AFC North Odds: Can Baltimore Ravens Overcome 1-5 Start to Win Division as Lamar Jackson Returns?
The Baltimore Ravens are back? They are still 2-5 after taking down the Bears, but they get Lamar Jackson back this week and could go on a run against weak opponents. They've preemptively become the AFC North favorite again, with the odds baking in a mild win streak in the next month. Peter Alexis examines the latest AFC North Odds in the most intriguing division after Week 8.
Peter Alexis - October 27, 2025, 1:15 PM EDT
5 Minute ReadAFC North Odds: Ravens Become Favorite Again in AFC North, Overtaking Steelers After Two-Straight Losses
The AFC North has turned upside down in just two weeks, completely reshaping the division race. When we last checked in before the Steelers’ Thursday night game against the Bengals, Pittsburgh was the clear favorite at -160, sitting confidently at 4-1 and backed by one of the league’s stingiest defenses. But fast-forward to today, and the picture looks far different. The Steelers have dropped two straight, including a crushing home loss to the Packers, while the Ravens have stormed back into pole position despite a 2-5 record.
Pittsburgh’s backslide, combined with a soft upcoming schedule for Baltimore, has flipped the betting board entirely. The Ravens are now the slight favorite at -105 to win the AFC North, climbing above the 50 percent implied probability mark. They have a favorable stretch ahead, and with Lamar Jackson nearing a return from his hamstring injury, optimism in Baltimore is starting to rise again. The Steelers, meanwhile, fell to +175, still firmly in contention but now facing an uphill climb with upcoming matchups against the Colts, Chargers, and Bills—three opponents with strong defenses and playoff aspirations.
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AFC North Division Odds
- Pittsburgh Steelers: -105
- Baltimore Ravens: +175
- Cincinnati Bengals: +800
- Cleveland Browns: +5000
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AFC North Division Breakdown
The Ravens’ rise makes sense given both their health trajectory and their schedule. Their next five games—against the Dolphins, Vikings, Browns, Jets, and Bengals—are all winnable, particularly if Jackson returns this week as expected. Even without him, Tyler Huntley’s steady play has kept the Ravens competitive. A few strong weeks could have Baltimore sitting atop the division outright by Thanksgiving, and oddsmakers have priced that potential resurgence accordingly. The shift from +190 to -105 marks one of the sharpest midseason swings in any divisional market this year.
For the Steelers, the narrative has flipped quickly. What was once an overachieving defense-led squad now looks vulnerable in second halves and exposed against high-powered offenses. Their inability to close out games has bettors wary, and the next month could determine if they remain a legitimate threat or fade into the wild-card mix. Still, at +175, there’s belief that Mike Tomlin’s team can recover—though it may take an unlikely surge through that tough stretch to keep pace with Baltimore’s looming rebound.
The Bengals, meanwhile, haven’t budged much in the market, holding at around +800. Their loss to the Jets erased a huge opportunity to move into real contention. Had they won and reached 4-4, their odds likely would’ve tightened closer to +400. Joe Flacco has injected life into the offense, but the defense remains a liability, giving up chunk plays and failing to protect leads. Cincinnati now has to string together multiple wins just to stay relevant in the AFC playoff picture, let alone the division race.
Then there’s Cleveland, whose odds have ballooned to +7000 after getting trounced by the Patriots. Even with a top-three defense, the Browns’ quarterback carousel and offensive inconsistency have left them without a realistic path to contention. Rookie Dillon Gabriel has shown flashes, but not nearly enough to suggest the Browns can dig out of a 2-6 hole. At this point, the AFC North is shaping up to be a two-team battle once again—with Baltimore surging back into control and Pittsburgh trying desperately to hang on.
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