Will we see another Spurs late show?
Spurs just keep trundling along, don’t they? While they’ve not been entirely convincing lately, Mauricio Pochettino’s men are still clinging onto the coattails of Manchester City and Liverpool, and they cannot be discounted from the title race.
Poch’s boys come into this on the back of three straight wins – all coming via late winners – and I do believe they’ll win once again. Leicester are a side who don’t make much sense; they’ve earned just one point from their last four matches (that coming at Anfield), and while they seem to perform better against the top six sides, there’s still very little consistency or reliability involved.
Spurs have won three of the last four meetings with Leicester – the last one at Wembley being a 5-4 thriller in the home side’s favour – and I just don’t believe The Foxes will repeat their Anfield heroics on Sunday.
Therefore, my first tip, like against Newcastle, is for Spurs to win and under 3.5 goals to be scored, at a nifty 6/4.
Just 32% of Spurs’ matches have seen over 3.5 goals scored, and considering the number is just 16% for Leicester’s, I wouldn’t expect a repeat of last season’s nine-goal thriller.
It’ll be cagey and low-scoring, but I see Spurs just about emerging on top.
I like this 21/20 RAB: Spurs to have over 4.5 corners and Leicester to earn over 1.5 cards.
Spurs earn an average of 5.24 corners-per-match, while Leicester concede an average of 5.36; stats-wise, over 4.5 corners looked a good prospect.
The cards are slightly more down to chance, although The Foxes have still picked up 44 yellows this season, with only six sides earning more in the league.
Spurs have been leading 1-0 at half-time seven times this season – more than any other scoreline – while Leicester have been losing 1-0 at the break seven times, once again, more than any other scoreline.
So, backing Spurs to lead Leicester 1-0 at half-time looks like a great value bet, and is priced at 14/5.
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