FC Nurnberg to win promotion from the German Bundesliga 2 has drifted from 4/6 to 1/1 at BetGoodwin, as three of three bookmakers ease their odds.
The odds on FC Nurnberg to win promotion from the German Bundesliga 2 have drifted out from 4/6 to 1/1 with BetGoodWin, and losing your top scorer to a dislocated shoulder will do that to a promotion push.
Three of three bookmakers have eased their odds on FC Nurnberg to win promotion from the German Bundesliga 2, with the best price now 1/1 with BetGoodWin.
Top scorer Mohamed Ali Zoma was stretchered off with a dislocated shoulder during the draw away at Energie Cottbus on 16 October 2026.
Defender Styopa Mkrtchyan's late equaliser cancelled out Justin Butler's opener and kept Nurnberg unbeaten in the league.
Hertha BSC Berlin remain favourites at 2/11 with BetGoodWin, while Nurnberg now sit third-shortest in the betting.
On paper, the draw at the Stadion der Freundschaft was a decent point on the road. Justin Butler put Energie Cottbus ahead early in the second half, and Styopa Mkrtchyan dug out an 80th-minute equaliser to keep Nurnberg's unbeaten league record intact. The real story came before the break, though: Mohamed Ali Zoma, the club's main threat in front of goal, was stretchered off in the 33rd minute with a dislocated shoulder.
That is what has driven the drift. Zoma went into the fixture as the league's joint-top scorer, having scored a goal a game across his seven league outings, and Nurnberg's head coach admitted afterwards that a player of his quality simply cannot be replaced one-to-one. Early medical assessments point to an absence of several weeks pending further scans, so the bookmakers have pushed the price out to 1/1 with BetGoodWin. It is a hard-nosed reaction but a fair one, because an attack built around one finisher looks very different without him.
German Bundesliga 2 Promotion odds
Best odds on FC Nurnberg to win promotion from the German Bundesliga 2 are 1/1 with BetGoodWin. That works out at an implied probability of 50%, which is the market calling Nurnberg's promotion hopes a coin toss at best.
Last updated: 17 October 2026, 14:58 UK time
Odds below are live and may have changed since publishing this article.
Who is favourite to win promotion from the German Bundesliga 2?
Hertha BSC Berlin are the favourites at a best price of 2/11 with BetGoodWin, and their league form backs that up. They won their first seven league games before a goalless draw away at Holstein Kiel, which still leaves them top of the log. Nurnberg sit second and are yet to lose, but the market now rates them only third-shortest behind Wolfsburg. That gap between table position and price is the Zoma injury talking.
Hertha BSC Berlin – 2/11 with BetGoodWin. Top of the table after a perfect winning start.
Wolfsburg – 2/9 with BetGoodWin. Second in the betting and priced almost level with the leaders.
FC Nurnberg – 1/1 with BetGoodWin. Second in the table and unbeaten, but drifting without their top scorer.
St Pauli – 9/2 with BetGoodWin. The best of the rest among the priced contenders.
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Can FC Nurnberg win promotion from the German Bundesliga 2?
They can, but the next few weeks are all about proving the attack still works without Zoma. William Bøving came on for him at Cottbus and is one option to fill the gap, while defender Fynn Otto insisted the squad has enough depth not to become dependent on one player. The first test is a home fixture against FC Kaiserslautern at the Max-Morlock-Stadion on 24 October 2026. Our view: the drift to 1/1 with BetGoodWin reflects a real risk rather than an overreaction, and an unbeaten side sitting second still has plenty going for it. If Nurnberg keep picking up points while Zoma recovers, that price could look generous. If the goals dry up, Hertha and Wolfsburg could pull clear.
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