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Kevin DeBruyne Belgium EUROS 2

2026 FIFA World Cup Group G Odds, Predictions, Analysis for Belgium Group

Kevin De Bruyne and the Belgium National Team are favored in the FIFA World Cup Group G section, with not a lot of competition challenging them besides a feisty Iran team. Let's take a look at this Group G odds and prediction as of Tuesday, June 9th.

Peter Alexis - June 9, 2026, 1:33 PM EDT

4 Minute Read

2026 FIFA World Cup Group G Odds: Belgium Strong Favorite in Weaker Group G

Group G features Belgium, Egypt, Iran, and New Zealand, with Belgium holding clear favorite status at -220. Egypt follows at +450, Iran is close behind at +680, and New Zealand is the longshot at +2500 in a group where Belgium is expected to control the top spot while the second-place race looks far more interesting.

The qualification market shows the same structure, with Belgium -2500 to reach the Round of 32, Egypt -275, Iran -175, and New Zealand +190. Belgium is also +4000 to win the World Cup, putting it in the gap between the top eight true contenders and the next tier that includes teams like the USA and Mexico.

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2026 FIFA World Cup Group G Odds

2026 FIFA World Cup Group G Odds Breakdown

Belgium (-220) Check out these best odds at Bet365 Sportsbook

Belgium enters Group G as the favorite and still carries enough elite talent to be respected despite the aging of its golden generation. The Red Devils are eighth in the FIFA rankings, -2500 to qualify for the Round of 32, and +4000 to win the World Cup. That outright price reflects a team that is no longer at the very top of the contender board, but still dangerous enough to make a run if its veteran stars have one last tournament push.

Belgium’s 2022 World Cup ended in disappointment with a group-stage exit, making this a reset spot after years of underachieving relative to the talent level. Kevin De Bruyne remains the creative heartbeat, Romelu Lukaku is still the central striker, Thibaut Courtois gives them elite goalkeeping, and Jeremy Doku adds pace and one-on-one danger. Belgium should win this group, but the bigger question is whether it can turn a soft draw into real knockout-stage momentum.

Egypt (+450) Check out these best odds at BetMGM Sportsbook

Egypt is the second choice to win Group G and has the star power to make Belgium work. The Pharaohs are 34th in the FIFA rankings and -275 to qualify for the Round of 32, which shows the market expects them to advance even if Belgium is the stronger group-winner option. Egypt is making its fourth World Cup appearance and is still chasing its first-ever trip to the knockout stage.

Mohamed Salah remains the face of the team and could be entering his final World Cup as Egypt’s defining attacking star. Omar Marmoush gives the side another high-level scoring threat, while Mostafa Mohamed and Zizo add more attacking options around them. The concern is whether Egypt can defend well enough and avoid becoming too dependent on Salah’s moments against Iran and Belgium.

Iran (+680) Check out these best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook

Iran sits third on the Group G winner board, but the gap between Iran and Egypt may be smaller than the odds suggest. Iran is 20th in the FIFA rankings and -175 to qualify for the Round of 32, giving it a strong path to advancement in the expanded format. This is Iran’s seventh World Cup appearance, but it has never reached the knockout stage, making this group a major opportunity.

Mehdi Taremi remains the key attacking piece, while Sardar Azmoun, Alireza Jahanbakhsh, and Saman Ghoddos give Iran experience and tournament familiarity. There is also an undeniable motivational layer around Iran amid political conflict with the USA and the broader disruption around its preparation. The opener against New Zealand is critical, but if Iran gets three points there, it can put real pressure on Egypt for second.

New Zealand (+2500) Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook

New Zealand is the clear outsider in Group G, though its +190 qualification price shows the expanded format gives it a more realistic path than past World Cups. The All Whites are 86th in the FIFA rankings and are making their third World Cup appearance, with their most recent trip coming in 2010. That tournament ended in three draws and a group-stage exit, but New Zealand left unbeaten, which remains one of the program’s proudest World Cup achievements.

Chris Wood is still the main attacking threat and gives New Zealand a proven target forward who can punish defensive mistakes. Sarpreet Singh, Marko Stamenic, and Liberato Cacace add quality across midfield and the back line, but the depth gap is obvious against Belgium, Egypt, and Iran. New Zealand’s path depends on stealing points in a low-scoring game, likely against Iran or Egypt, but it remains the least convincing qualification profile in the group.

World Cup Group G Betting Outlook

Belgium is the likely Group G winner, and the -220 price reflects a favorable draw more than overwhelming trust in Belgium as a full-tournament contender. The Red Devils should have enough class to finish first, especially with De Bruyne, Lukaku, Courtois, and Doku leading a group that does not include another elite side. Still, the number is not especially appealing when Belgium is coming off a poor 2022 showing and remains somewhat caught between eras.

Iran to finish second at +250 is the better value angle. Egypt has Salah and Marmoush, but Iran has surged into the top 20 of the FIFA rankings, brings a battle-tested core, and should be highly motivated amid the political backdrop around this tournament. If Iran handles New Zealand and turns the Egypt matchup into a tight, physical coin flip, +250 is a strong price on Team Melli to take second.

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