2024 Six Nations Predictions: France take the most bets to win Six Nations

2024 Six Nations Predictions: France take the most bets to win Six Nations

It's France vs Ireland first up as Europe’s elite battle out to be crowned winners of the 2024 Six Nations in March.

The build-up to the 2024 Six Nations has so far been dominated by talk of changes on the captaincy front after a raft of post Rugby World Cup retirements.

The tournament favourites France are led by Gregory Alldritt in the absence of maestro Antoine Dupont, while Owen Farrell is replaced by current Saracens teammate Jamie George as England captain.

For last year's winners Ireland, Peter O’Mahony steps in for the recently retired Johnny Sexton and lock Dafydd Jenkins stands in for the injured Wales skipper Jac Morgan

Rory Darge and Bath’s mercurial fly-half Finn Russell have been named as the new co-captains for Scotland, replacing Jamie Ritchie.

Let's look at the latest Six Nations odds and predictions based on where the money has been going through oddschecker so far this year.

Six Nations Odds

Team Best Odds
France 5/4
Ireland 15/8
England 13/2
Scotland 12/1
Wales 50/1
Italy 500/1

 

Six Nations Predictions

Team % Bets
France 23.64%
Wales 20.00%
Scotland 19.64%
England 14.36%
Ireland 13.82%
Italy 7.54%

 

The table above provides an overview of the percentage distribution of bets placed on each of the teams participating in the 2024 Six Nations.

It reveals that the oddschecker community has most confidence in France (5/4 favourites on Betfred) winning the tournament, taking 23.64% of the bets on the outright winner market.

However, a much-changed Wales side follow closely with 20%, while Scotland – arguably the least disrupted by post Rugby World Cup retirements – are the third most backed going into this weekend’s first round of matches with 19.64%.

England, Ireland and perennial wooden spoon winners Italy have attracted 14.36%, 13.82% and 7.54% of the bets respectively.

Steve Borthwick’s England are without record point scorer Owen Farrell and the inspirational Courtney Lawes, while reigning Grand Slam champions Ireland (4/1 on William Hill to repeat the feat in 2024) are without the titanic Johnny Sexton.

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Six Nations Betting on the Top Tryscorer Market

Player Percentage Best Odds
Yoram Moefana 30.09% 25/1
Blair Kinghorn 20.38% 13/2
Damian Penaud 20.38% 7/2
Calvin Nash 14.58% 50/1
Louis Bielle-Biarrey 7.64% 16/1
Duhan Van Der Merwe 6.41% 13/2
Tommy Freeman 6.41% 16/1
Johnny Matthews 3.85% 50/1
Nolann Le Garrec 3.21% 80/1
Dan Sheehan 1.92% 20/1

 

Damian Penaud has emerged as one of the most backed favourites among the oddschecker community in the top tryscorer market (7/2 on Unibet).

However, Yoram Moefana – left winger for France vs Ireland – has attracted the most bets so far with more than 30% of the bets at a best price of 25/1 on QuinnBet.

Scotland’s Blair Kinghorn has been a popular bet but misses out on selection for Scotland’s first game against Wales with an injury.

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