Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao prediction, probable lineups, odds and betting tips for Saturday's clash. Team news, bet builder ideas and odds inside.
Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao Match Summary
Competition | Spanish Primera Division (LaLiga) |
|---|---|
Match Date | Saturday 7 November 2026 |
Match Time | 17:30 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Pamplona, El Sadar |
Edin Terzić is expecting "a derby full of emotions" at El Sadar, and his Athletic side head into Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao as the team in form and the clear favourites.
Osasuna sit 15th in LaLiga, and Jagoba Arrasate's return to the dugout has handed him a side short of points and confidence. They badly need a stubborn home display.
Athletic sit seventh and travel with real momentum. Iñaki Williams and Álex Berenguer were on target in the Basque derby win over Real Sociedad, and the attack is clearly their main asset.
On the head-to-head there's nothing to split them, with two wins apiece and two draws across their previous meetings. The current form guide tells a far clearer story, and it points towards the visitors.
Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Osasuna have lost three of their last four league outings, and Monday's defeat at Deportivo hurt because Ante Budimir had given them the lead. Four of the striker's last five LaLiga games have brought him a goal, so the issue isn't up front. It's a defence that struggles with set pieces and skilful opponents.
Back-to-back league wins have Athletic purring, and Berenguer has scored in all three of his most recent LaLiga outings. Away from the league, a Copa del Rey win over AE Prat added to the feelgood factor, with European commitments to juggle as well. Nico Williams on the left gives them yet another direct outlet.
Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Osasuna: Jorge Herrando (Injured/out), Aimar Oroz (Injured/out), Romain Del Castillo (Injured/doubtful)
Athletic Bilbao: Maroan Sannadi (Injured/out), Gorka Guruzeta (Injured/out), Unai Egiluz (Injured/out), Aitor Paredes (Injured/doubtful), Nico Serrano (Injured/doubtful)
Osasuna
Osasuna are without Aimar Oroz, who has a hamstring injury and isn't expected back until mid-November, while Jorge Herrando is sidelined with an adductor problem. Romain Del Castillo is a doubt with an adductor issue of his own, so the creative burden falls on Moi Gómez and Rubén García behind Ante Budimir.
Athletic Bilbao
On the Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao lineups front, Gorka Guruzeta has ruptured his anterior cruciate ligament and isn't expected back until May, Unai Egiluz is out until January and Maroan Sannadi until late December. Aitor Paredes and Nico Serrano are doubts, but Oihan Sancet and Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta are back in contention and Peio Canales is fit.
Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao Predicted Lineup
Osasuna
Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Sergio Herrera; Valentin Rosier, Alejandro Catena, Enzo Boyomo, Abel Bretones; Jon Moncayola, Iker Muñoz; Rubén García, Moi Gómez, Jonathan Dubasin; Ante Budimir (probable)
Athletic Bilbao
Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Unai Simón; Hugo Rincón, Dani Vivian, Aymeric Laporte, Yuri Berchiche; Peio Canales, Beñat Gerenabarrena; Álex Berenguer, Robert Navarro, Nico Williams; Iñaki Williams (probable)
Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao Key Stats & Match Facts
Iñaki Williams has recorded 1+ shots on target in 8 of his last 9 appearances against Osasuna (LaLiga).
Nico Williams has recorded 1+ shots on target in 5 of his last 5 appearances against Osasuna (LaLiga).
Athletic Club have had 5+ shots on target in 4 out of 5 matches against Osasuna (LaLiga).
Alejandro Catena has been carded in 3 of his last 3 appearances against Athletic Club (LaLiga).
There have been 27+ shots taken in 6 of Osasuna's last 6 matches (LaLiga).
Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Osasuna 1-2 Athletic Bilbao. Budimir gives the hosts a route to goal, but Athletic have the better attack and the better form, and the Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao betting odds make the away win 21/20 with Bet365, a fair price for the stronger side.
Best Bets
Over 2.5 goals in the Total Goals Over/Under market. The model projects about 2.67 goals. Athletic have gone over 2.5 goals in their last 3 LaLiga games, and this is flagged as a positive-value bet across several bookmakers. Osasuna's last 4 matches against Athletic Club in all competitions stayed under 2.5 goals, but this Athletic attack is a different proposition and Osasuna's defence is too generous to keep things tight.
Athletic Bilbao to win in the Win Market. The model makes them clear favourites away from home. The projections give the visitors close to a 50% win probability, roughly double the hosts' figure. Osasuna are without Aimar Oroz and Jorge Herrando with Romain Del Castillo a doubt, while Athletic's absences are mostly up front and Oihan Sancet and Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta are back.
Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao Bet Builder
Our Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao bet builder tips lean into a fixture with plenty of bite: Beñat Gerenabarrena to be shown a card, Osasuna over 1.5 cards and over 4.5 cards in the match.
Gerenabarrena has picked up a booking in three of his previous four LaLiga games, and he'll have plenty of tackling to do in the engine room against a direct Osasuna side.
Osasuna over 1.5 cards has landed in 9 of the last 9. Against Athletic Club, the hosts have received 2+ cards in 5 of their last 7 LaLiga meetings.
Over 4.5 total cards has hit in 4 of the last 4 Athletic Club matches, and Osasuna's aggressive streak should make this a messy, stop-start afternoon for the referee.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 16/5 and is as short as 31/10 elsewhere.
Make sure to get the best odds on your Bet Builder with Oddschecker's Exclusive Bet Builder Comparison Tool.
Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao Talking Points
The big tactical question is whether Osasuna can hurt Athletic down the flanks. The hosts like to play with width, cross often and attack down the left, and defending against attacks down the wings is one of the visitors' few soft spots. Both dugouts have a new look too: Jagoba Arrasate returned on 12 October after the club parted company with Luis Miguel Ramis, while Terzić is in his first season after succeeding Ernesto Valverde. Osasuna's aggressive edge should make this messy, but Athletic have the quality to come through it, which is why the Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao best bets lean towards the visitors and goals.
Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao Predictions FAQs
When is the Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao Spanish Primera Division game?
Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao kicks off at 17:30 UK time on Saturday 7 November 2026.
Where is Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao being played?
The match is being played at El Sadar in Pamplona.
What competition is Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao in?
Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao is a LaLiga fixture in the 2026/2027 season.
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