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Joe Biden's Odds To Win 2024 Election

The 2024 US Election is in 8 months and we are already seeing how the odds are shaping up. But where does current President Joe Biden stand in the 2024 Election odds? Read on to see Joe Biden's odds to win the 2024 Election.
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Joe Biden's Odds To Win 2024 Election

Candidate US Odds Implied Probability 
Donald Trump -110 52.4% 
Joe Biden +175 36.4% 
Michelle Obama +800 11.1% 
Nikki Haley +1500 6.3% 
Gavin Newsom +2100 4.5% 
Robert Kennedy Jr. +2400 3.8% 
Kamala Harris +5000 2.0%

Joe Biden's odds of winning the 2024 election stand at +175, translating to an implied probability of 36.4%. While these odds depict a significant chance of securing a second term in office, they also reflect the competitive nature of the upcoming election. 

Despite Biden's position as the sitting President, he faces formidable opponents from both within and outside his party. One of the most prominent figures in the race is former President Donald Trump, whose odds currently stand at -110, giving him a 52.4% implied probability of reclaiming the presidency. 

Aside from Trump, other contenders vying for the presidency include Michelle Obama, Nikki Haley, Gavin Newsom, and Robert Kennedy Jr., among others.

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Joe Biden’s 2024 Election Odds History

  • Monday 5th February: Decimal Odds: 2.75, US Odds: +175, Implied Probability: 36.36% 
  • Monday 29th January: Decimal Odds: 2.60, US Odds: +160, Implied Probability: 38.46% 
  • Monday 22nd January: Decimal Odds: 3.00, US Odds: +200, Implied Probability: 33.33% 
  • Monday 15th January: Decimal Odds: 2.88, US Odds: +188, Implied Probability: 34.72% 
  • Monday 8th January: Decimal Odds: 2.90, US Odds: +190, Implied Probability: 34.48% 
  • Monday 1st January: Decimal Odds: 3.20, US Odds: +220, Implied Probability: 31.25% 
  • Monday 25th December: Decimal Odds: 3.43, US Odds: +243, Implied Probability: 29.15% 
  • Monday 18th December: Decimal Odds: 3.25, US Odds: +225, Implied Probability: 30.77% 
  • Monday 11th December: Decimal Odds: 3.10, US Odds: +210, Implied Probability: 32.26% 
  • Monday 4th December: Decimal Odds: 2.88, US Odds: +188, Implied Probability: 34.72% 
  • Monday 27th November: Decimal Odds: 3.00, US Odds: +200, Implied Probability: 33.33% 
  • Monday 20th November: Decimal Odds: 3.25, US Odds: +225, Implied Probability: 30.77% 
  • Monday 13th November: Decimal Odds: 3.20, US Odds: +220, Implied Probability: 31.25% 
  • Monday 6th November: Decimal Odds: 3.25, US Odds: +225, Implied Probability: 30.77% 

Joe Biden’s Democratic Candidate Odds

Candidate Odds Implied Probability 
Joe Biden -333 76.92% 
Michelle Obama +860 10.42% 
Gavin Newsom +1650 5.71% 
Kamala Harris +5000 1.96% 
Dean Phillips +6600 1.49% 
Elizabeth Warren +7900 1.25% 
Gretchen Whitmer +16900 0.59% 
Hillary Clinton +16900 0.59% 
Meghan Markle +20000 0.50% 
Robert Kennedy Jr. +25900 0.38%

The table above displays the current odds for various Democratic candidates to secure the party's nomination for the presidency, along with their corresponding implied probabilities. At the forefront, Joe Biden leads the pack with odds of -333, indicating a strong likelihood of approximately 76.92% according to the implied probability. Following Biden is Michelle Obama with odds of +860, suggesting a probability of around 10.42%. Gavin Newsom trails behind with odds of +1650, reflecting a probability of approximately 5.71%. The remaining candidates, including Kamala Harris, Dean Phillips, Elizabeth Warren, Gretchen Whitmer, Hillary Clinton, Meghan Markle, and Robert Kennedy Jr., face increasingly longer odds, each with their own implied probabilities ranging from 0.38% to 1.96%. 

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