Raphinha to be the Spanish La Liga Primera top goalscorer has shortened to 8/11 with QuinnBet, in from 1/1, as four of four bookmakers cut their odds.
The odds on Raphinha to be the Spanish La Liga Primera top goalscorer have been slashed from 1/1 to 8/11 with QuinnBet, and on his current scoring the Barcelona forward has earned every bit of that cut.
Raphinha has shortened to a best price of 8/11 with QuinnBet, in from 1/1, with four of four bookmakers cutting their odds.
A brace against Deportivo Alavés lifted his league tally to 15 goals.
Kylian Mbappé is the closest challenger at 5/4 with Betway.
Lamine Yamal sits third in the betting at 7/1 with Bet365 after his own double against Alavés.
Raphinha's case is built on one thing: volume in front of goal. His two strikes in the 6-1 hiding handed to Deportivo Alavés at Spotify Camp Nou on Saturday both came before half-time, and that haul took him to 15 league goals for the season. It is the kind of output that makes a striker's price move in one direction only. The rout also put Barcelona back on top of the log, ahead of Atlético Madrid, so the man leading the line is doing it for a side setting the pace rather than one scrapping for scraps.
What makes the run more convincing is that it has held up in a messy week. Barcelona lost El Clásico 2-1 at home to Real Madrid, yet Raphinha still found the net for the home side's only goal. Against Alavés the back line was patched together because of injuries, with Frenkie de Jong dropped in at centre-back and Brian Fariñas at right-back, but Raphinha stayed at the head of the forward line and kept scoring. The bookmakers have responded as one, with four of four trimming their price and pushing him from even money into odds-on territory.
Spanish La Liga Primera Top Goalscorer odds
Best odds 8/11 with QuinnBet, worst 8/11 with Betway. Bet365 also offers 8/11, so there is nothing to separate the three firms in fractional terms, with QuinnBet edging the top spot.
Last updated: 1 November 2026, 08:33 UK time
Odds below are live and may have changed since publishing this article.
Is Raphinha favourite to be the Spanish La Liga Primera top goalscorer?
Yes, and clearly so: Raphinha is the favourite at a best price of 8/11 with QuinnBet. Kylian Mbappé is his nearest rival at 5/4 with Betway, and the Real Madrid man is the only name in the market who looks capable of turning this into a proper two-horse race. Beyond those two, the betting thins out quickly, and even a Barcelona teammate in flying form is priced as an outsider rather than a genuine threat.
Raphinha – 8/11 with QuinnBet. The focal point of the league leaders' attack, with 15 goals in 11 La Liga appearances.
Kylian Mbappé – 5/4 with Betway. Scored both goals in Real Madrid's Clásico win at Spotify Camp Nou, taking him to 11 league goals.
Lamine Yamal – 7/1 with Bet365. Netted twice against Alavés, but he shares the goals in the same attack as the favourite.
Ante Budimir – 66/1 with QuinnBet. The best of the rest in the betting, a long way adrift of the top three.
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What does Raphinha need to do to be the Spanish La Liga Primera top goalscorer?
Simple: keep doing what he is doing. Barcelona go to Atlético Madrid at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano on 8 November, and a goal on the road against the side chasing them on the log would make this odds-on price look sensible rather than skinny. Our view is that the shortening is justified. Raphinha leads the line for the league leaders, he has scored in a big-game defeat as well as a rout, and Mbappé is the only rival close enough to keep the pressure on. The even-money value is gone, but at 8/11 the favourite is still the right side of this market. Just don't treat it as a done deal with this much of the season left to play.
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