Real Madrid vs Sevilla: Lineups, Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds

Real Madrid vs Sevilla Match Summary

Real Madrid vs Sevilla is a top-five LaLiga meeting at the Bernabéu, and the hosts go in as heavy favourites, with Kylian Mbappé the man Sevilla somehow have to keep quiet.

Real Madrid sit fourth in the table on 18 points. A narrow home win over Villarreal last time out kept them ticking, and the attack built around Mbappé is still their biggest weapon.

Sevilla are fifth under Luis García Plaza, four points behind Madrid. They are unbeaten away from home in LaLiga this season, so they won't turn up here just to make up the numbers.

History sits firmly with the hosts, though. Real Madrid are undefeated in their last 21 home matches against Sevilla in all competitions, and that's a very stubborn record to overturn.

Real Madrid vs Sevilla Form

Real Madrid have won nine from their last eleven in LaLiga, and they showed some character in midweek too, coming from behind to beat Roma 4-3 away in the Champions League. Mbappé leads the line and Jude Bellingham pulls the strings behind him. It's a side that creates plenty and takes a lot of shots.

Sevilla's last league outing was a wild 3-3 draw at Levante, rescued by a late double. That sums them up: dangerous going forward, loose at the back. A Sevilla win has only landed four times from their last ten against all opponents. They finish their chances well and win their aerial duels, but they rarely keep the ball for long.

Real Madrid vs Sevilla Lineups & Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Real Madrid: Raul Asencio (Injured/out), Rodrygo (Injured/out), Ferland Mendy (Injured/doubtful), Eder Militao (Injured/doubtful)

Sevilla: Marcao (Injured/out), Jon Guridi (Injured/out), Miguel Sierra (Injured/out)

Real Madrid

Raul Asencio is still recovering from tibia surgery and isn't due back until December, while Rodrygo remains out with a cruciate ligament and meniscus injury. Ferland Mendy is a doubt with a rectus femoris problem, and Eder Militao is close to returning from a hamstring injury. There's good news too. Dean Huijsen is back after suspension and Federico Valverde is available again, so both go straight into the probable XI for the Real Madrid vs Sevilla lineups.

Sevilla

Sevilla are without Marcao (rectus femoris) and Jon Guridi (adductor), and both are expected back in early November. Miguel Sierra has dislocated his shoulder and is out until January. Giorgi Kochorashvili trained apart this week but is available, Lucas Stassin is back in the squad after an adductor injury and Arouna Sangante is available once again.

Real Madrid vs Sevilla Predicted Lineup

Real Madrid

Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: Courtois; Dumfries, Konaté, Huijsen, Cucurella; Valverde, Tchouaméni; Güler, Bellingham, Diomande; Mbappé

Sevilla

Formation: 4-1-4-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: Vlachodimos; Suazo, Salas, Castrín, Iglesias; Agoumé; Correia, Fofana, Kochorashvili, Ejuke; Ure

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Real Madrid vs Sevilla Key Stats & Match Facts

• Real Madrid have scored 2+ goals in 7 out of 10 matches vs Sevilla (LaLiga).

• Kylian Mbappé has attempted 4+ shots in 4 of his last 4 apps vs Sevilla (LaLiga).

• Sevilla have received 2+ cards in 10 of their last 10 matches vs Real Madrid (LaLiga).

• There have been 26+ shots taken in 8 of Real Madrid's last 8 matches (LaLiga).

• Jude Bellingham has won 2+ fouls in 7 of his last 7 apps (LaLiga).

Real Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction & Best Bets

Our prediction: Real Madrid 3-2 Sevilla. Our Real Madrid vs Sevilla prediction backs the hosts' attack to do the damage, with Sevilla's shooting and finishing enough to make the scoreline look respectable rather than to change the result. Madrid are a short 1/4 with William Hill, and on the evidence that's no surprise.

Best Bets

Kylian Mbappe to score at any time in the Anytime Goalscorer market. He leads the Real Madrid attack as the home side look to make the most of their favourite's role. Mbappé has found the net in three of his last four outings against Sevilla in LaLiga, and he's a fixture at centre-forward in the probable XI. This gets you behind the favourites without taking the skinny match-winner price, which makes it the first of our Real Madrid vs Sevilla best bets.

Over 2.5 goals in the Total Goals Over/Under market. Real Madrid are expected to dominate at the Bernabeu. The projections put this fixture at 3.27 total goals, which fits our scoreline. This Real Madrid side has reached at least two goals in all but one of their last 19 home meetings with Sevilla in all competitions, and Sevilla carry enough threat to chip in at the other end.

Real Madrid vs Sevilla Bet Builder

Our Real Madrid vs Sevilla bet builder tips lean on Mbappé's shot volume, Sevilla's poor discipline in this fixture and a home win, all in one four-leg build.

Kylian Mbappé Over 3.5 Player Shots: He has attempted 4+ shots in six of his last eight LaLiga appearances. He is the main outlet for a side that loves a shot.

Kylian Mbappé Over 1.5 Player Shots On Target: He has hit the target twice or more in six of those same eight LaLiga games. Sevilla are vulnerable to through balls, which suits his runs.

Over 3.5 Total Away Team Cards: This has landed five times in Sevilla's last eight matches. They have also picked up three or more cards in 8 of their last 10 matches vs Real Madrid in LaLiga.

Real Madrid in the Win Market: Real Madrid have won six of their past eight matches. Sevilla are poor at protecting a lead, so even an early setback shouldn't knock the hosts off course.

At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 33/8 and is as short as 3/1 elsewhere.

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Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.

Real Madrid vs Sevilla Talking Points

The battle without the ball could settle this one. Real Madrid lead LaLiga with 17 shots generated from high recoveries in the opponent's half, while Sevilla top the league with 87 high recoveries in the opposition half, so expect a messy, aggressive contest in midfield. José Mourinho has hinted at rotation, saying: "We have very good options if we want to make some changes and bring freshness to the team." Madrid's soft spot is defending attacks down the wings, and Sevilla like to play with width and cross often. That's where they'll find their goals, and it's why the Real Madrid vs Sevilla betting odds still leave room for an away goal or two without threatening the home win.

Real Madrid vs Sevilla Predictions FAQs

When is Real Madrid vs Sevilla?

Real Madrid vs Sevilla kicks off at 20:00 UK time on Sunday 18 October 2026.

Where is Real Madrid vs Sevilla being played?

Real Madrid vs Sevilla is being played at the Estadio Bernabéu in Madrid.

Where can I watch Real Madrid vs Sevilla?

Real Madrid vs Sevilla is being shown on Premier Sports in the UK.

What competition is Real Madrid vs Sevilla in?

Real Madrid vs Sevilla is a LaLiga match in the 2026/2027 season.

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