Lautaro Martinez to be the Italian Serie A top goalscorer has drifted to 4/1 with BetMGM UK, out from 5/2, as three of six bookmakers ease their odds.
The odds on Lautaro Martinez to be the Italian Serie A top goalscorer have drifted out from 5/2 to 4/1 with BetMGM UK, and a hamstring injury to the Inter Milan captain is the reason the market has cooled on him.
Lautaro Martinez has drifted to a best price of 4/1 with BetMGM UK, out from 5/2, with three of six bookmakers easing their odds.
Donyell Malen is the clear favourite at a best price of 6/5 with Betway, with Lautaro Martinez second in the betting.
Inter Milan confirmed a left hamstring flexor strain after scans on 15 October 2026, with a layoff of roughly three to four weeks.
The injury keeps the striker out of the Milan derby against AC Milan and sidelines him until after the November international break.
The cruel part is that Lautaro Martinez was in fine shooting form right up to the moment his body let him down. He scored twice and played the full match in Inter Milan's 4-3 home defeat to Club Brugge in the Champions League, only to report muscle discomfort afterwards. Scans at the Humanitas Clinical Institute in Rozzano then revealed an acute strain in his left hamstring flexors, and the club confirmed his condition will be re-evaluated weekly during a month-long recovery.
That is the whole story behind the drift. A goalscorer market rewards availability above everything else, and a month in the treatment room is a month of league goals the striker simply cannot add while the man at the top of the chart keeps going. Lautaro Martinez has drifted out to a best price of 4/1 with BetMGM UK as a result, with three of six bookmakers easing their odds on him. That is a measured move rather than a stampede, with the market adjusting for lost time rather than writing him off entirely. His finishing has never been the question. His fitness is.
Italian Serie A Top Goalscorer odds
Best odds on Lautaro Martinez are 4/1 with BetMGM UK, with Bet365, William Hill and 10Bet also paying 4/1. Worst odds are 7/2 with Betway.
Last updated: 17 October 2026, 11:27 UK time
Odds below are live and may have changed since publishing this article.
Who is favourite as the odds on Lautaro Martinez to be the Italian Serie A top goalscorer drift?
Donyell Malen is the clear favourite at a best price of 6/5 with Betway, and on the evidence it is hard to argue with the bookmakers. The AS Roma striker hit six goals in his first five league appearances this season to lead the Capocannoniere chart, a blistering start for a forward Roma only made a permanent signing in May after an initial loan from Aston Villa. Lautaro Martinez holds second place, but the gap between the top two now reflects one man scoring and the other sitting out. Behind them, the market thins out quickly.
Donyell Malen – 6/5 with Betway, the clear favourite after leading the scoring chart as of 10 October 2026.
Lautaro Martinez – 4/1 with BetMGM UK, second-shortest despite a hamstring strain that rules him out until after the November international break.
Antonio Raimondo – 8/1 with Betway, the next name in line behind the top two.
Marcus Thuram – 18/1 with Bet365, the longest of the four priced contenders.
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Lautaro Martinez to be the Italian Serie A top goalscorer: what happens next?
Lautaro Martinez is targeting a return against Atalanta in the league on 22 November 2026, once the international break is done. Before then he misses fixtures against Bologna, Fiorentina, Venezia and Como, plus the Milan derby. That is a heavy run of games to watch from the stands while Malen sets the pace, and it is exactly why the drift makes sense to us. Our view is that 4/1 with BetMGM UK is fair rather than generous. The brace against Club Brugge was a reminder that he is a proven finisher in front of goal, but backing him now means betting on a clean return and on the favourite cooling off in the meantime. We would keep our powder dry until the striker is back in full training, because the price is hard to see shortening while he is stuck on the sidelines.
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