Horse Racing Tips & Predictions: Liam Firkin Thursday Selections
Southwell 19:30 Betting Odds- Winner
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- Starters:12
- Distance:1m 0f 13y
- Class: 6
- Age:4YO plus
- Prize:£3245
- Going:Standard
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| 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 |
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| 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 |
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| 3 |  Alexandra Egan584742 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 4 | 7/2 | 4 | 4 | 7/2 | 10/3 | 3 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 4 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 4 | 4 | SP | 7/2 | 421/ 100 | |
| 4 |  Finley Marsh899986 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 5 | 9/2 | 7/2 | 5 | 9/2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 10/3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | SP | 509/ 100 | 549/ 100 | |
| 14 |  Saffie Osborne60-923 | 5 | 5 | 11/2 | 5 | 5 | 11/2 | 5 | 9/2 | 5 | 5 | 11/2 | 5 | 5 | 11/2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | SP | 549/ 100 | 147/ 25 | |
| 11 |  Jonny Peate545123 | 13/2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 13/2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 13/2 | 7 | 13/2 | 7 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 7 | 13/2 | SP | 353/ 50 | 186/ 25 | |
| 10 |  S De Sousa742776 | 15/2 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 13/2 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 15/2 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | SP | 186/ 25 | 803/ 100 | |
| 9 |  Cieren Fallon107265 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 9 | 9 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | SP | 93/10 | 103/ 10 | |
| 12 |  Benoit D L Sayette733544 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | SP | 127/ 10 | 137/ 10 | |
| 7 |  Jack Callan543463 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | SP | 137/ 10 | 76/5 | |
| 6 |  Mikkel Mortensen084353 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 17/2 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | SP | 157/ 10 | 171/ 10 | |
| 1 |  Christian Howarth771434 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 16 | SP | 26 | 32 | |
| 13 |  Alec Voikhansky-30240 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 28 | 25 | 22 | 20 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 25 | SP | 28 | 34 | |
| 2 |  Callum Shepherd265089 | 40 | 33 | 25 | 28 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 25 | 22 | 33 | 28 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 33 | 28 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 33 | 33 | SP | 167/ 10 | 73 | |
| 8 |  Zak Wheatley-23122 | 8 | 8 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 8 | SP | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 15/2 | 8 | 13/2 | SP | 15/2 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 15/2 | SP | 29/4 | 21/10 | |
| 5 |  Joanna Mason548998 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | SP | 10 | 9 | 17/2 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 | SP | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | SP | 49/5 | 103/ 25 | |
Southwell 19:30 Racecard & Betting Preview
Horse Number
Notables
Overview
Odds
1 (11) Enpassantg (IRE) 14
Form: 771434
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 9
Colour: ch
Dam: Celestial Bow
Sire: Starspangledbanner
Dam's Sire: Ravens Pass
Trainer: S Dixon
Jockey: Christian Howarth (3)
Winner of six races at 7f including 4 wins on the all-weather (2 PO). Finished 6l behind Feel The Need when fourth of 9 at 16-1 on his latest outing here over 7f last month. Has won at Lingfield and Southwell this season.
18/1
2 (9) King Of Yorkg (IRE) 14
Form: 265089
Age: 7
Weight:
9 - 8 b
Colour: b
Dam: Archangel Gabriel
Sire: Kingman
Dam's Sire: Arch
Trainer: S Dixon
Jockey: Callum Shepherd (3)
Winner of five races at 7f on the all-weather. Well beaten at 33-1 behind Feel The Need when last of 9 on his latest outing here over 7f last month.
40/1
3 (12) Ernies Valentineg (GB) 21
Form: 584742
Age: 7
Weight:
9 - 7
Colour: gr
Dam: Eastern Destiny
Sire: Havana Gold
Dam's Sire: Dubai Destination
Trainer: R Burdon
Jockey: Alexandra Egan (5)
Has won eight races from 5f to 1m 1f including 7 wins on the all-weather (5 PO). Beaten 1 1/2l by Gladiadora when second of 12 at 9-2 on his latest outing over this course and distance last month.
4/1
4 (6) Spirit Lead Meg (IRE) 29
Form: 899986
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 7 p
Colour: b
Dam: Fern
Sire: Calyx
Dam's Sire: War Command
Trainer: R Hughes
Jockey: Finley Marsh
He has won four times from 7f to 1m on the all-weather (2 PO). Finished 7l behind Gunfighter when sixth of 13 at 8-1 on his latest outing at Kempton over 1m last month.
5/1
5 (10) Moon Beginningsg (IRE) 17
Form: 548998
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 7 b 1
Colour: ch
Dam: Mimiteh
Sire: Saxon Warrior
Dam's Sire: Marias Mon
Trainer: D Loughnane
Jockey: Joanna Mason
A winner at 7f. Beaten 7l behind The Hare Rail at 13-2 when eighth of 10 on his latest outing at Wolverhampton over 1m 1f last month. He is wearing blinkers for the first time.
