We've picked out our five best bets from our Expected Value AI Tool's suggested plays for Wednesday's Europa League slate.
Our Positive Expected Value tool leverages advanced AI perform over 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million price changes daily.
This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the bookmakers' line suggests.
In this article, we've picked out five suggested bets for Wednesday's Europa League slate from the tool which have a high Expected Value (EV).
So far this football season, these articles are 5.4 pts in profit.
17:45 FC Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz
Aras Simsir - Over 0.5 Shots on Target - 2pts - 19/20 available with Betway - Do not play beneath 8/11 (1.7)
Our first play from the Expected Value tool is Midtjylland's Aras Simsir to record 1+ shot on target vs Sturm Graz.
Simsir has been in fine form to start the 25/26 season, scoring or assisting nine times in 12 starts to open the campaign.
In his previous five games, Simsir has found the back of the net three times, and has had a shot on target in all five of those matches.
The fact that we are getting nearly even money here with Betway seems very generous, considering bet365 have his bet priced up at 1/6.
Our EV tool has given this bet an implied probability of 79.9%, or odds of 1/4, of landing tonight. That gives the odds of 19/20 available with Betway an Expected Value of 55.75%.
17:45 - PAOK Salonika vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
Andrija Zivkovic - Anytime Goalscorer - 0.5 pts - 7/2 available with Sky Bet and Paddy Power - Don't play lower than 3/1 (4.0)
PAOK Salonika welcome Maccabi Tel Aviv to begin their Europa League campaign on Wednesday night, and our tool has picked out Andrija Zivkovic anytime goalscorer as a Positive EV play.
Despite not scoring so far this season, Zivkovic is no stranger to finding the net for PAOK in European competition.
Midnite
Across the past five seasons, Zivkovic has started 17 games at home for PAOK, scoring nine goals and assisting six.
Our EV tool has a Zivkovic goal probability listed at 32.1%, giving the 7/2 available with Sky and Paddy Power a Positive EV of 44.49%.
20:00 - Crvena Zvezda (Red Star Belgrade) vs Celtic
Daezen Maeda to be carded - 0.5 pts - 6/1 with 10Bet and 5/1 with William Hill
Our third bet of the night comes in Belgrade, where Celtic travel to open their UEL campaign vs Red Star.
Japanese international Daizen Maeda joined Celtic in January 2022, and in that time he has been booked in 25% of his away starts in Europe for the Glasgow side.
By that trend, any odds above 3/1 (25% implied probability) would seem a value play.
Our Expected Value tool puts his implied probability of a card tonight at 22.1% so the 6/1 available with 10Bet provides a Positive EV of 54.56%. Some bookies have this bet priced up as low as 9/5.
20:00 - Nice vs Roma
Charles Vanhoutte to be carded - 0.5pts - 4/1 with Bet MGM and Virgin Bet - Do not take lower odds
Charles Vanhoutte joined Nice from Union Saint-Gilloise this summer and arrives with a reputation of making his way into the referee's notebook.
In his 20 appearances in European competitions for USG, Vanhoutte was carded in nine of those matches.
In the 2024/25 campagin, the Belgian was booked in 50% of USG's European matches, including in USG's match against Roma.
So far this campagin, Vanhoutte has picked up three yellows in seven club starts.
Our Positive EV tool has picked him out for a card here, with the 4/1 available with BetMGM and Virgin Bet providing a Positive EV of 40%.
Charles Vanhoutte to be carded - 0.5pts
20:00 - Real Betis vs Nottingham Forest
Antony - Anytime Goalscorer vs Nottingham Forest - 0.75 pts - 29/10 available with SpreadEx - Don't back lower than 5/2 (3.5)
The final tip of the night comes in the match between Real Betis vs Nottingham Forest.
Antony rediscovered the form which made Manchester United spend over £70million on him whilst on loan at Real Betis last season, leading to the Spanish club make the move permanent in the summer window.
The Brazilian scored in four of the nine Conference League starts he made for Betis last season, including in both leds of the semi-finals against Fiorentina.
Our EV tool has given Antony a probability of 38.11% of scoring in Wednesday's fixture against Nottingham Forest, meaning the 29/10 odds available with SpreadEx have a Positive EV of 48.63%.
Antony - Anytime Goalscorer vs Nottingham Forest - 0.75 pts
Our Positive Expected Value tool is one of the many betting tools available to Oddschecker+ members to empower their betting decisions.
To find out more about how to subscribe to Oddschecker+ and find many more bets like the ones suggested in this article please visit this link.
