2025 Game of the Year Odds: Clair Obscur Dominates as Gaming's Biggest Night Approaches
2025 Game of the Year odds: Clair Obscur dominates at 93% as $2.4M traded on Kalshi. Hollow Knight 5%, Death Stranding 2%. Bet before TGA ceremony.
Jack Borovitz - December 6, 2025, 12:00 PM EST
4 Minute Read2025 Game of the Year Odds: Clair Obscur Dominates as Gaming's Biggest Night Approaches
The Game Awards are almost here, and the stakes have never been higher. With over $2.4 million already traded on Kalshi, gamers aren't just predicting, they're putting their money where their mouth is. The 2025 GOTY race looked wide open months ago, but the odds have shifted dramatically. One game has surged to overwhelming favorite status, while many others have cratered.
Movie Night drama? Try awards season chaos. Delays, surprise releases, and review embargo lifts have completely reshuffled the deck. Hollow Knight: Silksong believers are bleeding value. Death Stranding 2 hype hasn't materialized into betting confidence. And an indie game from a French studio, Clair Obscur: Expedition 33, shows a 93% chance to take home gaming's most prestigious trophy.
With the ceremony days away and odds moving in real-time, this is your last chance to lock in value before Geoff Keighley opens that envelope. According to the latest Kalshi markets, here's where the betting public stands:
Bet on Game of the Year with Kalshi Here
Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 – 93% Chance
The runaway favorite. This turn-based RPG from French indie studio Sandfall Interactive came out of nowhere to dominate critical conversation. Stunning visuals, innovative combat, and a hauntingly mature narrative have reviewers calling it a generational masterpiece. The betting public agrees—at 94¢ for Yes, the market is screaming certainty. If you believe the hype, lock it in now. If you're fading it, No shares at 7¢ offer lottery-ticket upside if the committee pulls a shock.
Hollow Knight: Silksong – 5% Chance
Roadmaps outdated, Hype overrated, Long have we waited, Skong activated. Silksong believers rode high all summer, but the game's actual 2025 release combined with mixed-to-positive (not universal acclaim) reviews has tanked its GOTY chances. At 5¢ Yes shares, bettors are running on hopes and dreams. Team Cherry fans are either doubling down on the underdog or have already accepted defeat.
Death Stranding 2: On The Beach – 2% Chance
Kojima's sequel landed with critical respect but not the rapturous reception needed to challenge for GOTY. The "divisive masterpiece" label didn't translate to awards momentum. At 2¢ Yes shares, this is a longshot prayer for Death Stranding cultists who think TGA voters will reward bold vision over consensus favorites.
Donkey Kong Bananza – 2% Chance
Nintendo's surprise platformer release charmed fans but lacks the narrative weight TGA typically rewards. It's a technical marvel and pure joy to play, and has everyone's favorite ape DK, but betting markets don't see it breaking through in a year this stacked. Another 2¢ longshot.
Hades II – 2% Chance
Early Access killed its chances. Despite being a phenomenal follow-up to an amazing game, Supergiant's sequel can't compete for 2025 GOTY when the hype has died out. 2¢ shares reflect "overshadowed" more than "not worthy."
Kingdom Come: Deliverance II – 2% Chance
Warhorse Studios delivered a worthy sequel, but it's a niche historical RPG in a category dominated by broader appeal. Hardcore fans love it; GOTY voters are looking elsewhere. 2% says it all.
With voting ending on December 11 right before the show, you'll want to lock in your bets soon whether you're a Expedition 33 truther, a Team Cherry believer, or a Hades II ride or die.
Bet on Game of the Year with Kalshi Here
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