EV Eagle's Five Betting Tips for Sunday's Football

The EV Eagle has landed on Oddschecker!

In this new daily tipping series, the EV Eagle picks out their best bets from our Positive Expected Value tool, one of the premium tools available to Oddscheker+ subscribers.

In today's article, the Eagle has picked out the five best EV bets for Sunday's football. 

How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?

When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.

Yesterday's Results:

Marshall Munetsi – Over 1.5 Tackles vs Crystal Palace – 1pt - WON @ 10/11

Morgan Gibbs-White – 2+ Shots vs Liverpool – 1.5pt - WON @ 11/8

Yankuba Minteh – Over 1.5 Shots vs Brentford – 1.25pts - WON @ 10/11

Kenny Tete – Over 2.5 Tackles vs Sunderland – 1pt - LOST (one tackle off)

Erling Haaland – Over 1.5 Shots on Target vs Newcastle – 1.5pts - WON @ 17/20

Accumulator - 0.75 Points - WON @ 5.82/1

Running P+L: +9.15

Tip 1: Declan Rice – Over 1.5 Tackles vs Tottenham – 1.5pts

19/20 best price available with Ladbrokes.

The North London Derby is always fiercely contested. Last season, this fixture produced 42 tackles, with Arsenal responsible for half. Spurs are the Premier League side that draws the most tackles per game (20.5), with central midfielders contributing the bulk of these (57 tackles across their last eight matches).

Rice averages 1.9 tackles per 90, with 3,0,5,4,2 tackles in his last five games, and has dispossessed Spurs seven times in his last two starts against them. Spurs also allow 22% more tackles than the league average, making this line very achievable.

AI probability: 63%, odds probability: 51%, Expected Value 23%.

Tip 2: Marco Grull – Over 1.5 Shots vs RB Leipzig – 1pt

21/20 best price available with BetMGM.

Grull has taken 2,1,5,1,0,2,4,2,3 shots when starting this season and scored two goals in his last four games. Leipzig are allowing more shots than the league average, giving Grull plenty of opportunities to test the keeper.

AI probability: 70%, odds probability: 48%, Expected Value 46%.

Tip 3: Julian Alvarez – Over 2.5 Shots vs Getafe – 1pt

17/20 best price available with 10Bet.

Alvarez averages 3 shots per 90 and has recorded 5,3,3,1,3,3,0,4,4,4 shots in his last 10 games, scoring 9 times this season. Getafe are defensively solid, but Atletico have lost just once this season and are unbeaten in 11, the bookmakers have them as 4/5 favourites and if Atleti are to get a result here they will need their main man to step up.

AI probability: 61%, odds probability: 54%, Expected Value 14%.

Tip 4: Antonio Nusa – Over 0.5 Shots on Target vs Werder Bremen – 1pt

4/5 best price available with BetMGM.

Nusa has been prolific in front of goal, with 4,3,1,2,4,5,0,3,2,2 shots this season and hitting the target in four of his last five games. Werder Bremen allow 19% more shots on target than the league average, making him a strong candidate to find the target again.

AI probability: 70%, odds probability: 56%, Expected Value 26%.

Tip 5: Youssouf Fofana – Over 0.5 Shot on Target vs Inter Milan – 1pt

14/5 best price available with BetMGM.

Fofana has hit the target in 60% of his last 10 games and in 8 of his last 12. He is AC Milan’s second most active shooter (2.42 shots per 90). Despite the tough matchup against Inter Milan, the price offers excellent value for a player who consistently looks to shoot.

Tip 6: Accumulator - 0.5 pts

Declan Rice – Over 1.5 Tackles vs Tottenham

Youssouf Fofana – 1+ Shot on Target vs Inter Milan

Marco Grull – Over 1.5 Shots vs RB Leipzig

Best Price: 8.77/1 with Bet365