53 teams will go into the Euro 2024 qualifying draw in Frankfurt next weekend, but what are the prospects for Gareth Southgate’s England?
When is the Euro 2024 Qualifying Draw?
The Euro 2024 qualifying draw will take place on Sunday 9th October in Frankfurt, Germany, at the Festhalle Exhibition Center (11am BST).
Hosts Germany have already qualified for the tournament, while Russia have been suspended from Euro 2024 qualifying following their invasion of Ukraine.
The 53 teams have been seeded into seven pots based on their performance in the 2022/23 Nations League, which is of course good news for Scotland and bad news for England.
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The four teams who have qualified for the finals of the Nations League will be placed into the UNL pot and drawn across Groups A-D, which will feature five teams and only eight matches per team - so that the four Nations League finalists have two free matchdays to play the finals in June 2023.
The next six-highest ranked teams will find themselves in Pot 1 and placed across groups E-J. Pots 2 to 5, meanwhile, will have 10 teams each, while Pot 6 will be made up of the three lowest-ranked teams - Andorra, San Marino and Liechtenstein.
The teams will be drawn into 10 groups, with A-G featuring five teams and H-J comprising six teams. Here are the seven pots in full:
| UNL Pot | Pot 1 | Pot 2 | Pot 3 | Pot 4 | Pot 5 | Pot 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | Denmark | France | Ukraine | Georgia | Slovakia | Andorra |
| Croatia | Portugal | Austria | Iceland | Greece | Northern Ireland | San Marino |
| Spain | Belgium | Czech Republic | Norway | Turkey | Cyprus | Liechtenstein |
| Italy | Hungary | England | Slovenia | Kazakhstan | Belarus | |
| Switzerland | Wales | Republic of Ireland | Luxembourg | Lithuania | ||
| Poland | Israel | Albania | Azerbaijan | Gibraltar | ||
| Bosnia & Herzegovina | Montenegro | Kosovo | Estonia | |||
| Serbia | Romania | Bulgaria | Latvia | |||
| Scotland | Sweden | Faroe Islands | Moldova | |||
| Finland | Armenia | North Macedonia | Malta |
What does Nations League relegation mean for England?
England's failure to reach next June's Nations League finals puts them on collision course with one of these 10 teams in qualifying for Euro 2024 - Netherlands, Croatia, Spain, Italy, Denmark, Portugal, Belgium, Hungary, Switzerland or Poland.
Through being in the same pot, England cannot be drawn with reigning world champions France, Austria, Czech Republic, Israel, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Serbia or Finland, as well as home nations Scotland and Wales - Group B opponents at this winter's FIFA World Cup 2022.
UEFA has imposed three other restrictions - pot rankings aside - which will influence the final make-up of the draw, but none of these apply to Gareth Southgate's side.
