NFL MVP Odds: Joe Burrow, Jordan Love Biggest Risers in MVP Race as Josh Allen Regresses
Joe Burrow has taken over as the NFL MVP favorite after another dominant performance extended Cincinnati's winning streak, while Josh Allen remains close behind after controlling the market early in the season. Brock Purdy continues winning with San Francisco, and Jordan Love has surged after consecutive huge performances for Green Bay. Check out the latest NFL MVP odds entering Week 10.
Peter Alexis - November 10, 2026, 3:37 PM EST
4 Minute ReadNFL MVP Odds: Joe Burrow Takes Lead as Jordan Love Surges
The NFL MVP race remains wide open at the halfway point, but Burrow has created the strongest case over the last month. Cincinnati has won four straight behind one of the hottest quarterback stretches in football, allowing Burrow to move ahead of Allen after Buffalo's quarterback controlled the market throughout September and much of October.
Purdy remains firmly involved because San Francisco is 7-1, while Love has made the most dramatic recent jump after carrying Green Bay from a 1-2 start to six wins through nine games. With none of the four quarterbacks separating completely in both statistics and team record, the second half should determine this race.
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Joe Burrow +210 Check out these best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Burrow continued his remarkable run by completing 24 of 29 passes for 271 yards and three touchdowns while adding a rushing score in Cincinnati's 34-17 win over Atlanta in Madrid. It was his fourth consecutive victory and his third straight game with at least three passing touchdowns.
Through eight games, Burrow has completed 219 of 296 passes for 2,386 yards, an NFL-leading 23 touchdowns and six interceptions. His 74.0% completion rate also leads the league, and he has added three rushing touchdowns to bring his total to 26 scores.
The recent stretch is what has pushed him ahead of Allen. Burrow has thrown for 1,215 yards and 16 touchdowns over his last four games, with Cincinnati beating Miami, Baltimore, Tennessee and Atlanta to improve to 6-2.
Pittsburgh visits Cincinnati on Sunday night in one of the most important games of Week 10. Another big performance in a divisional win could give Burrow further separation and potentially put the Bengals atop the AFC North.
Josh Allen +250 Check out these best odds at BetMGM Sportsbook
Allen established himself as the early favorite by carrying Buffalo to a 6-1 start while producing one of the most unusual statistical profiles among NFL quarterbacks. Entering Monday night's matchup with Minnesota, he had thrown for 1,793 yards, 11 touchdowns and five interceptions while adding 270 rushing yards and nine rushing touchdowns.
Those nine rushing scores remain a major part of his MVP argument. Allen has essentially functioned as both Buffalo's quarterback and primary short-yardage rushing threat, giving him 20 total touchdowns through seven completed games despite trailing Burrow significantly in passing touchdowns.
The difference is that Burrow's recent passing explosion has changed the conversation. Allen was the clear favorite earlier in the season, but Buffalo's loss to New England and several quieter passing performances gave the rest of the market time to catch up.
Buffalo travels to the Jets next Sunday. The Bills remain positioned near the top of the AFC, so Allen's path is straightforward: keep Buffalo winning while increasing his passing production enough to match Burrow's growing statistical résumé.
Brock Purdy +450 Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Purdy responded to San Francisco's first loss of the season with another efficient performance in a 38-17 win over Las Vegas. He completed 17 of 25 passes for 232 yards and two touchdowns while adding 40 rushing yards and another score.
Through eight games, Purdy has completed 163 of 236 passes for 1,980 yards, 17 touchdowns and five interceptions. He owns a 109.8 passer rating while adding 201 rushing yards and two touchdowns, giving him 19 total scores.
The biggest strength of Purdy's candidacy is team success. San Francisco is 7-1 despite spending much of the season dealing with injuries throughout its receiving corps and defense, and Purdy has remained consistently efficient regardless of which weapons are available.
The 49ers visit Dallas on Sunday. Purdy does not need to match Burrow's raw passing volume if San Francisco continues competing for the NFC's No. 1 seed, but a few more three- or four-touchdown performances would make the +450 price much more dangerous.
Jordan Love +700 Check out these best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
No quarterback improved his MVP case more in Week 9 than Love. He shredded New England's highly rated defense for 372 yards and three touchdowns on 23-of-29 passing while adding a 13-yard rushing touchdown in Green Bay's 45-27 road victory.
Love now leads the NFL with 2,618 passing yards through nine games. He has completed 215 of 341 passes with 19 touchdowns and six interceptions while adding two rushing scores, putting him at 21 total touchdowns.
Green Bay has also completely reversed its season after starting 1-2. The Packers have won five of their last six to reach 6-3, and Love has thrown for 927 yards and eight touchdowns over his last three games alone.
The most impressive part may be how heavily Green Bay has depended on its quarterback. The running game has struggled throughout the season, forcing Love to repeatedly create explosive plays through the air. Minnesota visits Green Bay next, giving Love another opportunity against one of the league's best defenses.
NFL MVP Outlook
Burrow deserves the slight advantage entering Week 10. He leads the NFL in touchdown passes, completion percentage and passer rating while directing a four-game winning streak, and Cincinnati has moved from 2-2 uncertainty into the thick of the AFC race.
Allen remains extremely close because of Buffalo's record and his unmatched rushing production. If the Bills finish with the AFC's No. 1 seed and Allen approaches 15 rushing touchdowns while improving his passing totals, his complete statistical profile will be extremely difficult to beat.
Purdy may have the cleanest team-success path. San Francisco is 7-1 and remains one of the league's strongest Super Bowl contenders, while his efficiency numbers compare favorably with almost anyone.
Love is the player gaining the most ground. He already leads the league in passing yards, Green Bay has won five of six and his latest performance was arguably his best of the season. At +700, he is no longer simply a long-shot alternative.
Halfway through the season, there is still no runaway MVP. Burrow currently owns the best combination of individual statistics and recent momentum, but Allen, Purdy and Love are all within one major month of taking control.
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