AC Milan vs Atalanta prediction, probable lineups, bet builder tips and betting odds. Read the team news and injury updates before the Serie A clash.
AC Milan vs Atalanta Match Summary
Competition | Italian Serie A |
|---|---|
Match Date | Sunday 18 October 2026 |
Match Time | 17:00 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Milan, Stadio Giuseppe Meazza |
Broadcast (TV / Streaming / Radio / Bookmaker Streaming) | TNT Sports 1 (UK) |
Both sides arrive on the back of midweek European wins, but AC Milan vs Atalanta at San Siro shapes up as a settled home side against a battered visiting squad.
Milan are unbeaten in their last six Serie A matches. In the AC Milan vs Atalanta betting odds, AK Bets make them 8/11 favourites, a fair price given the visitors' injury list.
Atalanta have steadied with back-to-back wins after a rough patch, but Maurizio Sarri is down to the bare bones, with four players ruled out and three more doubtful.
The visitors do carry history with them. Atalanta are undefeated in their last seven matches against AC Milan in all competitions, so the Rossoneri have a hoodoo to shift.
AC Milan vs Atalanta Form
Milan thumped Salzburg 4-0 in the Europa League on Thursday, the biggest win of Rúben Amorim's reign. Domestically they remain unbeaten, although a 1-1 draw at Sassuolo last time out was a reminder they can be held. Adrien Rabiot's goals from the engine room have been the standout feature.
Atalanta beat Pafos 3-1 in the Conference League on Thursday, building on a league win over Venezia that ended a run of three straight defeats. Charles De Ketelaere and Jonathan Rowe give the front line genuine threat, but the injury crisis at the back takes the shine off the recovery.
AC Milan vs Atalanta Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
AC Milan: Alexis Saelemaekers (Injured/out), Matteo Gabbia (Injured/out), P. Terracciano (Injured/out)
Atalanta: Isak Hien (Injured/out), Kamaldeen Sulemana (Injured/out), Odilon Kossounou (Injured/out), Giacomo Raspadori (Injured/out), Franck Kessié (Injured/doubtful), Giorgio Scalvini (Injured/doubtful), Raoul Bellanova (Injured/doubtful)
AC Milan
The AC Milan vs Atalanta lineups start with Amorim sticking to his trusted 4-3-3 in a probable XI. Mike Maignan keeps his place behind Mario Gila, Koni De Winter, Strahinja Pavlović and Pervis Estupiñán, who holds an edge over Davide Bartesaghi. Gonçalo Ramos leads the line between Christian Pulisic and Diego Moreira, with Cissé on the bench, while Saelemaekers and Gabbia face long spells out.
Atalanta
Sarri mirrors the hosts with a 4-3-3, fielding a heavily depleted back four of Davide Zappacosta, Sead Kolašinac, Kristensen and Lorenzo Bernasconi in front of Marco Carnesecchi. Scalvini and Bellanova face late fitness tests, and Kessié's likely absence opens the door for Mario Pašalić or Lazar Samardžić. Nikola Krstović leads the line, with Gianluca Scamacca among the substitutes.
AC Milan vs Atalanta Predicted Lineup
AC Milan
Formation: 4-3-3
Predicted Starting Lineup: Maignan; Gila, De Winter, Pavlović, Estupiñán; Musah, Modrić, Rabiot; Pulisic, Ramos, Moreira
Atalanta
Formation: 4-3-3
Predicted Starting Lineup: Carnesecchi; Zappacosta, Kristensen, Kolašinac, Bernasconi; Pašalić, Gaetano, Éderson; De Ketelaere, Krstović, Rowe
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AC Milan vs Atalanta Key Stats & Match Facts
AC Milan have received 3+ cards in 7 of their last 10 matches vs Atalanta (Serie A).
There have been 10+ shots on target in 4 of the last 6 meetings between AC Milan and Atalanta (Serie A).
AC Milan have scored 2+ goals in 4 of their last 6 matches (Serie A).
There have been 25+ shots taken in 4 of Atalanta's last 4 matches (Serie A).
Éderson has scored in 2 of his last 3 appearances vs AC Milan (Serie A).
AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: AC Milan 2-1 Atalanta. Milan have the sharper attack and the healthier squad, and against a back four stitched together through injury their wide threat can do the damage. Atalanta's front three are good enough to score, which is why this AC Milan vs Atalanta prediction leans towards goals at both ends with the hosts coming out on top.
Best Bets
Over 2.5 in the Total Goals Over/Under market, with both sides expected to score in a open game at San Siro. The projections put this fixture at 2.99 goals, comfortably clear of the line, and both teams have scored in 5 of the last 6 meetings between AC Milan and Atalanta (Serie A). Atalanta struggle against attacks down the wings, which is exactly where Milan like to go.
AC Milan to win in the Win Market at home to a depleted Atalanta. Milan are unbeaten in their last six Serie A matches, and the projections hand them a 54.54% win probability. Atalanta's injury list, stretching from Hien and Kossounou at the back to Raspadori up top, leaves Sarri short of options, so this is a sensible favourite rather than a punt.
AC Milan vs Atalanta Bet Builder
Our AC Milan vs Atalanta bet builder tips lean on Atalanta's front line and Milan's goalscoring midfielder: Rowe shots, a Krstović card, a Rabiot goal and Krstović on target.
Jonathan Rowe Over 2.5 Player Shots opens it. He has managed 3+ shots in each of his last three Serie A outings, and Atalanta love to create long-range opportunities.
Nikola Krstović To Be Shown A Card is next. The striker has picked up a booking three times in his last four outings against AC Milan in Serie A, and he thrives on a messy contest.
Adrien Rabiot Anytime Goalscorer. He has a goal or an assist to his name in all three of his last Serie A appearances, with two of those outings bringing a goal itself.
Nikola Krstović Over 0.5 Player Shots On Target rounds it off. Every single one of his last four Serie A appearances against AC Milan has brought at least one shot on target.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 75/1 and is as short as 43/1 elsewhere.
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Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
AC Milan vs Atalanta Talking Points
The big question is whether Rúben Amorim, appointed in the summer, can finally crack this fixture. Atalanta have won four of the previous meetings, Milan have won none, and the others ended in draws. La Dea celebrated their 119th anniversary the day before kick-off and would draw level with Milan on points with a win. Daniele Chiffi referees, and he may need his notebook handy in a fixture that rarely stays tidy.
AC Milan vs Atalanta Predictions FAQs
When is AC Milan vs Atalanta kick-off?
The match kicks off at 17:00 UK time on Sunday 18 October 2026.
Where is AC Milan vs Atalanta being played?
The match is played at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milan.
Where can I watch AC Milan vs Atalanta?
The match is shown on TNT Sports 1 in the UK.
What competition is AC Milan vs Atalanta in?
AC Milan vs Atalanta is a Serie A fixture.
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