Read our Turkey vs Italy prediction with key betting tips, odds, and probable lineups as both sides look to bounce back in this Nations League clash.
Turkey vs Italy Match Summary
Competition | UEFA Nations League |
|---|---|
Match Date | Monday 28 September 2026 |
Match Time | 19:45 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Bursa, Matli Stadyumu Atatürk Spor Kompleksi |
Both sides arrive in Bursa chasing their first points of the campaign after opening defeats, and for Turkey vs Italy prediction purposes this is a genuine scrap in the UEFA Nations League.
Turkey are into their debut League A campaign after successive promotions, but they fell to a narrow 1-0 home defeat against France on Friday, failing to score once again.
Italy make the trip smarting from a chastening 2-0 home loss to Belgium, a result that halted their momentum and left the Azzurri needing a reaction on the road.
With France and Belgium in the group, points are already at a premium, so this match carries real weight for both.
Turkey vs Italy Form
Turkey are badly out of form, having won just one of their last four international outings and failing to find the net in each of those defeats. Friday's 1-0 home reverse to France, decided by a second-half goal, summed up the problem. Arda Güler remains their creative spark, but the goals have dried up worryingly.
Italy had put together back-to-back wins before running into trouble, and their opener was a sobering 2-0 home defeat to Belgium at the Stadio Olimpico. The Azzurri travel with plenty of quality through Sandro Tonali and Nicolò Barella in the engine room, but their finishing needs to sharpen up fast.
Turkey vs Italy Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Turkey: H. Çalhanoglu (Injured/out), K. Yildiz (Injured/out), M. Müldür (Injured/out), O. Kökçü (Injured/out), U. Çakir (Suspended)
Italy: F. Mane (Injured/out), M. Dagasso (Injured/out), J. Ekhator (Injured/out), B. Cristante (Injured/out), F. Dimarco (Injured/out)
Turkey
Turkey have a reshuffle forced on them in goal, with Ugurcan Cakir suspended after his red card against France. Altay Bayindir is set to step in between the sticks. Eren Elmali could also come into the side, while Hakan Çalhanoglu and Kenan Yildiz are among the absentees.
Italy
Italy look set to keep faith with the bulk of the XI that started against Belgium. Davide Frattesi is in line for a recall in midfield, but no further changes are expected despite the defeat on home soil. Bryan Cristante and Federico Dimarco are both sidelined through injury.
Turkey vs Italy Predicted Lineup
Turkey
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Predicted Starting Lineup: Bayindir; Demiral, Bardakci, Çelik; Kadioglu, Yüksek, Özcan, Elmali; Güler, Uzun; Yilmaz
Italy
Formation: 4-3-3
Predicted Starting Lineup: Donnarumma; Calafiori, Coppola, Mancini, Di Lorenzo; Tonali, Frattesi, Barella; Cambiaghi, Esposito, Kean
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Turkey vs Italy Key Stats & Match Facts
This is Turkey's first ever home match in League A of the Nations League following their back-to-back promotions through the tiers.
Turkey have won just one of their last four international fixtures, failing to score in each of those defeats.
Italy had recorded back-to-back wins before their 2-0 home loss to Belgium in their opener.
Roberto Mancini is in his second tenure in charge of Italy, having previously won the European Championship with the Azzurri.
Both Teams To Score "Yes" is priced at 8/15 with QuinnBet, BetGoodWin and Betfred.
Turkey vs Italy Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Turkey have stuttered badly in recent outings, going without a goal in each of their defeats, while Italy carry the greater quality even after their setback against Belgium. We fancy the Azzurri to edge it, with a projected 1-0 win for the visitors and Italy the marginal favourites in the Turkey vs Italy betting odds.
Best Bets
Italy to win. The Azzurri have more class across the pitch, and with Turkey misfiring in front of goal, the visitors look the stronger side to nick this one on the road.
Nicolò Barella to be a key man in midfield. The Turkey vs Italy best bets lean on Italy's edge in the engine room, where Barella and Tonali should control the tempo against a Turkish side short on confidence and firepower.
Turkey vs Italy Bet Builder
Our Turkey vs Italy bet builder tips pull together four legs: Italy in the Win Market, Gianluca Scamacca to score anytime, Both Teams To Score and Ismail Yuksek to be shown a card.
Italy carry the stronger squad and, with Turkey having taken just one point from their last four outings, the visitors look the better bet to take the points away from Bursa.
Scamacca gives the Azzurri a genuine focal point in attack, and as a leading striker he is fancied to get on the scoresheet at some stage.
Both Teams To Score makes sense with quality at both ends, and even a stuttering Turkey should carry enough threat at home to trouble Donnarumma.
Ismail Yüksek is central to Turkey's engine room, and in a contested midfield battle he is well fancied to pick up a booking.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 18/1 and is as short as 15/1 elsewhere.
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Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Turkey vs Italy Talking Points
There is a nice sub-plot in the dugouts, with Vincenzo Montella and Roberto Mancini going head to head after the pair formed a strike partnership together at Sampdoria under Sven-Göran Eriksson in the 1996-97 season. Mancini is back for a second spell in charge of Italy following his departure as head coach of Saudi Arabia. With Turkey and Italy sharing a group alongside France and Belgium, early points in this encounter are critical to avoiding a drop into League B, which adds real edge to a fixture between two sides already under pressure.
Turkey vs Italy Predictions FAQs
When is the Turkey vs Italy UEFA Nations League game?
Turkey vs Italy takes place on Monday 28 September 2026 at 19:45 UK time.
Where is Turkey vs Italy being played?
The match is being played at Matli Stadyumu Atatürk Spor Kompleksi in Bursa.
What competition is Turkey vs Italy in?
Turkey vs Italy is being played in the UEFA Nations League.
Who are the predicted starting goalkeepers for Turkey vs Italy?
Altay Bayindir is the probable starter in goal for Turkey, with Gianluigi Donnarumma set to keep for Italy.
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