Australian Open Odds Day 7: 2022 Australian Open Picks, Odds, and Best Bets

Previewing day seven of the Australian Open. Nikki Adams shares the odds and her picks for some of the best matches of the day.
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Australian Open Odds Day 7: 2022 Australian Open Picks, Odds, and Best Bets

Day 7 of the Australian Open is on the docket, and it brings with it the fourth round of the tournament. Rafael Nadal headlines the men’s card as he continues his pursuit of greatness while Alexander Zverev and Denis Shapovalov go head-to-head for a spot in the quarterfinals. Elsewhere, Italian hopefuls Matteo Berrettini and Jannick Sinner look to advance into the last eight.

On the women’s side, Victoria Azarenka and Maria Sakkari feature on the day's card while the night session is reserved for the blockbuster matchup between Ashleigh Barty and Amanda Anisimova. 

With so many stellar matchups to spot, we preview the best of the crop on Day 7's card and serve up tennis picks to spot. 

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Adrian Mannarino vs Rafael Nadal

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Rafael Nadal was tested for the first time in the tournament. Karen Khachanov pushed Nadal to four sets in their third-round showdown on Friday night before bowing out. After the match, Nadal described his performance as the best of his first week in the tournament. Next up for Nadal is French veteran Adrian Mannarino, a player he’s owned in the past. Nadal has the 2-0 head-to-head edge over Mannarino, beating the Frenchman twice in hard courts and without dropping a set. Predictably, Nadal is the prohibitive favorite to win this match, but bettors will find better value for their tennis picks by backing Nadal to win in straight sets.

Alexander Zverev vs Denis Shapovalov

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Arguably, this is the toughest matchup of the R16 to predict. Alexander Zverev comes into the fourth round without dropping a set. He’s the second-best bet after Daniil Medvedev to win the Australian Open, and so far, he hasn’t put a foot wrong. Denis Shapovalov’s path to the last 16 hasn’t been as straightforward, but the Canadian looms as a potential stumbling block for the German. Lifetime, Zverev has the 4-2 head-to-head edge.  

The pair recently met at the ATP Cup with Zverev edging Shapovalov in three sets, 6-7 (5), 6-3, 7-6(4). Zverev’s win avenges his loss to Shapovalov at the 2020 ATP Cup, which the Canadian won handily, 6-2, 6-2. By the tennis odds, the market for this game is skewed towards Zverev as the -450 favorite, but Shapovalov is a tempting underdog at +333. A five-set marathon irrespective of the winner is priced at +333 as well.

Matteo Berrettini vs Pablo Carreno Busta

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Matteo Berrettini survived a scare in the third round as rising star Carlos Alcaraz took the Italian to five sets. Alcaraz threw the kitchen sink at Berrettini and stormed back from two sets down to force the match into a fifth set. The pair were neck-and-neck in the decider until Berrettini’s experience carried him through a fifth-set tiebreaker to clinch the win, Next up for Berrettini is another Spaniard. Pablo Carreno Busta defeated another young gun, Sebastian Korda, in the third round. Korda took a set off Carreno Busta, but the Spaniard persevered in four sets. 

Books favor Berrettini to come through this match, but after the emotional rollercoaster of the third round, there’s the potential of a let-down performance. Surprisingly, this is the first-ever meeting between the pair, meaning it’s a bit of a tossup for tennis picks.

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Paula Badosa vs Madison Keys

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Madison Keys is in fine form as she advances to the fourth round, but the American comes into her matchup with Paula Badosa as the slight underdog. Keys is a former top 10 player, but she has struggled in recent years. Badosa is one of the hottest newcomers on the tour and reaches a career-high ranking of No.6 on the back of a standout 2020 campaign. It’s the first-ever matchup between Keys and Badosa. Based on current rankings and form, Badosa is the smart bet. Keys has the potential to win, but she’s often flattered to deceive in similar such positions. 

Ashleigh Barty vs Amanda Anisimova

Amanda Anisimova delivered the biggest upset of the tournament when she sent the defending champion Naomi Osaka packing in three sets on Friday night. It was a coming-of-age victory for the American rising star, made all the more impressive as she battled from a set down to clinch the win in a third-set tiebreaker. Things aren’t getting any easier for Anisimova as her next match pits her against the World No.1 and pre-tournament favorite to win according to multiple top-rated sportsbooks. 

Barty advances into the fourth round without dropping a set. She’s looked formidable in all her matches. Barty dominated her first two opponents, dropping just three games combined. In the third round, she made light work of a tricky Camilla Giorgi, t6-2, 6-3. Anisimova will have her work cut out to mastermind a second straight upset indeed. Barty is priced as the -450 favorite while Anisimova is tipped as the +333 underdog. A three-setter irrespective of the winner is priced at +200. 

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Nikki Adams is a freelance sports writer that’s honed in on the world of sports betting. She joined OddsChecker in 2021 after having covered a number of major American sports, including NFL and NCAAF, for several other publications in the industry. When she’s not looking for the best betting angles and writing engaging and insightful articles, she’s likely on a tennis court or binging on reality TV.

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