garritty5-7073 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10/3 | 4 | 4 | 10/3 | 7/2 | 10/3 | 7/2 | 4 | 9/2 | 4 | 7/2 | 4 | 100/ 30 | 4 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 10/3 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 24/5 | 24/5 | |
| 1 |  Rhys Elliott876531 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 9/2 | 5 | 5 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 5 | 5 | 11/2 | 5 | 9/2 | 5 | 9/2 | 5 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 5 | 9/2 | 549/ 100 | 549/ 100 | |
| 10 |  D Allan723352 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 13/2 | 15/2 | 6 | 7 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 7 | 13/2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 15/2 | 7 | 7 | 13/2 | 7 | 13/2 | 441/ 50 | 441/ 50 | |
| 7 |  P Mulrennan202523 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 6 | 15/2 | 6 | 15/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 15/2 | 13/2 | 196/ 25 | 803/ 100 | |
| 8 |  O J Orr426153 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 17/2 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 15/2 | 9 | 15/2 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 17/2 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 15/2 | 9 | 17/2 | 113/ 10 | 113/ 10 | |
| 3 |  C Horgan870671 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 14 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 20 | 18 | 25 | 26 | |
| 9 |  H Crouch480440 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 20 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 20 | 18 | 27 | 27 | |
| 6 |  Jack Nicholls111508 | 33 | 28 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 25 | 28 | 25 | 33 | 33 | 40 | 33 | 28 | 33 | 28 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 33 | 28 | 58 | 63 | |
| 2 |  Warren Fentiman174246 | 33 | 33 | 40 | 33 | 35 | 40 | 40 | 28 | 33 | 28 | 40 | 40 | 50 | 40 | 33 | 33 | 40 | 40 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 40 | 28 | 46 | 48 | |
Ayr 16:05 Racecard & Betting Preview
Horse Number
Notables
Overview
Odds
1 (6) One Night Thunderg (GB) 9
Form: 876531
Age: 6
Weight:
10 - 1
Colour: ch
Dam: Elis Eliz
Sire: Night Of Thunder
Dam's Sire: Lord Shanakill
Trainer: G Tutty
Jockey: Rhys Elliott (5)
He has won four times at 7f on ground varying from good to heavy and on the all-weather. A winner at 11-2 over this course and distance (heavy) on his latest outing last month, beating Quest For Fun by 1 3/4l. Carries a 5lb penalty today for that success.
11/2
2 (1) Monsieur Kodig (IRE) 29
Form: 174246
Age: 7
Weight:
10 - 0 p
Colour: b
Dam: Babylonian
Sire: Kodiac
Dam's Sire: Shamardal
Trainer: R A Fahey
Jockey: Warren Fentiman (3)
Has won nine races from 5f to 7f on ground varying from good to firm to soft and on the all-weather. Finished 4 1/2l behind Von Trotter when sixth of 10 at 11-1 on his latest outing at Carlisle over 7f (good) last month.
50/1
3 (10) Cisco Discog (IRE) 21
Form: 870671
Age: 8
Weight:
10 - 0
Colour: b
Dam: Sovereign Street
Sire: Elzaam
Dam's Sire: Compton Place
Trainer: R M Smith
Jockey: C Horgan (5)
Has won nine races from 7f to 1m 2f on ground varying from good to heavy. A winner at 16-1 here over 1m (soft) on his latest outing last month, beating Keats House by 2 1/4l.
20/1
4 (2) Stanageg (GB) 9
Form: 5-7073
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 11
Colour: b
Dam: Helleborine
Sire: Kingman
Dam's Sire: Observatory
Trainer: M & D Easterby
Jockey: Billy Garritty
Successful twice at 7f on good ground and on the all-weather. Third of 10 behind One Night Thunder beaten 2 1/4l at 22-1 on his latest outing over this course and distance (heavy) last month.
9/2
5 (9) Empirestateofmindg (IRE) 9
Form: 500121
Age: 8
Weight:
9 - 11 b
Colour: b
Dam: Adore
Sire: Starspangledbanner
Dam's Sire: Oasis Dream
Trainer: J & S Quinn
Jockey: Jason Hart
Has won ten races from 1m to 1m 1f on ground varying from good to heavy. Won on his latest outing when 6-5fav here over 1m (heavy) last month, beating Motawaared by 3/4l. Has won twice at Ayr this season.
17/8
6 (8) The Gay Bladeg (GB) 29
Form: 111508
Age: 7
Weight:
9 - 9
Colour: b
Dam: Big Mystery
Sire: Mazameer
Dam's Sire: Grand Lodge
Trainer: I Jardine
Jockey: Jack Nicholls (3)
Has won 12 races from 6f to 7f on ground varying from good to soft and on the all-weather. Beaten 6l behind Von Trotter at 22-1 when eighth of 10 on his latest outing at Carlisle over 7f (good) last month. Has won 3 times this season.
40/1
7 (3) Asheng (IRE) 9
Form: 202523
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 8
Colour: ch
Dam: Fly On The Night
Sire: Phoenix Of Spain
Dam's Sire: Equiano
Trainer: J S Goldie
Jockey: P Mulrennan
A winner at 7f on good to firm ground. Third of 8 behind Big Harry beaten 2 1/4l at 10-3 on his latest outing here over 6f (heavy) last month.
8/1
8 (7) Emery Downf (GB) 21
Form: 426153
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 5 p
Colour: ch
Dam: Marilyn
Sire: Cityscape
Dam's Sire: Sixties Icon
Trainer: J Ryan
Jockey: O J Orr
Successful twice at 7f on good to soft ground and on the all-weather. Third of 13 behind Anton Mauve beaten 1 1/2l at 15-8fav on her latest outing at Yarmouth over 7f (good) last month.
10/1
9 (4) Tactical Plang (GB) 21
Form: 480440
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 4
Colour: gr
Dam: Game Plan
Sire: Kodiac
Dam's Sire: Australia
Trainer: E A L Dunlop
Jockey: H Crouch
Successful twice at 7f on soft and heavy ground, but last win was over two years ago. Well beaten at 18-1 behind Guest House when last of 14 on his latest outing at Yarmouth over 1m (good) last month.
22/1
10 (5) Valentine Catcherg (GB) 3
Form: 723352
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 0 p
Colour: b
Dam: Flycatcher
Sire: Bated Breath
Dam's Sire: Medicean
Trainer: T D Easterby
Jockey: D Allan
Successful twice at 6f on good to firm and soft ground, but last win was over two years ago. Beaten a head by Mister Sox when second of 12 at 10-1 on his latest outing at Pontefract over 6f (good) earlier this month.
15/2
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KEY
Odds ShorteningOdds Drifting
Forecast Prices: Empirestateofmind 7/2, Stanage 8/1, One Night Thunder 4/1, Valentine Catcher 8/1, Ashen 7/1, Emery Down 7/1, Cisco Disco 9/2, Tactical Plan 25/1, The Gay Blade 25/1, Monsieur Kodi 14/1
oddschecker Verdict
EMPIRESTATEOFMIND has won two of his last three starts, finishing a neck second on the other occasion, and is hard to oppose without a penalty for his apprentice race success over 1m here last week. One Night Thunder scored over C&D on the same card and is an obvious threat to the selection, while Cisco Disco edges out Emery Down and Valentine Catcher to be best of the rest.
Prediction: 1st Empirestateofmind, 2nd One Night Thunder, 3rd Cisco Disco
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