Wales vs Norway prediction, betting tips, odds and probable lineups. Get our match preview and bet builder insights ahead of this Nations League clash.
Wales vs Norway Match Summary
Competition | UEFA Nations League |
|---|---|
Match Date | Thursday 1 October 2026 |
Match Time | 19:45 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Cardiff, Cardiff City Stadium |
Broadcast (TV / Streaming / Radio / Bookmaker Streaming) | BBC 2, BBCi, S4C |
Wales vs Norway brings Erling Haaland to Cardiff City Stadium in the UEFA Nations League, and it is a stiff ask for a home side yet to score in the competition.
Wales sit bottom of the group after back-to-back defeats by Portugal and Denmark without scoring, and are winless in their last six internationals.
Norway beat Denmark 3-2 before Portugal edged them on home soil. Haaland has three goals from those games, and the visitors travel expecting to get back on track.
Wales actually edge the previous meetings, winning two. Norway have won just once, with the rest drawn. History sits with the hosts, but little else does.
Wales vs Norway Form
Wales are still waiting for a Nations League goal. João Félix's deflected strike settled it in Lisbon, with Brennan Johnson hitting the crossbar late on, before a 2-0 loss away to Denmark in which Ben Davies put through his own net. Johnson remains their most dangerous outlet, but this attack is blunt.
A Norway win would have landed in 8 of their last 10 matches against all opponents, and Erling Haaland is the main reason. He bagged a brace in the win over Denmark and equalised against Portugal, only for Goncalo Ramos to snatch the winner soon after. Oscar Bobb also chipped in against the Danes.
Wales vs Norway Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Wales: J. Rodon (Injured/out), N. Broadhead (Injured/out), D. Lawlor (Injured/out), I. Davies (Injured/out), H. Wilson (Doubtful)
Norway: M. Ødegaard (Doubtful), J. Ryerson (Injured/doubtful)
Wales
Harry Wilson is doubtful after missing the trip to Denmark, while Rodon, Broadhead, Lawlor and I. Davies are all ruled out. Jordan James, Lewis Koumas and Jay Dasilva could all come back into the side, and all three feature in our probable Wales vs Norway lineups, with Moore leading the line in a 4-2-3-1.
Norway
Left-back David Møller Wolfe is back after serving his suspension and goes straight into the probable XI. The big worry is Arsenal midfielder Martin Ødegaard, a doubt but still pencilled into the engine room, while Julian Ryerson will be assessed after picking up an injury against Portugal. Haaland leads the line in a probable 4-3-3.
Wales vs Norway Predicted Lineup
Wales
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Predicted Starting Lineup: D. Ward; N. Williams, C. Mepham, B. Davies, J. Dasilva; E. Ampadu, J. James; B. Johnson, L. Koumas, S. Thomas; K. Moore
Norway
Formation: 4-3-3
Predicted Starting Lineup: Ø. Nyland; F. Aursnes, K. Ajer, T. Heggem, D. M. Wolfe; P. Berg, S. Berge, M. Ødegaard; A. Schjelderup, E. Haaland, A. Nusa
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Wales vs Norway Key Stats & Match Facts
Wales are yet to score in the Nations League and sit bottom of the four-team group.
Norway go into the fixture third in the group, one place above Wales.
Erling Haaland has scored three goals across Norway's Nations League games against Denmark and Portugal.
In previous meetings between the sides, Wales have won two, Norway have won one and three have been drawn.
Wales vs Norway Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: This Wales vs Norway prediction boils down to one thing: Haaland is scoring and Wales are not. Norway are the clear favourites at 4/9 with Coral, a short price but a fair reflection of the gulf in firepower between the two sides.
Best Bets
Joe Taylor Over 1.5 in the Player Fouls market. Taylor brings high pressing intensity and a combative edge, and running into a physical Norway back line usually means plenty of contact. Committing two fouls is not a big ask for a player who goes looking for a duel.
Under 8 in the Total Corners market. Both sides prioritise defensive solidity and a structured midfield in competitive Nations League fixtures, which points to a low corner count. Wales have offered next to nothing going forward, so do not expect them to be forcing many flag kicks.
Wales vs Norway Bet Builder
Our Wales vs Norway bet builder tips combine a Norway win, Erling Haaland to score anytime, both teams to score and Ethan Ampadu to be shown a card.
Norway to win. They have the better players, the in-form striker and face a Wales side winless in six. Hard to make a case against the visitors.
Haaland anytime goalscorer. He found the net against both Denmark and Portugal, and he is the focal point of everything Norway do in the final third.
Both teams to score, 8/11 with Boyle Sports, is the price-builder. Norway have conceded in both Nations League outings, shipping two goals each time, so even this Wales side have a route in.
Ampadu to be shown a card. He anchors the Wales engine room and will spend the evening trying to stop Norway's midfield running at him, which tends to mean tactical fouls.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 11/1 and is as short as 31/4 elsewhere.
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Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Wales vs Norway Talking Points
Haaland has been called a "machine" by those watching him dominate physically for Norway this campaign, and that tells you exactly where Wales' attention lies. The Denmark display was "unrecognisable" from the intensity expected, so expect a reaction in Cardiff, with James, Koumas and Dasilva in line to freshen things up. The Wales vs Norway betting odds have the hosts out at 13/2 with Bet365, and on current evidence that feels about right.
Wales vs Norway Predictions FAQs
When is the Wales vs Norway UEFA Nations League game?
The match takes place on Thursday 1 October 2026, kicking off at 19:45 UK time.
Where is Wales vs Norway being played?
The match is being played at Cardiff City Stadium in Cardiff.
Where can I watch Wales vs Norway?
You can watch Wales vs Norway live on BBC 2, BBCi, and S4C.
What competition is Wales vs Norway in?
Wales vs Norway is part of the UEFA Nations League.
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