Next Bond Girl Odds: Margaret Qualley Extends Lead as Casting Wraps Up in London
Margaret Qualley has emerged as the leading candidate to become the next Bond girl, with her prediction-market odds climbing amid growing speculation surrounding the upcoming James Bond film. Can Qualley secure the female lead opposite potential 007 successor Callum Turner, or will Anya Taylor-Joy or Florence Pugh emerge as casting decisions approach? Check out the latest next James Bond girl odds, casting rumors, and prediction-market outlook for Thursday, November 12.
Peter Alexis - November 12, 2026, 4:30 AM EST
4 Minute ReadNext Bond Girl Odds: Margaret Qualley Surges as James Bond Casting Nears Final Stages
The search for the next Bond girl has intensified, with Margaret Qualley emerging as the leading candidate to star in the upcoming James Bond film directed by Denis Villeneuve. Qualley currently holds a 45% market-implied chance of securing a principal female role, compared with 26% for Anya Taylor-Joy and 19% for Florence Pugh.
The movement comes as the Bond franchise approaches a major casting decision, with final screen tests for the next 007 recently conducted in London. Callum Turner, Jack Lowden and Josh O'Connor have been among the leading contenders to replace Daniel Craig, while reports of additional auditions and potential female leads have fueled speculation about the film's eventual cast.
Think You Know Who Will be the Next James Bond? Bet on it with Kalshi Here
Next James Bond Odds
Next Bond Girl Odds: Who Could Star Alongside Potential Callum Turner Pick?
Margaret Qualley: 45% Chance Bet on the Next James Bond with Kalshi Here
Qualley leads the market at 45%, gaining six percentage points during the latest trading period after experiencing considerable volatility in early November. Her market-implied chance briefly surged toward 75% before retreating, but she has maintained higher pricing than the other leading candidates as rumors surrounding the upcoming film continue to circulate.
The 32-year-old actress has developed a reputation for dramatic versatility through performances in The Substance, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, Poor Things and the Netflix miniseries Maid. Her combination of rising Hollywood recognition and experience in psychologically complex roles makes her a prominent name in discussions surrounding the franchise's next major female character.
Qualley has also been linked to speculation involving Turner, who remains among the leading candidates to become the next James Bond. Rumors of the two appearing together have gained attention following the recent London auditions, although neither casting decision has been officially announced.
Anya Taylor-Joy: 26% Chance Bet on the Next James Bond with Kalshi Here
Taylor-Joy sits second with a 26% market-implied chance, maintaining a relatively stable position despite significant volatility among the other candidates. Her price has generally fluctuated between 15% and 25% throughout recent months, briefly rising above 60% during the opening days of November before returning to the mid-20s.
The 30-year-old actress has established herself through major performances in The Queen's Gambit, The Menu, The Northman and Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga. Her experience with action sequences, suspense and large-scale productions provides a different background from Qualley's, particularly as Villeneuve prepares to introduce his own interpretation of the Bond franchise.
Taylor-Joy has not been confirmed for the upcoming film, but her continued presence near the top of the market reflects sustained casting speculation. Her previous work in international productions and ability to portray both understated and physically demanding characters have made her a recurring name in discussions of the next Bond girl.
Florence Pugh: 19% Chance Bet on the Next James Bond with Kalshi Here
Pugh is priced at 19%, occupying third place after spending much of the year trading between 10% and 15%. Her market-implied chance has increased during the final weeks of casting speculation, although she remains behind both Qualley and Taylor-Joy.
The 30-year-old British actress has become one of Hollywood's most recognizable performers through roles in Oppenheimer, Little Women, Midsommar and Marvel's Black Widow. Her portrayal of Yelena Belova has also provided extensive experience in action-oriented productions, while her dramatic background could translate into a substantial role in Villeneuve's upcoming spy thriller.
Pugh has an existing professional connection with Villeneuve after appearing in Dune: Part Two as Princess Irulan. That relationship adds an interesting dimension to her potential involvement, although there has been no official confirmation that she has auditioned for or been offered a role in the next Bond film.
Could Margaret Qualley Star Alongside Callum Turner as the Next James Bond?
The possibility of Qualley and Turner appearing together has become one of the most discussed casting combinations surrounding the upcoming film. Turner has remained prominent in the race to become the next 007, receiving praise from former Bond actor Pierce Brosnan while reportedly participating in the final London screen tests.
However, the competition for Bond has expanded beyond the initial group of Turner, Lowden and O'Connor. Robert Pattinson and Nicholas Hoult have also been linked to the audition process, with Villeneuve recently indicating that casting remains underway rather than confirming that the next Bond has already been selected.
The female casting process is also developing, with reports that invitations are being extended to potential Bond girls following the recent 007 auditions. Amazon MGM Studios has not confirmed Qualley, Taylor-Joy or Pugh, leaving open the possibility that another actress could emerge as the search progresses.
Next James Bond Girl Outlook: When Will Casting Be Announced?
The upcoming film will be the first James Bond installment developed under Amazon MGM's creative control, with Villeneuve directing and Steven Knight writing the screenplay. Producers Amy Pascal and David Heyman are overseeing the project, which is expected to begin filming in 2027 as the franchise prepares for a new era following Craig's departure in 2021.
Qualley's 45% market price represents a substantial advantage over Taylor-Joy at 26% and Pugh at 19%, although her recent fluctuations demonstrate the uncertainty surrounding the casting process. These figures reflect market-implied chances rather than confirmed casting information, and multiple prominent female characters could ultimately appear in the film.
With final Bond auditions reportedly completed and the search for the film's female leads progressing, attention is turning toward a potential announcement before the end of 2026. Qualley remains the highest-priced candidate, but the identity of both the next Bond girl and the actor who will portray 007 remains unresolved.
More of oddschecker
