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Daniel Jones A Longshot To Be MVP In A Possible Breakout Season

Giants QB Daniel Jones is considered a longshot by oddsmakers to win MVP in his third season despite the Giants roster improvements and return of Saquon Barkely.
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New York Giants QB Daniel Jones MVP Odds

  • Daniel Jones MVP Odds
  • Daniel Jones Passing Yards Odds
  • Daniel Jones Passing TD Odds
  • New York Giants Super Bowl Odds

Daniel Jones Odds

Daniel Jones returns for his third season as the Giants starting quarterback in what is undoubtedly a make-or-break season. Jones was the 2019 sixth-overall pick, and he was under center for 14 games last season, and the Giants offense finished dead last in total TDs. Jones accounted for 12 scores while throwing 10 INTs and leading the NFL in fumbles for the second straight season with 11.

Jones is in a make-or-break year for his career this season, as the New York fanbase is ready to eat him alive if he continues to stumble (No pun intended). How can we not mention his one 80-yard scamper against the Philadelphia Eagles defense on primetime last season when the turf monster tripped him on his way to the endzone. With an improved roster, there’s no reason he should not improve from the many mistakes he has made over his first two seasons. He’s totaled 22 interceptions, 29 fumbles, and a low 62% completion percentage so far.

The good news is Jones gets his teammate and superstar running back Saquon Barkley to return this season. Last season Saquon Barkley only played in 2 games due to a season-ending injury when he tore his ACL and MCL. Saquon Barkley +700 to win the Comeback Player of the Year Award is the second favorite to win this award. Having Barkley will release some of the pressure Jones faced a year ago and provides him with a safety net.

Jones is young, entering his third season at only 24 years old. However, he has shown flashes of why GM Dave Gettleman drafted him, to everyone’s surprise, 6th overall. To succeed, the Giants need Quarterback Daniel Jones to leap in year 3. At the very least, superstar running-back Saquon Barkley returns for them. If Daniel Jones can have a similar breakout in his third season like Josh Allen of the Bills did, there will be plenty of value on Daniel Jones and the Giants futures markets.

Daniel Jones Total Passing TDs Odds

Through 14 games played last year, Jones only threw for 11 touchdowns. Jones was branded “Danny Dimes” in his rookie year when he passed for 24 TDs.

His total this season is set at 24 TDs (Over-115)

Daniel Jones Passing Yards Odds

Daniel Jones hasn’t thrown for over 3,100 yards yet in a season through his first two years. There’s a reason for optimism, though, as the Giants improved its group of pass-catchers this season, getting Kenny Golladay from the Lions and selecting Kadarius Toney from Florida in the first round of the NFL Draft.

The offensive line allowed 50 sacks in 2020, the second-most in the NFL, and logged a pass block win rate of 31 percent, which was last in the league. The bulk of the O-Line returns for 2021 minus Kevin Zeitler who left in free agency to the Ravens but added in Joe Looney. The Giants offensive line may hamper Daniel Jones again in 2021.

His total passing yards this season is set at 3,800.5 (Over -115)

Daniel Jones MVP Odds

The Giants offseason was focused on getting Daniel Jones more help, and it began with the free agency signing of Kenny Golladay. The former Lions wide receiver will be the team’s top pass-catcher right away. Golladay is just two years removed from a two-year stretch of a combined 135 catches for 2,253 yards and 16 touchdowns. In the first round, the Giants drafted playmaker Kadarius Toney and should get back a fully healthy Saquon Barkley and Golladay’s acquisition.

Daniel Jones adds value with his legs as he’s ranked seventh at QB in rushing yards in both seasons in the NFL. He finished last season with 423 yards and 1 TD.

Jones is a super longshot to win the NFL MVP in 2021 at +10,000 odds (Risk $100 to win $10,000)

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QB Daniel Jones MVP Odds & Props

Player propOdds to winImplied Probability
Passing Leader+80001.2%
Passing Yards Total3,800.5 (Over -115)53.5%
Passing TD Total24 (Over -115)53.5%

Daniel Jones 2020 Passing Stats


New York Giants Super Bowl Odds

It is unlikely that the Giants have what it takes in 2021 to even reach the Super Bowl, nevertheless win it, unless Daniel Jones makes a drastic jump in year 3. The Giants are currently listed at the 9th highest odds to win the Super Bowl priced at +8000.

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Futures BetOddsImplied Probability
Super Bowl+80001.2%
To Win Conference+40002.4%
To Win Division+45018.2%
To Make PlayoffsYes +250/No-300Yes 28.6%/ No 75%
Season Win Total O/UOver 7 (-125) U (+110)O 55.6% / U 47.6%

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Tom Viera is an experienced betting and fantasy sports writer. Tom brings a vast knowledge of all things NFL, NBA, MLB and soccer to the OddsChecker stable of handicappers.


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