5 Betting Trends You Absolutely Must Know for Week 2
If Week 1 didn’t go the way you would’ve liked it to go, then don’t worry we have you covered for this week. What we’ll look at today is five trends that you should know heading into the second week of the season.
Since it’s early still in 2021, we’ll be using data from last year and beyond if necessary. Here are the five things you must know heading into Week 2:
Miami Dolphins vs Division Opponents
One of the worst-kept secrets is just how good the Miami Dolphins are against the spread. After losing Ryan Fitzpatrick, some wondered if it would continue that way into 2021. Well, so far through one week that tends to be the case.
One of the things that Miami excels in is division play, as seen in the first game against New England. Dating back to last season, when the Dolphins became this ATS machine, they find themselves with a 5-2 record ATS.
That’s a cover percentage of 71.4 percent. Miami hasn’t had such great luck against Buffalo in recent memory but when looking at how they’ve been vs the AFC and then how they’ve been at home (7-1 since 2020 at home) maybe they begin to turn the tide.
Raiders and the Over
After an impressive win over the Baltimore Ravens to start out their season we were reminded just what the Raiders can do with the over. Since the start of last year, Las Vegas is 13-3-1 against the over for an impressive 81.2 percent.
This week, the line is at 48.5 going up against the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Steelers are a coinflip at 50 percent so based on everything we know about the Raiders, expect Darren Waller to have a boatload of targets and for somehow that final score to eclipse the 48.5 mark.
Packers after a loss
Since Matt LaFleur has teamed up with Aaron Rodgers the Packers have been excellent at bouncing back after losses. Sure, losing 38-3 is embarrassing, depending on who you ask, but they’ve proven that they can bounce back.
The Packers are 6-0 ATS when losing the previous week with an ATS +/- of +10. It might be too early to be this down on Green Bay, especially with the Lions coming to town in Week 2.
Seattle vs AFC
Something about Seattle and Russell Wilson early on in the year, it just works. That’s not the only thing that works, The Seattle Seahawks have been killer against the AFC since the start of 2020.
They are 4-1 covering 80 percent of their games vs the AFC, including their dominant Week 1 performance against Indianapolis. On average, the Seahawks have covered by 4.2 points over this span.
Tampa Bay on rest
Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with extra rest have been unbeatable, literally. In three games with extra rest, the Bucs are 3-0 and on average they’ve covered the spread by a whopping nine points.
It likely helps the cause that they’re also taking on the dreadful Atalanta Falcons this week. For what it’s worth, the Falcons are 0-2 with the rest disadvantage since 2020 and are 3-8 after a loss. I don’t care how big the number gets, Tampa Bay should demolish Atlanta this week.