The final game on the Week 7 NFL schedule is an interesting Monday Night Football matchup between the New Orleans Saints and Seattle Seahawks. One could argue that bettors have more questions than answers regarding both of these teams coming into this contest. It is certainly a critical primetime game for both sides when it comes to the NFC conference standings. The NFL betting oddsmakers have made the visitors a moderate favorite ahead of this Saints vs Seahawks Monday night matchup.
Seattle Seahawks (2-4, 3-3 ATS) vs. New Orleans Saints (3-2, 3-2 ATS)
Date: Monday, October 25, 2021Start Time: 8:15 PM ESTLocation: Lumen Field — Seattle, WATV Coverage: ESPN
The Saints enter this NFL betting matchup on the heels of a bye week. In the five games they have played so far, New Orleans has been the league’s ultimate Jekyll and Hyde. The team’s three wins to date have all come in impressive fashion over the Green Bay Packers, New England Patriots and Washington Football Team. At the same time, the Saints are yet to establish a winning streak this year. Their two losses featured extremely ugly performances against the Carolina Panthers and lowly New York Giants. Which version of Sean Payton’s new-look team shows up on Monday night is anyone’s guess.
In their Week 5 win prior to last week’s open date, the Saints put together one of their most impressive offensive performances of the season. Jameis Winston only completed 50% of his passes, but still finished with 279 yards and four touchdowns. Two of those went to Marquez Callaway, a guy that New Orleans would love to feature going forward atop what is a thin receiving corps. The Saints got star RB Alvin Kamara heavily involved in the Week 5 win. He finished with over 120 total yards and two total touchdowns. Defensively, the Saints quietly rank third in adjusted efficiency on the year. They also rank fifth with a +5 turnover differential.
Just when it looked like the Seahawks were headed for a lost season, backup QB Geno Smith nearly led Seattle to a road win over the Pittsburgh Steelers last weekend. While they still fell short and are certainly facing an uphill battle without the services of Russell Wilson, the spirited effort and successful ATS cover surprised many NFL betting analysts. Smith finished with 209 yards passing and a score. He also did not throw a pick against the stingy Steelers’ defense. Seattle is also without lead running back Chris Carson for the foreseeable future. Alex Collins filled in admirably last week, finishing with over 100 yards and finding the end zone for good measure. Collins is banged up coming into Week 7, but Rashaad Penny appears poised to come off IR and rejoin the backfield.
Defensively, the Seahawks have been tough to get a read on this season as well. Just when you think they are a bottom-10 unit, they find a way to make a play and give the team a chance. One goal for the defense going forward is undoubtedly ramping up the pass rush. The Seahawks only sacked Ben Roethlisberger once in last week’s overtime loss. Considering the state of Pittsburgh’s offensive line, that isn’t enough. Any takeaways Seattle can force defensively will be huge with the backup Smith under center going forward.
The following table displays the best Saints vs Seahawks NFL betting odds and lines available in the market.
Oddsmakers originally tabbed the Saints as three-point favorites for this Monday night NFL betting matchup. That number has since been bet up to the current line of 4.5. Despite the line move, the public ticket count is evenly split for this game. The Seahawks are typically a team that public bettors flock to support even as an underdog. Backup quarterback and all, this Week 7 game appears to be no different.
The total for this Saints vs Seahawks primetime matchup has come down just one point from the opening number of 43.5. The implied probability of the moneyline odds suggests that the Saints win this game outright over two-thirds of the time.
While the natural inkling here is to fade the Seahawks with a backup quarterback under center, can bettors truly trust the Saints? Which version of this team will show up? Which version of Jameis Winston will show up? The interceptions have been down this year for the former No. 1 overall draft pick, but he has yet to truly impress in any game. Laying the opening line of three with New Orleans is a lot different than laying 4.5. It’s hard to get excited about a side at the current number.
A lot has clearly changed in terms of personnel on both sides from a year ago. However, we’ll harken back to the Saints’ 33-27 win in Seattle a year ago when discussing an NFL betting lean to the over. The Seahawks remain vulnerable to surrendering a lot of points. While the Saints defense grades out well through five games, so do the Pittsburgh Steelers. The fact that Geno Smith was able to lead the Seahawks to 20 points on the road last week suggests he can do some good things again on Monday night. The one-point drop from the opening number is certainly helpful for those betting the over.
We are loading your bets, and they will be here in a second.