Greece host Netherlands in the Nations League. Explore our match prediction, probable lineups, key betting tips, and top odds ahead of Thursday's showdown.
Greece vs Netherlands Match Summary
Competition | UEFA Nations League |
|---|---|
Match Date | Thursday 1 October 2026 |
Match Time | 19:45 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Toumba Stadium |
Greece vs Netherlands at Toumba Stadium pits the top two in the UEFA Nations League standings against each other, with the surprise package hosting the favourites on Thursday night.
Greece have won back-to-back games to start the campaign, including a shock win in Germany, yet the Greece vs Netherlands betting odds still price them at 5/2 with AK Bets.
The Netherlands are 6/5 favourites with AK Bets despite losing Cody Gakpo to an ankle injury, and Mexx Meerdink is now the man carrying their goal threat.
The head-to-head leans Dutch. The Netherlands have won three of the previous meetings between these nations, while Greece have just one victory to show for theirs.
Greece vs Netherlands Form
Greece are the side with the momentum. Dimitris Kourbelis scored the only goal as they won 1-0 away to Germany on Sunday, making it back-to-back wins to open the campaign under Ivan Jovanovic. Keeping a clean sheet on German soil says plenty about how stubborn this group can be, and Kourbelis is the heartbeat of their engine room.
The Netherlands beat Serbia at Stadium Rajko Mitić last time out, with Mexx Meerdink scoring a brace to settle it. They sit on four points so far, a solid if unspectacular return. Meerdink is the standout for now, and his finishing gives the Dutch the cutting edge they need when the build-up gets messy.
Greece vs Netherlands Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Greece: Sotiris Kontouris (Injured/out), Giannis Konstantelias (Injured/doubtful)
Netherlands: Cody Gakpo (Injured/out), F. de Jong (Injured/out), M. Wieffer (Injured/out), D. Malen (Injured/out), B. Brobbey (Injured/out)
Greece
Ivan Jovanovic could recall Manolis Saliakas and Dimitris Kourbelis for the visit of the Netherlands, and both feature in the probable XI. Sotiris Kontouris and Giannis Konstantelias are the only injury concerns, which leaves Greece close to full strength.
Netherlands
Cody Gakpo has withdrawn from international duty with an ankle injury, and Ruben van Bommel is expected to replace him in the starting XI. Jurriën Timber was cleared to play against Serbia but is unlikely to start, and with F. de Jong, Malen, Wieffer and Brobbey also out, the Greece vs Netherlands lineups show far more disruption on the Dutch side.
Greece vs Netherlands Predicted Lineup
Greece
Formation: 4-4-2 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: K. Tzolakis; K. Tsimikas, P. Retsos, K. Mavropanos, M. Saliakas; C. Tzolis, D. Kourbelis, T. Androutsos, K. Karetsas; A. Tetteh, V. Pavlidis (probable)
Netherlands
Formation: 4-3-3 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: B. Verbruggen; M. van de Ven, J. P. van Hecke, V. van Dijk, D. Dumfries; T. Reijnders, J. Veerman, R. Gravenberch; R. van Bommel, M. Meerdink, C. Summerville (probable)
Check out all the latest oddschecker Free Bets & Sign-Up Offers for Greece vs Netherlands.
Greece vs Netherlands Key Stats & Match Facts
Greece have won back-to-back games to start their UEFA Nations League campaign, the latest a 1-0 win away to Germany.
The Netherlands have collected four points so far, beating Serbia last time out.
Greece sit first and the Netherlands second in the standings going into this fixture.
The Netherlands have won three of the previous meetings with Greece. Greece have won one.
The Netherlands are without five injured players, including Cody Gakpo and F. de Jong.
Greece vs Netherlands Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Greece 1-2 Netherlands. Greece have earned their place at the top and are good enough to score on home soil, but the Dutch carry more quality across the pitch and Meerdink gives them the finisher to make it count. That is our Greece vs Netherlands prediction: the visitors edge it, with goals at both ends.
Best Bets
Alexandros Kyziridis Over 0.5 in the Player Fouls Won market. Kyziridis looks primed to draw fouls against an aggressive Dutch side, and this asks for just one foul won. It is a tidy player prop that does not lean on the result at all.
Netherlands to win The Dutch are 6/5 with AK Bets, and that is a fair price for the stronger squad even with a patched-up attack. It sits neatly with our projected scoreline and anchors the Greece vs Netherlands best bets.
Greece vs Netherlands Bet Builder
Our Greece vs Netherlands bet builder tips combine a Dutch win, Mexx Meerdink to score anytime, both teams to score and Nectarios Triantis to be shown a card.
Netherlands to win fits the central take. The Dutch have the deeper squad, and the projected 1-2 scoreline has them edging a Greek side that will not roll over.
Mexx Meerdink to score anytime is the natural partner. He scored a brace against Serbia last time out and leads the line in the probable Dutch front three.
Both teams to score is 4/7 with QuinnBet and Betfred. Greece have already found the net against serious opposition this campaign, and the projection has both sides scoring.
Nectarios Triantis to be shown a card rounds it off. This has the makings of a competitive, physical contest, and a Greek side protecting top spot will not give an inch.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 18/1 and is as short as 13/1 elsewhere.
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Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Greece vs Netherlands Talking Points
The big question is whether Greece's momentum survives a proper test of their credentials. They lead the table, yet the market still makes them outsiders at home, which tells you how much respect the Dutch squad commands even with several forwards in the treatment room. Ruben van Bommel steps into the front three and Meerdink carries the goal threat, so a lot rests on two players still finding their feet at this level. If Kourbelis and the Greek engine room can turn this into a messy, stop-start night, the hosts have every reason to believe.
Greece vs Netherlands Predictions FAQs
When is the Greece vs Netherlands UEFA Nations League game?
The match kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 19:45 UK time.
Where is Greece vs Netherlands being played?
The match is being played at Toumba Stadium.
What competition is Greece vs Netherlands in?
The match is part of the UEFA Nations League.
Disclaimer
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