Get the latest odds movement for Rodri's Club After Summer Transfer Window with Man City now at 5/2. Check current market insights and transfer prediction.
The odds on Rodri to still be a Manchester City player after the summer transfer window have drifted out from 5/4 to 5/2 with Bet365, a clear signal the market now expects the Spain captain to leave the Etihad.
Rodri's price to remain at Manchester City has lengthened to 5/2 (Bet365) as Real Madrid interest intensifies.
His price to move to Madrid sits at 2/7.
The Spain midfielder captained his country to glory at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, scooping the tournament's Golden Ball award.
Real Madrid emerged as the clear frontrunners after July 2026 reports of an agreement on personal terms.
Rodri enters the final year of his Manchester City contract, which expires in the summer of 2027.
Let's cut to it: Rodri wants Madrid, and the odds are finally telling that story. The Spain midfielder - fresh off captaining his country to the World Cup title and collecting the Golden Ball as the best player of the tournament - has communicated his desire to return to Spain, prioritising a high-profile switch to Real Madrid ahead of the 2026-27 campaign. Reports in July 2026 indicated an agreement had been reached on personal terms, and that is precisely why his price to stay at Manchester City has moved the wrong way for City fans, drifting from 5/4 out to 5/2.
The backdrop matters here. Newly-appointed head coach Enzo Maresca inherited a Manchester City squad in transition following Pep Guardiola's departure, and negotiations have centred on a valuation fee reported at around €80m. With Rodri entering the final 12 months of his deal, City are caught between cashing in now and risking a free-agent departure down the line - and every fresh report out of Madrid nudges this market further in one direction. When a player of this stature signals he wants out with a year left, the market listens, and the drift on his Man City Rodri Club After Summer Transfer Window odds reflects exactly that momentum.
Rodri Club After Summer Transfer Window odds
Best odds on Rodri's Manchester City stay sit at 5/2, available with both Live Score UK and Bet365 - matching prices across the two, so there is no shorter alternative on the board for this selection right now.
Real Madrid are the favourites to sign him at 2/7 with bet365.
Last updated: 27 July 2026, 09:19 UK time
Odds below are live and may have changed since publishing this article.
Who are the favourites in the Rodri next club market?
Real Madrid are the runaway favourites at 2/7 (Bet365), the bookmakers pricing Los Blancos as heavy leaders after those July 2026 reports of an agreement on personal terms. Manchester City sit second in the market at 5/2, with a couple of European giants lurking further down the list as outside plays. Here's how the field breaks down:
Real Madrid – 2/7 (Bet365), the clear frontrunners following personal-terms reports.
Manchester City – 5/2 (Bet365), second favourites amid contract uncertainty.
Paris Saint-Germain – 8/1 (Bet365), outside contenders after making inquiries in July 2026.
Barcelona – 12/1 (William Hill), monitoring the situation as part of wider La Liga interest.
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Where will Rodri sign next?
All roads point to the Bernabeu, but this one isn't done yet. Negotiations between Manchester City and Real Madrid remain ongoing over the valuation and the structure of any add-ons before the summer transfer window closes. Personal terms may be sorted, yet the clubs still have to bridge the gap on the fee — and until they do, City retain some leverage with a year left on the contract. That said, the direction of travel is unmistakable: with Rodri pushing for the move and Madrid installed as odds-on favourites, his 5/2 price to stay looks like a market bracing for an exit rather than a renewal.
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