TNF Week 4 Betting Preview and Odds: Cincinnati Bengals vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Date: Thursday, September 30, 2021
Time: 8:20 PM ET
Location: Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
TV Network: NFL Network
Jacksonville Jaguars Record: (0-3-0 SU, 0-3-0 ATS)
Cincinnati Bengals: Record: (2-1-0 SU, 2-1-0 ATS)
Week 4 TNF: Cincinnati Bengals vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Thursday night football between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Cincinnati Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium promises to be a treat. As the last two No.1 draft picks, Joe Burrow and Trevor Lawrence, go head-to-head under the lights, reprising their collegiate rivalry for the first time in the NFL. In their last meeting on a football field, Burrow lifted the LSU Tigers to the impressive victory over Lawrence and the Clemson Tigers in the 2020 National Championship game.
As of now, the Cincinnati Bengals and Jacksonville Jaguars are heading in opposite directions. Zac Taylor’s Bengals are flying high in the AFC North behind a 2-1 record and sitting pretty in first place after upsetting the Pittsburgh Steelers at Heinz Field. Urban Meyer’s Jaguars can’t buy a win no matter how hard they try. They’re propping up the AFC South with a 0-3 record and stuck in the league’s basement with five other winless teams.
Given these contrasting fortunes, bookmakers, quite rightly, tip this Thursday night showdown in Cincinnati’s camp. The Bengals, opening as the 6.5-point home chalk on Sunday, are currently laying 7.5 points to the Jaguars. The total opened on 45 points, but a few books moved up to 45.5 points soon after. However, the public has other ideas as consensus betting trends show a conspicuous lean towards the Jaguars.
Cincinnati Bengals Odds & Overview: Cincy Soaring in the AFC North
The Bengals, closing as the 2.5-point road underdogs, defied the NFL odds and upset the defending AFC North champions 24-10 on Sunday. By virtue of that statement win, the Bengals leapfrogged the Baltimore Ravens and Cleveland Browns (both 2-1) into the top spot.
Few had the Bengals on their radar as the season got underway. Books had the Bengals as the fourth-best bet to win the AFC North, the so-called longshot of the division. Instead, they diverted attention – and their favor – to the electrifying Ravens and the glitzy, star-studded Browns as the top two bets to win the AFC North and advance into the playoffs.
After only three games, suggesting a changing of the guard is brewing would be premature. However, it does make the AFC North a fascinating division to follow early in the season.
Burrow has completed 70.7 percent of his passes for 640 yards, seven touchdowns, and four interceptions. He’s showing great chemistry with his former LSU teammate, wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase. The No.5 pick has put up 220 yards on 11 receptions and four touchdowns. Cincy’s offense ranks modestly in the league and is averaging 22.7 points per game. The defense has been solid and doing a lot of the heavy lifting. They’re eighth overall in total defense and against the run, while
Jacksonville Jaguars Odds & Overview: Jaguars on a Losing Skid
Trevor Lawrence, a highly touted college quarterback, and Urban Meyer, a highly-respected college coach, are having a tough time transcending the NFL. Their pairing brought so much hope and optimism to Jacksonville’s beleaguered fan base, who were desperate for something to cheer about after years and years of Jaguars mediocrity and losing seasons. Alas, all that cheery bonhomie has gone out of the window.
The Jaguars are winless after three weeks, with losses to the Texans, Broncos, and Cardinals. The Jaguars closed as the 3.5-point favorites in Week 1, underscoring the dim view of the Texans by bookmakers. But the Jaguars lost 37-21 to the so-called worst team in the league. And successive losses to the Broncos (23-13) and the Cardinals (31-19) highlighted just how far Jacksonville had to go to become competitive.
By the stats, Trevor Lawrence leads the league in interceptions (7). He’s completed merely 54.2 percent of his passes and put up 669 passing yards and five touchdowns in three games. The Jaguars rank 22nd in total offense and 26th in points scored (17.7). On the flip side, they’re the fourth-worst team in total defense and the fifth-most porous with 30.3 points allowed.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Odds
|Jaguars||+275||+7.5||Over 49.5 (+130)|
|Bengals||-312||-7.5||Under 49.5 (-140)|
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Preview
The Bengals are 2-1-0 ATS with a winning margin of 4.7 points on average and a +7.2 differential versus the spread. Both of Cincinnati’s covers have come as an underdog – as the 3-point underdog in a 27-24 win over Minnesota and as a 2.5-point underdog in a 24-10 win over Pittsburgh. However, this is the first time the Bengals are favored, never mind by more than a touchdown.
Initially, it does seem like a lot of points to lay with the Bengals because they’ve yet to deal with the pressure of being the favorites in primetime football. However, the fact that the Jaguars are 0-3-0 ATS with a losing margin of 12.7 points could play right into their hands. The Jaguars have yet to play a close game, never mind cover a point spread.
And yet, the public is grabbing the points with the Jaguars, according to consensus betting reports. That’s interesting.