6 (3) Shaw Parkg (IRE) 6
Form: 084353
Age: 7
Weight:
9 - 7 p
Colour: b
Dam: Waterways
Sire: Aclaim
Dam's Sire: Alhaarth
Trainer: S Dixon
Jockey: Mikkel Mortensen (5)
Winner of five races at 7f including a win on the all-weather. Third of 10 behind Phoenix Moon beaten 1 1/2l at 11-2 on his latest outing at Wolverhampton over 6f earlier this month.
12/1
7 (5) Union Islandg (IRE) 73
Form: 543463
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 6
Colour: b
Dam: Pellinore
Sire: U S Navy Flag
Dam's Sire: Giants Causeway
Trainer: C Johnston
Jockey: Jack Callan
Has won eight races from 5f to 1m including 3 wins on the all-weather (2 PO). Third of 9 behind Samra Star beaten 2 1/4l at 12-1 on his latest outing at Ayr over 1m (good to firm) in July. Has won at Leicester and Lingfield this season.
12/1
8 (13) Captain Cessg (IRE) 30
Form: -23122
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 6
Colour: b
Dam: Artisanne
Sire: Profitable
Dam's Sire: Mastercraftsman
Trainer: D Carroll
Jockey: Zak Wheatley
A winner at 7f. Beaten a head by Filey Beach when second of 11 at 5-2fav on his latest outing at Catterick over 7f (good to soft) last month.
9 (1) Volto Di Medusag (IRE) 17
Form: 107265
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 6 b
Colour: b
Dam: Simply Fate
Sire: Ten Sovereigns
Dam's Sire: Pivotal
Trainer: Jack Jones
Jockey: Cieren Fallon
He has won three times at 1m including 2 wins on the all-weather (1 PO). Finished 3 1/2l behind The Anthony Gover when fifth of 11 at 6-1 on his latest outing at Wolverhampton over 1m 1f last month.
9/1
10 (2) Man Of Desertg (GB) 21
Form: 742776
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 5 b t
Colour: b
Dam: Desert Berry
Sire: Study Of Man
Dam's Sire: Green Desert
Trainer: C A Dwyer
Jockey: S De Sousa
Placed twice in 15 starts. Finished 2 1/2l behind Guest House when sixth of 14 at 20-1 on his latest outing at Yarmouth over 1m (good) last month.
8/1
11 (8) Asian Journeyg (IRE) 104
Form: 545123
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 5 t
Colour: b
Dam: Hibiscus
Sire: Siyouni
Dam's Sire: Galileo
Trainer: S England
Jockey: Jonny Peate
A winner at 1m 1f on the all-weather. Third of 14 behind Racingbreaks Ryder beaten 2 1/4l at 8-1 on his latest outing at Newcastle over 1m in June.
7/1
12 (14) Big Alex Walmsleyg (GB) 12
Form: 733544
Age: 4
Weight:
8 - 12
Colour: b
Dam: Indian Story
Sire: Oasis Dream
Dam's Sire: Indian Ridge
Trainer: Mrs I G-Leveque
Jockey: Benoit D L Sayette
Yet to place in 11 starts. Finished 2 3/4l behind Izzari when fourth of 14 at 18-1 on his latest outing over this course and distance last month.
12/1
13 (4) Pretty Spiritedf (GB) 23
Form: -30240
Age: 4
Weight:
8 - 10
Colour: b
Dam: Pretty Jewel
Sire: Swiss Spirit
Dam's Sire: Aqlaam
Trainer: L A Mullaney
Jockey: Alec Voikhansky
Successful twice at 1m including a win on polytrack. Beaten 8l behind R P Mcmurphy at 9-2 when 10th of 12 on her latest outing at Wolverhampton over 1m 1f last month.
28/1
14 (7) Have You A Minuteg (GB) 23
Form: 60-923
Age: 6
Weight:
8 - 9
Colour: b
Dam: One Second
Sire: Muhaarar
Dam's Sire: Intello
Trainer: T P Tate
Jockey: Saffie Osborne
He has won three times from 1m to 1m 1f on the all-weather. Third of 12 behind The Dark Baron beaten 2 1/2l at 16-1 on his latest outing at Wolverhampton over 1m 1f last month.
11/2
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KEY
Odds ShorteningOdds Drifting
Forecast Prices: Ernies Valentine 5/1, Spirit Lead Me 14/1, Have You A Minute 10/1, Asian Journey 13/2, Man Of Desert 25/1, Volto Di Medusa 12/1, Big Alex Walmsley 10/1, Union Island 10/1, Shaw Park 7/1, Enpassant 14/1, Pretty Spirited 14/1, King Of York 33/1, Captain Cess 9/2, Moon Beginnings 14/1
oddschecker Verdict
CAPTAIN CESS boasts the most convincing recent form and is the one to be with in this company. Ernie's Valentine is feared most after a good second over C&D most recently, while Union Island lurks on a dangerous mark and could be thereabouts again after hinting at a revival at Ayr last time. The stable companions Enpassant and King Of York tend to go well here and neither should be underestimated.
Prediction: 1st Captain Cess, 2nd Ernies Valentine, 3rd Union Island
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