Get the best Sweden vs Poland prediction, betting tips, lineups, and odds ahead of this UEFA Nations League clash. Read our analysis and bet builder tips.
Sweden vs Poland Match Summary
Competition | UEFA Nations League B |
|---|---|
Match Date | Monday 28 September 2026 |
Match Time | 19:45 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Strawberry Arena |
There is a real gap in mood between these two heading into Matchday 2, and any early Sweden vs Poland prediction has to lean towards the hosts at the Strawberry Arena on Monday night.
Sweden hit the ground running, opening their UEFA Nations League B Group 4 campaign with a 2-1 win over Romania on 25 September. That result put them top of the group on three points.
Poland arrive in a very different frame of mind. A flat 0-0 draw at home to Bosnia and Herzegovina left them third in the group on a single point, and short of goals when it mattered.
The head-to-head record hands Sweden further reason for confidence, with five home wins to Poland's single away success across their previous meetings. This one carries clear group stakes for both.
Sweden vs Poland Form
Sweden could not have asked for a better start to the campaign. Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyökeres shared the goals in that 2-1 win over Romania, and the defence did its bit too, restricting the opposition to a single shot on target. That is a settled, front-loaded side firing on both ends.
Poland, by contrast, are stuck. The 0-0 draw with Bosnia and Herzegovina stretched their winless run to four matches across all competitions, and they have failed to score in two of their previous three outings. For a side built around Robert Lewandowski, that lack of a cutting edge is the pressing worry.
Sweden vs Poland Predicted Lineup
Sweden
Formation: 4-4-2
Predicted Starting Lineup: Johansson; Svensson, Starfelt, Lindelof, Stroud; Bernhardsson, Bergvall, Ayari, Nanasi; Gyokeres, Isak
Poland
Formation: 4-4-2
Predicted Starting Lineup: Bulka; Cash, Potulski, Bednarek, Kiwior; Skoras, Slisz, Zielinski, Kaminski; Szymanski, Lewandowski
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Sweden vs Poland Key Stats & Match Facts
Sweden go into this one unbeaten in their previous four matches on home soil.
Poland have failed to score in two of their previous three matches heading into this fixture.
Sweden lead the head-to-head record with five home wins to Poland's single away win across their previous meetings.
Poland's 0-0 draw with Bosnia and Herzegovina extended a winless run to four matches across all competitions.
Both Teams To Score is priced at 8/13 (QuinnBet) for the Yes side.
Sweden vs Poland Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Everything points to a home win. Sweden started with a bang and sit top of the group, while Poland look toothless and out of sorts. Our Sweden vs Poland prediction is a Sweden victory, though with Lewandowski about, both teams finding the net would be no surprise. Sweden are the shortest price in the win market at 1/1 with BetGoodWin, and you can find our full Sweden vs Poland betting odds and best bets below.
Best Bets
Back Viktor Gyökeres to score anytime for Sweden against Poland. Gyökeres has been in prolific form for both club and country and leads the line as Sweden's main focal point at home. Sweden are set to carry the game and create plenty of openings, making him the obvious man to get on the scoresheet.
Back Alexander Isak to record over 1.5 shots on target. Isak partners Gyökeres in a dangerous front two and constantly tests goalkeepers with his direct running and habit of cutting inside. Against a Polish backline that gives up ground away from home, two shots on target looks well within his range.
Sweden vs Poland Bet Builder
Our four-leg Sweden vs Poland bet builder tips a Sweden win, Robert Lewandowski to score anytime, both teams to score, and Bartosz Slisz to be shown a card.
Sweden are the clear favourites at home, top of the group after their opening win, and the shortest price in the win market. That makes them the natural anchor for the whole slip.
Lewandowski remains Poland's one genuine goal threat, and even a struggling side leans on him. In a game they need to chase, he is the man most likely to break their scoring drought.
Both teams to score has real appeal given Sweden have conceded in every competitive game under Graham Potter, and Poland will have to open up to get back into the group.
Slisz does the dirty work in the Poland engine room, and a midfielder tasked with breaking up Sweden's front two is always a live candidate for the referee's notebook.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 20.23/1 and is as short as 16.63/1 elsewhere.
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Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Sweden vs Poland Talking Points
This is shaping up as a battle of two projects heading in opposite directions. Graham Potter was appointed Sweden boss in October 2025 and steered them to the last 32 of the 2026 World Cup, and that momentum has carried into a bright UEFA Nations League start. His front two of Gyökeres and Isak already look a handful, and there was even a debut for Patrik Wålemark off the bench against Romania. Jan Urban, who took charge of Poland in July 2025, has the tougher job on Monday, with a side low on goals and confidence walking into a hostile Sweden vs Poland clash they badly need something from.
Sweden vs Poland Predictions FAQs
When is the Sweden vs Poland UEFA Nations League game?
The Sweden vs Poland match kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Monday, 28 September 2026.
Where is Sweden vs Poland being played?
The match is being played at Strawberry Arena.
What competition is Sweden vs Poland in?
Sweden vs Poland is taking place in the UEFA Nations League.
Who are the favourites for Sweden vs Poland?
Sweden are the favourites, priced at 1/1 with BetGoodWin to win the match at home.
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