Premier League Final Day

Liverpool’s 4-4 draw with Southampton on the final day of last season was the latest high-scoring result to add to a final day highlight reel which already included Hull 1-7 Spurs (16/17), Stoke 6-1 Liverpool (14/15) and West Brom 5-5 Manchester United (12/13).

There have been 110 final day fixtures since the curtain closer of the 2012/13 campaign and goals have been the common theme.

Even withstanding a lighter return 12 months ago (33 total despite the 4-4 draw at St Mary’s), final day games during the 11-year period have average 3.33 goals. 63% have featured over 2.5 goals, with 23% seeing over 4.5 goals.

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Over 1.5 Goals in Every Premier League Match

Back Over 1.5 Goals in Every Premier League Match

Over 1.5 goals in every match has come in three times since 2013, only failing last season due to a nervy 1-0 win for Everton against Bournemouth and Man City’s surprise 1-0 defeat against Brentford – six days before the Champions League final.

On the final day of both the two seasons before (21/22 & 20/21) only one match let the bet down. Since the 2012/13 campaign, 85% of games have seen two or more goals scored.

This time around, we don’t really have any high stakes relegation matches (Luton need to overturn a 12-goal deficit to stay up at Forest’s expense).

Meanwhile, the only two teams with matches still to play (Man City & Man United in the FA Cup final) both need to win – City to secure the title and United (who play soon to be managerless Brighton) to beat Newcastle into 7th for a place in next season’s Europa Conference League.

Over 1.5 goals in every Premier League match today has shortest decimal odds of 1.75 and a best price 2.40 through oddschecker (£24.00 returns from a £10 bet).

Both teams to score in Luton vs Fulham is the last leg left in Mark O'Haire's weekend acca after Degerfors beat Orgryte 4-1 and Minnesota United edged Portland Timbers 2-1.

Luton are the BTTS kings of the Premier League this season, with the bet paying out in 81% of their 37 top-flight tussles. 

Despite being doomed for the drop, the Hatters have scored in 32 of those fixtures – the same strike-rate as title contenders Arsenal. However, Rob Edwards’ outfit have managed only two clean sheets across the campaign. 

Fulham head to Bedfordshire having shipped at least three goals in half of their last eight league encounters, and Marco Silva’s men have also allowed multiple goals in five of nine meetings with bottom-five strugglers.

Nevertheless, the Cottagers have found the back of the net in 12 of 15 EPL outings since the start of February and are fancied to score here.