5 Most Popular Bets and Prop Bets for the AFC Divisional Round: Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs
5 Most Popular Bets and Prop Bets for the AFC Divisional Round: Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs
About a year ago, Stefon Diggs was caught watching the Chiefs celebrating a win over the Bills in the AFC Championship game. Diggs said after the game that he wanted to see how it felt and that the Bills would be back, playing against the Chiefs in the next season.
It's not quite the AFC Championship game, but it's a game against the Chiefs to get to the AFC Championship game. The Bills remember the feeling last year. Does the public believe the Bills will earn an upset this time around?
Here are the most popular bets for the Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs Divisional Round match-up via Bet MGM.
Click here for Chiefs vs Bills Odds
Most Popular Bets
Chiefs -1.5 @ -110 (Bet $100 to win $90.91)
| Bet | Bets% | Handle% |
|---|---|---|
| Chiefs -1.5 | 55% | 58% |
| Bills +1.5 | 45% | 42% |
The public is still riding with the Kansas City Chiefs tonight. At MGM, 55 percent of the bets are on the Chiefs while 58 percent of the handle is on the Chiefs. The Chiefs have been awful against the run this season and the Bills have been terrific running the football. The run-blocking of the Bills is certainly not elite, but Josh Allen's ability to escape the pocket and make a play or two is elite. I'm siding with the Bills in today's game. So I guess I'm fading the public.
Over 54.5 @ -110 (Bet $100 to win $90.91)
| Bet | Bets% | Handle% |
|---|---|---|
| Over 54.5 | 74% | 75% |
| Under 54.5 | 26% | 25% |
The total opened at 53.5 but was bet up a full point to 54.5. There's a lot of volume coming in on this game and MGM shared that 74 percent of the bets and 75 percent of the handle are on the over in this game, despite the line shifting up a point.
The Chiefs were much better defensively in the second half of the season and the Bills have plenty of talent on the defensive end to get stops.
In the first meeting between these two teams, there were 58 points in a 38-20 win by the Bills. The Bills got everything they wanted against the Chiefs offensively and defensively, the Bills kept all of the Chiefs' playmakers in front of them.
I kind of agree with the over but wouldn't be surprised if this game was a defensive battle either.
Top Prop Bets for Bills vs Chiefs
- Travis Kelce to score 1st Touchdown @ +900 (Bet $100 to win $900)
- Travis Kelce to score Anytime Touchdown @ +105 (Bet $100 to win $105)
- Josh Allen Over 50.5 Receiving Yards @ -115 (Bet $100 to win $86.96)
In the early game, MGM bettors are backing Rob Gronkowski to score the first touchdown and score anytime. In the second game, MGM bettors are looking for Travis Kelce to do the same.
I'm not the biggest fan of betting on tight-ends to score the first touchdown but Kelce has a legitimate chance to make noise. The only thing is, the Chiefs have so many weapons and can score with so many options.
It's different, in comparison to the Packers, for example, who only have Davante Adams and Aaron Jones as real potential candidates to score. So I'm not the biggest fan of Kelce scoring first or anytime, but the odds make sense. It's a lottery chance after all.
I also stated about how poor the Chiefs are against the run this season. The run-blocking isn't all that great for the Bills, however, so there's a solid chance that if Allen gets these yards, he'll be scrambling for first downs and more. I like this bet and think Allen can get the job done with about 10 carries.
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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.