The Acca Scout from oddschecker finds value bets for today's Round of 16 World Cup fixtures, featuring key stats, tactics and best of the boosts.
Numbers View – Key Stats
The Netherlands committed 47 fouls in the group stages, behind only Saudi Arabia (56), Mexico (51) and Ecuador (50). Of those teams to reach the Round of 16, only three others in Japan (45), Morocco (44) and Switzerland (43) topped the 40 mark.
With an average of just short of 16 fouls across three matches, we’re almost surprised to see their Over 13.5 line for today's Round of 16 clash with the USA coming out at at Evens.
Australia, meanwhile, have conceded the most shots (50) of any team to reach the Round of 16 (16.7 per game) at the 2022 World Cup. Ahead of Saturday’s match against Argentina, Lionel Messi (11/2 second favourite for the Golden Ball) has registered 4.3 shots per game on his own.
If the Socceroos keep up their current rate of conceding shots against La Albiceleste, we fancy Messi to be firmly in on the act. He is 10/13 to have over 4.5 shots and 6/5 for over 5.5 shots.
Looking ahead to tomorrow, 3/1 Golden Boot favourite Kylian Mbappe has taken 5.33 shots per game in the tournament, or just short of seven (6.96) per 90 minutes given he only appeared for 27 minutes against Tunisia. Therefore, over 4.5 shots for the reported Real Madrid target looks value at 49/50.
Fancy the treble?
These three value bets combine as an 8.37/1 treble through Unibet.
Pitch View – Analysis from Sam McGuire
Dubbed the Battle of Britain prior to kick-off, England vs Wales eventually turned into the Marcus Rashford show. But how does the Manchester United man's performance alter Gareth Southgate's thinking for the Round of 16 clash with Senegal?
The 25-year-old, who had the most shots (six), the most shots on target (three) and most dribbles (three) against Wales, has made himself undroppable according to Twitter favourite Sam McGuire.
He explains why if Southgate wants to persist with the system he has used at the tournament so far, with the wide forwards hugging the touchline and two box-to-box midfielders occupying the spaces between the front three, then it makes sense to use Rashford on the right.
It always pays to use oddschecker for your first goalscorer bets. For example, at the time of writing Rashford is a best price 11/2 and worst price 7/2 to open the scoring on Sunday night.
Bookie View – Best of the Boosts
The Best of the Boosts through oddschecker is a dynamic page updating automatically with the best offers from our bookmakers. At the time of writing, have a look at these three.
- Argentina & Netherlands both to win @ 13/8
- Lionel Messi to score two or more goals @ 5/1
- England to win in 90 mins @ Evens
