Academy Awards Odds & Betting: Updated Look at Oscars Betting Odds and Trends

Complete betting odds and breakdown of tonight's Oscars
Brian Good
Sun, April 25, 10:13 AM EDT

Academy Awards Odds & Betting: Updated Look at Oscars Betting Odds and Trends 

Earlier this week, we took a look at how the public was betting the 93rd Academy Awards and the odds for each of the big Oscars up for grabs on Sunday. Well, with the award show set for tonight, it's time to revisit those numbers and look at how certain markets are trending.

Many Oscars odds have stayed the same, but a couple of important ones have shifted substantially. What does that mean for your betting? Does it change how I'm going to bet on the Oscars? I break it all down here.

If you want to see Thursday's orginial breakdown CLICK HERE

2021 Oscars – Best Picture Odds

 

Best Picture Odds

Public Betting

Nomadland

-590

47.18%

The Trial Of The Chicago 7

+600

12.19%

Minari

+1400

9.51%

Promising Young Women

+2000

8.59%

Judas and the Black Messiah

+4000

7.02%

Mank

+4000

6.93%

Sound Of Metal

+8000

3.05%

The Father

+8000

5.54%

Oscars Odds - Best Picture Prediction

Nomadland is still likely to win this, but it's interesting to see that their odds have drifted as we get closer to start time. Earlier this week, their best odds were -600 and as short as -670 at some places. Now, the film is down to -590. Something to watch as we approach the show.

2021 Oscars – Best Actor Odds

 

Best Actor Odds

Public Betting

Chadwick Boseman

-1000

48.2%

Anthony Hopkins

+500

29.33%

Riz Ahmed

+1600

16.12%

Steven Yeun

+3300

3.09%

Gary Oldman

+3300

3.26%

Oscars Odds: Best Actor Prediction

Best Actor is another Oscars category where we're seeing a ton of movement at the top. Chadwick Boseman was -1600 on Thursday and he's now -1000. Also interesting to note is Anthony Hopkins has 10% more of the betting public backing him now than he did earlier in the week. I still like Boseman to win, but it's getting interesting.

2021 Oscars – Best Actress Odds

 

Best Actress Odds

Public Betting

Carey Mulligan

+125

31.12%

Viola Davis

+200

31.73%

Frances McDormand

+400

15.46%

Andra Day

+600

11.45%

Vanessa Kirby

+2000

10.24%

Oscars Odds: Best Actress Prediction

There is a lot of talk about this being a two-horse race now and it apparently doesn't involve the favorite. Analysts are talking like this is a toss up between Viola Davis and Frances McDormand. I have always believed that Davis will win Best Actress this year, so I'm sticking with it.

2021 Oscars – Best Supporting Actor Odds

 

Best Supporting Actor Odds

Public Betting

Daniel Kaluuya

-2500

59.77%

Paul Raci

+1200

11.84%

Sacha Baron Cohen

+1400

13.22%

Leslie Odom Jr.

+1700

3.45%

LaKeith Stanfield

+3300

1.72%

Oscars Odds: Best Supporting Actor Prediction

We could save everyone some time and just give this award to Daniel Kaluuya before te show starts. Oddsmakers and bettors are in agreement that he's taking home the Oscar for Best Supporting Actor, so I'm following that trend.

2021 Oscars – Best Supporting Actress Odds

 

Best Supporting Actress Odds

Public Betting

Youn Yuh-Jung

-500

49.7%

Maria Bakalova

+450

29.29%

Glenn Close

+1000

14.5%

Olivia Colman

+2500

4.73%

Amanda Seyfried

+3500

1.78%

Oscars Odds: Best Supporting Actress Prediction

Youn Yuh-Jung was fantastic in Minari. Earlier in the week I thought Maria Bakalova could pull off the upset. But, as we've gotten close to the 93rd Academy Awards, Yuh-Jung's odds have gome from -300 to -500 to win Best Supporting Actress. So, she's the clear pick now.

2021 Oscars – Best Director Odds

 

Best Director Odds

Public Betting

Chloe Zhao

-2000

61.24%

David Fincher

+1000

10.08%

Lee Isaac Chung

+2000

3.1%

Emerald Fennell

+2000

4.65%

Thomas Vinterberg

+2500

18.6%

Oscars Odds: Best Director Prediction

This is still Chloe Zhao's award to lose. She is a lock to come away with Sunday's Best Director award at the Oscars. Nomadland is going to rack up the awards tonight. This is one of them.

2021 Oscars – Best Orginal Screenplay Odds

 

Best Original Screenplay Odds

Public Betting

Promising Young Woman

-400

57.3%

The Trial Of The Chicago 7

+275

33.2%

Minari

+1400

5.5%

Judas And The Black Messiah

+3300

2.5%

Sound Of Metal

+3300

2.5%

Oscars Odds: Best Original Screenplay Prediction

Despite Promising Young Woman's odds shortening as we get close to Sunday's 93rd Academy Awards, I'm sick and tiredof going chalk. So, I'm going with The Trial of the Chicago 7

2021 Oscars – Best Adapted Screenplay Odds

 

Best Adapted Screenplay Odds

Public Betting

Nomadland

-350

24%

The Father

+450

66.4%

Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

+800

5.6%

One Night In Miami

+1400

2.4%

The White Tiger

+3300

1.6%

Oscars Odds: Best Adapted Screenplay Prediction

I'm changing my pick here. Earlier in the week I went with the favorite Nomadland to win Best Adapted Screenplay. But, the bettors have to know something here that I don't. The Father owns the highest percentage of bets in any category to this point and it isn't even the favorite. Let's take The Father.

2021 Oscars – Best Animated Feature Film Odds

 

Best Animated Feature Odds

Public Betting

Soul

-3300

83.81%

Wolfwalkers

+700

16.67%

Onward

+2500

4.76%

Over The Moon

+2800

3%

A Shaun The Sheep Movie

+4000

1.76%

Oscars Odds: Best Animated Feature Film Prediction

Soul is going to win this. But, the trends have been interesting lately. Wolfwalkers is picking up a lot of attention in the betting markets and has received a large portion of the bets since Thursday. Still, I think that has more to do with Soul's terrible price than anything. We're sticking with Soul.

2021 Oscars – Best Original Song Odds

 

Best Original Song Odds

Public Betting

Speak Now

-138

22.4%

Io Si

+300

11.2%

Husavik

+350

40.8%

Fight For You

+2500

0.8%

Hear My Voice

+2500

24.8%

Oscars Odds: Best Original Song Prediction

You'll have to pry me off the Husavik bandwagon, because I'm not leaving. This is a down year for the Best Original Song category and Ferrell's song is the only one that is actually played during the film, rather than the credits. Do the right thing. Give Will Ferrell his first ever Oscar!

2021 Oscars Betting Promos

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