General Election Odds: Latest Politics Odds Including Next Prime Minister

General Election Odds: Latest Politics Odds Including Next Prime Minister

We check in on the latest odds as we head for Election on July 4th.

As expected, the General Election odds markets have been bubbling on oddschecker since Rishi Sunak called an election for Thursday 4th July.

Next UK General Election Most Seats

Labour are close to 90% likely to Win the Most Seats in the 2024 General Election even at the best prices available through oddschecker.

The Conservative party is rated between 7% and 16% likely to win the most seats according to the range from 5/1 shortest to 12/1 best price through Ladbrokes.


  • Wide range of markets available such as sports, virtuals, politics etc.
  • Flush and fast app available on both iOS and Android
  • Licensed by the UK Gambling Commission
Bet £10 Get £40 in Free Bets
18+. New UK & ROI customers. Offer ends 30/04/24. Min first deposit £10 and place win or each-way bet within 14 days of account registration at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £10 free bets. Restrictions & T&Cs apply.

Government After the Next General Election

One crumb of comfort for the Conservative party, however, might lie in the latest betting trends through oddschecker, which indicate punters remain at least a little speculative about the outcome - perhaps owing to the short prices on offer for Labour.

In the time since Sunak called the election, a Labour majority has taken 28% of the bets in the Government After the Next General Election market, while a Conservative Majority finds itself in 22% of the betslips despite that outcome having a best price of 33/1 on Paddy Power.

Paddy Power

  • Trusted parent company
  • Industry leader in promotions/marketing
  • Competitive pricing
Get £20 In Free Bets When You Place A £5 Bet
New Customer offer YSKARZ. Place a min £5 bet on the sportsbook at odds of min EVS (2.0) and get £20 in free bets. Free bet rewards valid for 30 days. Only deposits via Debit Cards & Apple Pay will qualify for this offer. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly Paddy's Rewards Club: Get a £10 free bet when you place 5x bets of £10+. T&Cs apply.

Conservative Seats Lost

The Conservatives currently hold 344 seats, a 21-seat downturn on their election victory in 2019 due to various by-elections and experts expect that number to tumble even further in July

With Labour looking strong, and other parties making ground, the Conservatives are 3/1 to lose 151-200 seats, 15/2 to lose 101-150 seats and a staggering 4/9 on Sky Bet to lose 201+ seats.


  • 24/7 live chat support
  • Some of the best price boosts in the market
  • Intuitive user experience
£30 in Free Bets when you place any bet
New customers only. First single & e/w bet only. 5p minimum stake. 3 x £10 bet tokens. Free bet stakes not included in returns. Free bets exclude virtuals. Free bets are non withdrawable. No free bet expiry. Eligibility restrictions and further T&Cs Apply. 18+.

Next Prime Minister Odds

Rishi Sunak is only 11% likely to retain his position as the Prime Minister after the next General Election on July 4th even at the shortest odds through oddschecker. The best price at the time of writing is 10/1 on BetVictor (11% chance). Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer is as short as 1/50 (best1/9 on LiveScoreBet).

Bet Victor

  • Competitive odds on popular sports
  • Highly-rated mobile app
  • Wide range of markets and Bet Builder feature
Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets
18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 6x £5 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. 7 day bonus expiry. Debit Card / Apple Pay payments only. Click for T&Cs. Please Gamble Responsibly.

Next Conservative Leader Odds

Kemi Badenoch (Secretary for Business and Trade) is the 3/1 favourite on Betfred to succeed Rishi Sunak as the next Conservative leader, edging Penny Mordaunt (Leader of the House of Commons) who is a general 5/1 chance (best price 13/2). Newark MP Robert Jenrick is third favourite at a biggest price 8/2.


  • Huge range of regular promotions
  • 24/7 live chat service
  • PickYourPunt builder for custom bets
Bet £10 Get £50 In Bonuses
New customers only. Register (excl. 13/04/24) with WELCOME50. First bet £10+ at Evens (2.0)+ on Sports within 7 days to get Free Bets: £20 In-Play, £20 Acca & 50 x £0.20 (£10) Free Spins on Fishin’ Frenzy within 10 hours of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility & payment exclusions apply. Full T&Cs apply.
oddschecker logo
unsupported browser icon
Browser Not Supported

To provide a world-class betting experience we use cutting-edge web technologies only supported by modern browsers.

We recommend using one of the following:

chrome iconGoogle Chromefirefox iconMozlla Firefoxopera iconOperaedge iconMicrosoft Edgesafari-ios iconSafari (OS 10.8+)