2022 Super Bowl Odds: Matthew Stafford Traded to Rams for Jared Goff, Picks

How does Saturday's blockbuster trade impact the 2022 Super Bowl market?
Brian Good
Sun, January 31, 5:53 AM EST

2022 Super Bowl Odds: Matthew Stafford Traded to Rams for Jared Goff, Picks

It was a foregone conclusion that Matthew Stafford, one of the most prolific passers in NFL history, would be on the move this offseason. Reports had come out that he and the team had mutually agreed to part ways following this past season, and it made sense for both sides.

Stafford has put up massive numbers since he’s come into the league. His 45,109 yards passing are good for 16th all time, and he’s just 32 years old. Stafford is sixth among active QBs in career passing yards, but it hasn’t led to results for the team. Detroit wanted a chance to rebuild and Stafford wanted a chance to compete for a title, so they came to the conclusion to split.

What was completely shocking was where Stafford eventually landed. Late Saturday night, the Los Angeles Rams sent starting QB Jared Goff, two first round picks and a third round pick to Detroit in exchange for Stafford.

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Matthew Stafford Traded to LA Rams

It’s an interesting move for a multitude of reasons. In the short term, it’s an absolute no brainer for the Rams. LA had one of the best defenses in the entire NFL this season. They went into Seattle and won a playoff game but were no match for Green Bay in the next round.

The Rams are ready to compete for a title now, but they need better QB play than what they were getting from former No.1 overall pick, Goff. The trade gives them a massive upgrade at the most important position in the sport, and should immediately lead to more wins.

However, in the long run, this could be another move, on top of other recent trades, that prevents them from sustaining success. The Rams now do not have a first round pick through 2023. The last time they drafted in the first round was to take Jared Goff in 2016. That means the next player they take in the first round of an NFL Draft has not even enrolled in college yet.

It’s an unprecedented move, basically punting the early rounds of the NFL Draft in order to get established talent, but it’s seemed to work for the Rams in recent years. They fell 10 point shy of a Super Bowl win in 2019.

So, we know the ramifications this will have on the Rams on the field, but what about in the betting markets?

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2022 Super Bowl Odds

Prior to Saturday night’s blockbuster trade, the Rams were up in the top half of the league in terms of 2022 Super Bowl odds, but they were still behind their fair share of teams at +1800. Those odd implied a 5.3% chance they’d win it all next year.

Now that Stafford is set to start the season as their QB, their odds have significantly shortened. As of Sunday, the Rams’ best 2022 Super Bowl Champion odds were down to +1200. Those odds imply a 7.7% chance, but more importantly they’re tied with the Ravens, Bills and Buccaneers for the third shortest odds. Only the Chiefs (+600) and Green Bay Packers (+950) are shorter.

Kansas City Chiefs @ +600 (Click to bet)

Green Bay Packers @ +950 (Click to bet)

Los Angeles Rams @ +1200 (Click to bet)

Baltimore Ravens @ +1200 (Click to bet)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ +1200 (Click to bet)

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