Valencia vs Villarreal prediction, probable lineups, betting odds and bet builder tips, plus team news for Saturday's clash at the Mestalla. Read on.
Valencia vs Villarreal Match Summary
Competition | LaLiga |
|---|---|
Match Date | Saturday 24 October 2026 |
Match Time | 17:30 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Mestalla |
Valencia host Villarreal at Mestalla on Saturday, billed by the club's "Mestalla is eternal" campaign as the final scheduled regional derby at the old ground before the move to a new home.
Javier Aguirre is still waiting for his first league win since taking charge in September, and a side sitting second-bottom of the LaLiga table has struggled badly to finish chances.
Villarreal arrive as favourites despite a bruising midweek defeat at Anfield. They like to control games in the opposition's half, which suits them nicely against a Valencia side happy to sit deep.
The recent history backs the visitors too. Villarreal are unbeaten in their last five matches against Valencia in all competitions, and nothing about Valencia's start suggests that run is about to end.
Valencia vs Villarreal Form
Valencia have managed just a single league win all season, which explains why they are propping up most of the table. Their most recent outing was a goalless home draw with Athletic Club, stubborn but toothless. Javi Guerra remains their most willing shooter from midfield, having attempted three or more shots in each of his last three top-flight appearances.
Villarreal have stalled domestically, held to a goalless draw at home by Elche after a narrow defeat at Real Madrid. Midweek brought a 4-3 loss to Liverpool at Anfield in the Champions League, having led early through Georges Mikautadze and Sergi Cardona. The attacking volume keeps coming too, with 14+ shots registered in every one of their last seven league matches.
Valencia vs Villarreal Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Valencia: Umar Sadiq (Injured/out), Sergi Canós (Injured/out), Diego López (Injured/out), Dimitri Foulquier (Injured/doubtful), José Manuel Copete (Injured/doubtful)
Villarreal: Nicolas Pepe (Injured/out), Carlos Romero (Injured/doubtful), Nathan Saliba (Doubtful)
Valencia
Valencia remain without Sergi Canós and Diego López, both recovering from ACL injuries and not expected back until December, while a hamstring problem keeps Umar Sadiq out until mid-November. Dimitri Foulquier (adductor) and José Manuel Copete (meniscus) are doubts, but Luis Rioja is back in contention and expected to start on the left.
Villarreal
Villarreal are without Nicolas Pepe, who has undergone eye surgery and is not expected back until the end of October. Carlos Romero (adductor) and Nathan Saliba are doubts, while Tajon Buchanan is available again after a hamstring strain. The Valencia vs Villarreal lineups below are probable rather than confirmed.
Valencia vs Villarreal Predicted Lineup
Valencia
Formation: 4-1-4-1 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: S. Dimitrievski; P. Maffeo, C. Tárrega, J. d. Haas, J. Gayà; G. Rodríguez; D. Raba, Pepelu, J. Guerra, L. Rioja; A. Danjuma
Villarreal
Formation: 4-4-2 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: P. Gulácsi; A. Freeman, J. Foyth, R. Veiga, S. Cardona; I. Akhomach, P. Gueye, S. Comesaña, A. Moleiro; G. Moreno, A. Pérez
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Valencia vs Villarreal Key Stats & Match Facts
There have been 5+ cards in 10 of the last 10 meetings between Valencia and Villarreal (LaLiga).
Gerard Moreno has scored or assisted in 5 of his last 7 appearances against Valencia (LaLiga).
Santi Comesaña has scored or assisted in 3 of his last 4 appearances against Valencia (LaLiga).
Ayoze Pérez has recorded 1+ shots on target in 5 of his last 7 appearances against Valencia (LaLiga).
Guido Rodríguez has made 3+ tackles in 5 of his last 5 appearances (LaLiga).
Valencia vs Villarreal Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Valencia 1-2 Villarreal. Our Valencia vs Villarreal prediction backs the visitors, who are rightly priced as favourites at 6/5 with PricedUp. Valencia should nick a goal at some stage, but Villarreal's control of the ball and their ability to carve out chances should be enough to edge a messy afternoon at Mestalla.
Best Bets
Over 2.5 in the Total Goals Over/Under market. Both sides carry attacking threat and the model projects a high-scoring game. The projection points to 3.44 goals here, comfortably clear of the line. A Villarreal defence that let a two-goal lead slip at Anfield does little to argue for a quiet afternoon, and these are Valencia vs Villarreal best bets that hang together.
Both teams to score: Yes, in the Both Teams To Score market. Valencia and Villarreal are both expected to find the net. Both teams have scored in 6 of the last 8 meetings between Valencia and Villarreal in LaLiga. Villarreal struggle to stop opponents creating chances, which hands even a blunt Valencia attack something to work with.
Valencia vs Villarreal Bet Builder
Our Valencia vs Villarreal bet builder tips combine a card for Santiago Mouriño, shots from Alberto Moleiro and Nicolas Pepe, and plenty of Villarreal corners.
Santiago Mouriño to be shown a card. He has picked up a booking against Valencia in each of his last three LaLiga meetings with them, and this fixture is rarely a gentle one.
Alberto Moleiro over 1.5 shots. He has attempted two or more shots in all six of his recent LaLiga outings and is set to start on the left.
Nicolas Pepe over 0.5 shots on target. He has found the target regularly in his last six LaLiga outings, but he is listed out after eye surgery, so this is the leg to check before kick-off.
Villarreal over 6.5 corners. This line has landed in six of their last seven matches, and a side that lives in the opposition's half should keep forcing set pieces.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 20/1 and is as short as 33/2 elsewhere.
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Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Valencia vs Villarreal Talking Points
The emotional pull of a farewell derby at Mestalla will lift the home crowd, but emotion has not been Valencia's problem. Their strengths lie in winning the ball back and protecting a lead, yet they rarely have a lead to protect because the final ball and the finish keep letting them down. Villarreal are the opposite: inventive with through balls and good at coming back from losing positions, but fragile at the back and poor at seeing games out. That points to an open, slightly chaotic contest, with Gerard Moreno and Alberto Moleiro the men most likely to decide it, and Aguirre still searching for the result that finally gets his tenure moving.
Valencia vs Villarreal Predictions FAQs
When is the Valencia vs Villarreal match?
The match kicks off at 17:30 UK time on Saturday 24 October 2026.
Where is Valencia vs Villarreal being played?
The match is being played at Mestalla.
What competition is Valencia vs Villarreal in?
Valencia vs Villarreal is a LaLiga match in the 2026/2027 season.
Disclaimer
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