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Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans Betting Odds, Picks and Preview

Michigan vs. Michigan State odds, predictions, picks and preview. This weekend, the No. 6 Wolverines travel to East Lansing to take on the No. 8 Spartans.
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Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans Betting Odds, Picks and Preview

Among this weekend’s high-profile college football matchups is a Big Ten Conference battle between a pair of undefeated rivals. Prior to the season, not many college football betting analysts expected either the Michigan Wolverines or Michigan State Spartans to be unbeaten through eight weeks of play. That is exactly the backdrop we have for Saturday’s high noon game between the teams. This top-10 showdown will prove vital to both the conference championship and College Football Playoff hopes of both sides. Oddsmakers have installed the visitors as short favorites.

Michigan vs. Michigan State Week 9 College Football Betting Odds, Picks, and Preview

Michigan Wolverines (7-0 SU, 6-1 ATS) vs. Michigan State Spartans (7-0 SU, 5-1-1 ATS)

Date: Saturday, October 30, 2021

Start Time: 12 PM EST

Location: Spartan Stadium — East Lansing, MI

TV Coverage: FOX

Michigan vs. Michigan State odds

Michigan Wolverines Preview

It is rather ironic that a football program that has fallen short of lofty preseason expectations on numerous occasions is putting together a terrific run in a year that started with modest expectations at best. A blowout win over Northwestern last weekend set up this big-time showdown with their in-state rivals on Saturday. For Michigan, the ground game continues to be their primary weapon offensively. Hassan Haskins and Blake Corum put on another clinic in last week’s win. Both players smashed the 110-yard threshold and also scored two touchdowns apiece. Quarterback Cade McNamara continued to play his “game-manager” role under center. While he only finished with 129 yards passing, he connected on 20 of 27 attempts to help sustain drives.

With just seven points allowed to Northwestern last week, the Wolverines defense has now allowed 17 points or less to six of seven opponents on the season. Michigan has also had a nose for the football defensively. They enter Saturday's heavyweight college football betting matchup tied for 19th in the FBS with a +6 turnover margin. Jim Harbaugh continues to get the most out of his personnel defensively.

Michigan State Spartans Preview

It is worth noting that Michigan State enters this college football betting contest with a rest advantage. The Spartans sat idle last week, thus allowing Mel Tucker and his staff two full weeks to prepare for the Wolverines. Michigan State has continued to defy the expectations of many betting analysts and betting lines all season long. Most recently, they came away with a hard-fought 20-15 road win over Indiana. Much like the Wolverines, the focal point of the Spartans’ offense is their rushing attack. Tailback Kenneth Walker has been a man amongst boys on numerous occasions this season. He totaled 84 yards on 23 carries against Indiana, a line that comes nowhere close to his best performance of the season. Expect a heavy dose of Walker again on Saturday.

One key to success for MSU this weekend figures to be taking care of the football. Sophomore quarterback Payton Thorne has done an adequate job of that this season. However, he threw a pair of INTs against the Hoosiers two weeks ago. His ability to move past that outing mentally and handle a turnover-savvy Michigan defense will be critical. Speaking of forcing turnovers, the Spartans defense has done plenty of that themselves through seven games. Michigan State enters Saturday’s college football betting showdown with a +5 turnover margin. No Power 5 opponent has scored more than 21 points against Sparty all season.

Michigan vs. Michigan State Betting Odds and Line Movement

TeamMoneylineML Implied ProbabilitySpreadTotal
Michigan-19065.5%-4.5 (-110)O 52 (+115)
Michigan State+17037%+4.5 (-110)U 52 (-110)

Michigan vs. Michigan State odds

The bulk of the line movement for this Michigan vs Michigan State matchup has been centered around the game total. After opening at 53.5, the line has dropped down to 52 across the college football betting market. Expect that to continue on a downward trajectory. Las Vegas sportsbooks tend to be a strong indicator of future market moves. One shop had already lowered the total to 50.5 at the time of writing.

The point spread has seen very little line movement thus far. Michigan has taken the majority of sharp money to date, resulting in a half-point line increase from the opening -4. Despite the line move toward the Wolverines, it is the Spartans who have taken 56% of all bets as home underdogs.

Michigan vs. Michigan State Betting Picks and Prediction

In a season that started with modest to no expectations for both Michigan and Michigan State, Saturday’s Big Ten clash offers both programs the opportunity to make a statement. The Spartans may have both home field and a rest advantage, but the betting market appears to be honed in on the Wolverines. A slight increase in the spread that favors the road team despite the majority of tickets being on MSU is extremely noteworthy.

It’s interesting to note that both teams have gotten off to 7-0 starts by playing a similar style of football. The ground game is the focal point for both sides on offense. Defensively, each team has limited the damage and forced turnovers. Michigan’s backfield tandem of Hassan Haskins and Blake Corum could prove too much for the Spartans defense to handle. Michigan State enters Saturday’s contest allowing 121 rushing yards per game. They are yet to face a ground attack quite like that of the Wolverines. Expect this two-headed bakcfield monster to be the difference in a hard-fought game. The line move to the under also makes sense based on the style of play for both teams.

Michigan vs. Michigan State Prediction: Michigan -4.5 (-110), Under 52 (-110)


Henry has had a passion for sports that few can match for as long as he can remember. What started out as a five-year-old taking interest in the New York Jets and their green jerseys has since become a full-fledged career as a writer and sports betting analyst. His coverage primarily includes the NFL, MLB, NBA, NASCAR, college football, and college basketball. In 2020, he ranked among the top-10 most accurate experts ATS in the BettingPros NFL season contest. You can follow Henry’s sports work on Twitter and other social media platforms @HankTimeSports.


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